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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 04:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The entire Western limb is looking pretty complex and to me shows potential for more eruptive action [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'll be watching : )

The North-West esp. appears likely to throw some shapes [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 04:49 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
aaronnoraa711

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09/30/2012 04:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I counted six halo CME's and one "regular" CME.. though three of the halo CME's were a bit smaller than the other three, perhaps they're not considered halo CME's then? Not sure :o)

Last Edited by aaronnoraa711 on 09/30/2012 04:55 AM
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 04:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
If you watch this closely [link to halpha.nso.edu] you should notice that the majority of bright flashes,usually indicative of flaring are not coming from Sunspot regions but instead from Channel Eruptions around Filaments.

You will need to look at the whole of the disc and watch it a few times over to see the different locations of the small Channel Eruptions,but they are the dominant feature for X-Ray events at present.

This is'nt the 'norm' but nothing really is anymore,eh?

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 04:58 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Vita

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09/30/2012 04:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone! Looks like the first one has arrived
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Strange thing is that this time last week we had nothing, the sun was asleep, but its wide awake now!
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 05:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Also [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] just how many Halo CMEs' did you count!?

Looks like 2/3 for definite but around 6/7 CMEs' total.

Fnark.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I counted six halo CME's and one "regular" CME.. though three of the halo CME's were a bit smaller than the other three, perhaps they're not considered halo CME's then? Not sure :o)
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


I count a Full Halo CME as one that fills the image completely,there were 3 of them in that Gif.

Full Halo CMEs' like this are usually Geo-effective as the reason we see it fill the image is due to there Sun/Earth direction,sometimes a Halo CME can be traveling away from the farside of the Sun but should appear much fainter than those traveling toward Earth,here is a little about Halo CMEs' [link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
aaronnoraa711

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09/30/2012 05:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere/Pause last 100 Updates until around 8:00am UT [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] You can see that starting around 6:00am on the Magnetosphere Sim. Earth takes a wallop from something.

The Magnetopause Sim. is there but does'nt appear to be working correctly.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The magnetopause sim is working now, though if you use your link (which have the timestamping already set on the sim for what you had it set at) you will need to change the simulation end time to 08:00 UTC or later, the impact looks mighty impressive on it.. short and fast, like a slap in the face!
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 05:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone! Looks like the first one has arrived
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Strange thing is that this time last week we had nothing, the sun was asleep, but its wide awake now!
 Quoting: Vita


Thank you for that Vita : )

The better page for those updates is here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] although the ACE data appears to be missing completely from there at present?

Does anyone know whether or not ACE is down?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 05:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
magnetometer rising [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 05:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere/Pause last 100 Updates until around 8:00am UT [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] You can see that starting around 6:00am on the Magnetosphere Sim. Earth takes a wallop from something.

The Magnetopause Sim. is there but does'nt appear to be working correctly.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The magnetopause sim is working now, though if you use your link (which have the timestamping already set on the sim for what you had it set at) you will need to change the simulation end time to 08:00 UTC or later, the impact looks mighty impressive on it.. short and fast, like a slap in the face!
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711


Thank you Aaron(a?) : )

I just updated it [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ..The Magnetopause Sim. goes upto just before 08:00am UT and shows the Magnetopause believing it can fly again - it's doing the Funky Chicken/Wobbly Shoulder moves again!

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/30/2012 05:14 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
<+MarketSellOff+>

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09/30/2012 05:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks like the activity we had earlier is settling down


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 05:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm just popping off site to watch some of my YT shiznits.

Catch you all in a bitmusic
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
AkivaJeff

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09/30/2012 06:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What does the phi line represent?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Please.dont.quote.me.on.this.but.i.believe.it.is.the.angle.of​.the.nterplanetary.magnetic.field
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Must easier to read with the periods to separate words hon!
 Quoting: whiteangel


we.have.madajs.to.thank.for.the.wonderful.idea
 Quoting: SnakeBite


madass beat me to it?

9/29/2012 8:26 AM SnakeBite Try using . or - instead of caps lock LOL - jeff

edit: That was green for you :)

good job mad!

Last Edited by AkivaJeff on 09/30/2012 06:48 AM
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

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09/30/2012 06:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning all
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
AkivaJeff

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09/30/2012 07:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning all
 Quoting: shenue


Good morning Shen. My neighbor woke me up at 6 am to borrow my phone (her son took hers). She has chemo today and had to call her cab. Looks like we're in for a fun day.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
i had to go out for one hour, and in the street the sun is so so bright now, that we become like blind and with headache. One hour ago it wasn't like that!
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
magnetometer continue to rise... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 07:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just checked the Magnetopause Sim. again [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm not sure what is up with that Sim. - I think it may not have been receiving some of the data needed to complete it as it seems to come to Life for a brief moment before going back to the Magnetopause and Bow being completely static,ie. not moving/fluctuating.

However the ACE data is coming back through on the Magnetosphere/Ionosphere Updates here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] and is showing a little bit of wobble in the By/Bz but not too much of anything else,for now at least.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 07:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning all
 Quoting: shenue


Guten Morgen Shenhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning all
 Quoting: shenue


Guten Morgen Shenhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Good morning all!hf x-rays back to c level [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] it's arriving now?
Vita

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09/30/2012 07:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] it's arriving now?
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like! Check out here at Boulder monitor [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] it's arriving now?
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like! Check out here at Boulder monitor [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Vita


5a5a5a
AkivaJeff

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09/30/2012 07:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] it's arriving now?
 Quoting: Luisport


I thought it was supposed to arrive later. Something is up.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
it seams it's only starting...
vivaveritas
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09/30/2012 07:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The ACE Spacecraft is detecting a sudden increase in Solar Wind speed. More information to follow.

WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2012 Sep 30 1140 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Sep 30 1210 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2012 Sep 30 1025 UTC
[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
(solarham)
Tiny Trink

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09/30/2012 07:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hello Everyone,

Have a great day!



Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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09/30/2012 07:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The ground based magnetometer located in Boulder, Colorado just detected somewhat of a deviation. This could signal the passage of an interplanetary shock past Earth. [link to www.facebook.com]
Vita

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09/30/2012 07:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ionospheric storm in Africa now.
[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Spittin'Cesium

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09/30/2012 07:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH.

Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning ---

COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept.
27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev
protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and
a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data.
The expansion
speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s.
At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from
the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO
, allowing only a crude speed
estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves
extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian,
together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be
geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday
on Sept. 29.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh.

CME Density cone model:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 97
Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT"

Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Hello there TBar : )

Here is the C2 from the 26th [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] You can clearly see that there are Two fairly powerful Halo CMEs' which both appear to be expanding toward the POV and would indicate that they have a good chance of becoming Geo-effective,as well there is another fainter Halo CME whos' direction is a little harder to distinguish but appears to also be expanding toward the POV - that makes Three potentially Geo-effective CMEs' in all.

I counted Eight in all beginning from the end of the 26th.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Vita

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09/30/2012 08:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The ground based magnetometer located in Boulder, Colorado just detected somewhat of a deviation. This could signal the passage of an interplanetary shock past Earth. [link to www.facebook.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


The D-component is almost at the top! What does this mean? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Sol Lucet Omnibus.





GLP