SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
aaronnoraa711 User ID: 4394518 United States 09/30/2012 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check out the streamer at 06:17, something hit hard on the mag !!! Happy to say it did very well [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Quoting: TS66 Since my pc crashed, I've only used Solar soft for a list of most recent flares, and I guess they have shut down or something, anyone have one of those other links that I have long since lost ?? [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] - Only source for current data 32mb raw uncompressed level-0 FITS images for all SDO wavelengths, plus the usual 1 & 4k JPEGs. [link to umbra.gsfc.nasa.gov] - Another SDO source but they use different color gradients than the usual (sometimes with a huge benefit in visible detail) plus HINODE and SOLIS images. [link to proba2.oma.be] - high quality PNG SWAP/PROBA 171 images. [link to sdodata.oma.be] - Secondary, backup use SDO data source for when NASA servers are down (LMSAL, UMBRA/SDAC and SDO homepage sometimes all go offline at once) |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/30/2012 10:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the record, the M-flare (and several C-flares) was attributed to new active region AR1583. At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 12 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images). Region 11575 [N07W73] was quiet and stable. The flares that SWPC attributes to this region occurred in AR 11583. Region 11577 [N08W55] produced a few minor C flares and appears less interesting than a day ago. Region 11579 [S10E07] was quiet and stable. Region 11580 [N18E17] was quiet and stable. Region 11582 [S12E29] was quiet and stable. New region 11583 [N12W77] emerged on September 27 and was noticed by SWPC two days later. The group developed slowly and was the most active region on the visible disk producing 5 minor C flares. [link to www.solen.info] Also check on Solar Monitor and click on events for SWPC flare list (updated every 30 mins.): [link to www.solarmonitor.org] I must say I'm disappointed that with pages of chatter here, no one noticed that new active regions had formed. And only one poster noticed the arrival of the CME. Tsk,tsk,tsk. Please stop worrying about the Total Vertical Electron Count, it's pretty much meaningless except to HAM radio operators anyway. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24679176 Portugal 09/30/2012 10:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what is this big fall in protons? |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 24399306 United States 09/30/2012 10:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Morning everyone! :) Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States 09/30/2012 10:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24679176 Portugal 09/30/2012 10:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 09/30/2012 11:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning Nin I'm waiting for smilies to upload. These filament eruptions seem more concerning than actual flares from Sunspots lately. Each eruption seems to fuel the filaments a little more in these two very active regions, :93012am: :93012am2: And as always they are far more impressive when watched on (or until the smilies are approved) [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] , for today, red 1024 |
AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States 09/30/2012 11:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24624305 United States 09/30/2012 11:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24683520 United Kingdom 09/30/2012 11:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24624305 United States 09/30/2012 11:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24683520 United Kingdom 09/30/2012 11:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep, still climbing....Ratio climbing slowly so might drop any sec.... your right I always keep an eye on the ratio, if it rises pretty quick, the flare last a while...If the ratio slowly rises, almost like its struggling, it won't last long... |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/30/2012 11:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New region AR1583 will soon go beyond the west limb. Judging by its impressive growth and active flaring I think this one may be back around again. Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 274 Issued at 0030Z on 30 Sep 2012 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 29 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 29/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1575 N07W73 186 0100 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1577 N09W54 167 0090 Dao 06 08 Beta 1579 S08E05 106 0190 Cso 05 05 Beta 1582 S11E28 085 0360 Hhx 04 01 Alpha 1583 N13W75 188 0090 Dso 08 05 Beta [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] NEW ACTIVE REGION 1583- :AR1583: |
madajs User ID: 24321898 Canada 09/30/2012 11:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Also check on Solar Monitor and click on events for SWPC flare list (updated every 30 mins.): Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.solarmonitor.org] Nice Hugh, I'm happy to gain this list as well. Solarmonitor's rehosting of the list is lagging behind at the moment, so here's the faster updating original. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/30/2012 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello, NINz, it looks like our CME is a big dud, unless there's a denser wave coming in later. Barely a ripple in the space weather. Maybe the X-37b is chemtrailing the solar system now, haha. Even NOAA and NASA predicted a stronger event. So far Kp=3 QUIET. I hope we see a little action as the day unfolds. ACE 6-hr. Solar Wind/Mag. field data: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Boulder Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] RealTime Bowshock model: [link to pixie.spasci.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 09/30/2012 11:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Also check on Solar Monitor and click on events for SWPC flare list (updated every 30 mins.): Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.solarmonitor.org] Nice Hugh, I'm happy to gain this list as well. Solarmonitor's rehosting of the list is lagging behind at the moment, so here's the faster updating original. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] perfect thank you Madjas !! |
vivaveritas User ID: 3017266 Sweden 09/30/2012 11:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States 09/30/2012 12:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/30/2012 12:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | But, the big CME has not arrived yet!? That's how I understand it anyway..correct me if I am wrong. We hade a total of 3 incoming CME:s, 2 has arrived and we are still waiting for the big one.. Quoting: vivaveritas 3017266 I'm only aware of one noteworthy CME. All three of NASA's prediction times have passed. And the STEREO HI2 slideshow displayed a wave that has definitely gone by Earth and NOAA posted the Sudden Impulse at 11:38utc. Sometimes we see more action on the back end of the plasma. I suspect that the NASA density cone model was greatly exaggerated...we'll see. Density Model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |
TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States 09/30/2012 12:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TBar1984 I'm not even going to wait. I'm going to caulk this up as another success. It is pretty obvious when you look at the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] TheTHINGiDONTgetIShowCANsomethingTHATisEARTHfacingPRODUCEsomethingTHATtravelsINtheCOMPLETEoppositeDIRECTION?? We had a small CME on this side, the large one was on the other side. It's pretty clear isn't it? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] The small one isn't even registering on that model, which is the same model as this one [link to postimage.org] Check it out, it's the same model. The forecast is for a G2 event here on Earth, not impressive at all [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] But you can keep dreaming of catastrophes all you want. Bye now. Listen Tbar - There is no reason to be so Fucking ugly toward posters here who are mostly just interested in Solar activity and the effects this events can have for us back here on our Planet Earth,theres' really no need what-so-ever for your blatant disrespect. Also,you come in here treating everyone you have spoke with as if they are just interested in the potential Doom,sorry brother but you got the wrong thread for that - The majority of posters in here are Solar watchers with a active interest in learning about how it is that our own Star works so please,have a little modicum of respect if you can. One more thing,your preoccupation with 'winning' is a horribly ugly trait. A little decorum would'nt go a-miss. Thats' all I got to say,ok? Ha HA. You think that's being "Fucking ugly"? You must be on drugs again. If you think I'm "preoccupied" with putting out CORRECT information then you are right. You can call it whatever you wish. There was a Pinned thread about a "Big One" inbound the other day. It wasn't exactly correct was it? I said it was a small one and backed it up with data. Looks like I was correct...again. Here is the best indicator, check the chart here [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov] If there was a large one that chart would look much different. There is one coming, and I don't think it has arrived yet. It won't be long though. It will probably be about what the forecast is calling for, a G2 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] . Not the pinned "BIG ONE", which was the whole point of my postings. Sorry if you don't like someone else's analysis. Last Edited by TBar1984 on 09/30/2012 12:42 PM |
madajs User ID: 24321898 Canada 09/30/2012 12:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nvm I'm not sure about what I posted Last Edited by madajs on 09/30/2012 12:47 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24683520 United Kingdom 09/30/2012 01:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SnakeBite TheTHINGiDONTgetIShowCANsomethingTHATisEARTHfacingPRODUCEsomethingTHATtravelsINtheCOMPLETEoppositeDIRECTION?? We had a small CME on this side, the large one was on the other side. It's pretty clear isn't it? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] The small one isn't even registering on that model, which is the same model as this one [link to postimage.org] Check it out, it's the same model. The forecast is for a G2 event here on Earth, not impressive at all [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] But you can keep dreaming of catastrophes all you want. Bye now. Listen Tbar - There is no reason to be so Fucking ugly toward posters here who are mostly just interested in Solar activity and the effects this events can have for us back here on our Planet Earth,theres' really no need what-so-ever for your blatant disrespect. Also,you come in here treating everyone you have spoke with as if they are just interested in the potential Doom,sorry brother but you got the wrong thread for that - The majority of posters in here are Solar watchers with a active interest in learning about how it is that our own Star works so please,have a little modicum of respect if you can. One more thing,your preoccupation with 'winning' is a horribly ugly trait. A little decorum would'nt go a-miss. Thats' all I got to say,ok? Ha HA. You think that's being "Fucking ugly"? You must be on drugs again. If you think I'm "preoccupied" with putting out CORRECT information then you are right. You can call it whatever you wish. There was a Pinned thread about a "Big One" inbound the other day. It wasn't exactly correct was it? I said it was a small one and backed it up with data. Looks like I was correct...again. Here is the best indicator, check the chart here [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov] If there was a large one that chart would look much different. There is one coming, and I don't think it has arrived yet. It won't be long though. It will probably be about what the forecast is calling for, a G2 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] . Not the pinned "BIG ONE", which was the whole point of my postings. Sorry if you don't like someone else's analysis. NIN, ban this dude of your thread.... He is starting to get on people's nerves... TBAR, it is not your so called Analysis that are making people react to you, it is your blatant 'I am right and you are wrong' and your attitude to people who are learning...So what if people don't know everything yeah, it doesn't give you the right to talk down to people like you do, Mr Know it Fucking all.... Do yourself a favor, fuck off like Astro did...NOBODY likes you around here because of the way you speak to people. There is a lot of people on this thread who are providing information as they see it, they are not saying it's the fucking end of the world doom shit... Shadasonic posted that thread based on the information that he and others had seen..It's called being observant and informing people, if anything, you could of applauded him for being observant and THEN have your say on why you think it isn't going to affect us, not come into the thread and bash & put people down like you do.... Even if a big one is not on the way, at least the information is getting out to some possible potential serious shit... The way you talk to people is going to put people off posting anything again...If this happens, when a event happens that IS going to serious affect this Earth, people are going to be scared to post anything because of pricks like you belittling them... And yes, I have named called you and talk to you like a piece of shit, because you see fit to talk to us like a piece of shit....What's good for the goose is good for the gander.... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 09/30/2012 01:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why can't some people, with all there know it all attitudes take all their condescension and anger, and go start a new solar thread to their liking ??? Why does this always return to a battle ground of ego and arrogance ?? For the people that actually enjoy this thread, and want to participate in a positive manner, please don't let anyone keep you from posting questions or your observations ... it's the only reason this thread has lasted as long as it has |
vivaveritas User ID: 3017266 Sweden 09/30/2012 01:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
madajs User ID: 24321898 Canada 09/30/2012 01:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to spaceweather.com] "CME IMPACT: A coronal mass ejection hit Earth's magnetic field on Sept. 30th at 10:25 UT. The impact was weak, lifting the solar wind speed around Earth barely above 300 km/s. Nevertheless, auroras are possible around the Arctic Circle as Earth's magnetic field reverberates from the impact. The CME was propelled into space on Sept. 28th by an eruption of sunspot AR1577. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory caught the cloud expanding toward Earth at 2.2 million mph: Although the initial impact was weak, a geomagnetic storm could develop in the wake of the CME. Keep an eye on the Realtime Photo Gallery for signs of polar lights." Last Edited by madajs on 09/30/2012 01:21 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24683520 United Kingdom 09/30/2012 01:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SnakeBite TheTHINGiDONTgetIShowCANsomethingTHATisEARTHfacingPRODUCEsomethingTHATtravelsINtheCOMPLETEoppositeDIRECTION?? We had a small CME on this side, the large one was on the other side. It's pretty clear isn't it? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] The small one isn't even registering on that model, which is the same model as this one [link to postimage.org] Check it out, it's the same model. The forecast is for a G2 event here on Earth, not impressive at all [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] But you can keep dreaming of catastrophes all you want. Bye now. Listen Tbar - There is no reason to be so Fucking ugly toward posters here who are mostly just interested in Solar activity and the effects this events can have for us back here on our Planet Earth,theres' really no need what-so-ever for your blatant disrespect. Also,you come in here treating everyone you have spoke with as if they are just interested in the potential Doom,sorry brother but you got the wrong thread for that - The majority of posters in here are Solar watchers with a active interest in learning about how it is that our own Star works so please,have a little modicum of respect if you can. One more thing,your preoccupation with 'winning' is a horribly ugly trait. A little decorum would'nt go a-miss. Thats' all I got to say,ok? Ha HA. You think that's being "Fucking ugly"? You must be on drugs again. If you think I'm "preoccupied" with putting out CORRECT information then you are right. You can call it whatever you wish. There was a Pinned thread about a "Big One" inbound the other day. It wasn't exactly correct was it? I said it was a small one and backed it up with data. Looks like I was correct...again. Here is the best indicator, check the chart here [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov] If there was a large one that chart would look much different. There is one coming, and I don't think it has arrived yet. It won't be long though. It will probably be about what the forecast is calling for, a G2 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] . Not the pinned "BIG ONE", which was the whole point of my postings. Sorry if you don't like someone else's analysis. Corrected: NIN, ban this dude of your thread.... He is starting to get on people's nerves... TBAR, it is not your so called Analysis that are making people react to you, it is your blatant 'I am right and you are wrong' and your attitude to people who are learning...So what if people don't know everything yeah, it doesn't give you the right to talk down to people like you do, Mr Know it Fucking all.... Do yourself a favor, fuck off like Astro did...NOBODY likes you around here because of the way you speak to people. There is a lot of people on this thread who are providing information as they see it, they are not saying it's the fucking end of the world doom shit... Shadasonic posted that thread based on the information that he and others had seen..It's called being observant and informing people, if anything, you could of applauded him for being observant and THEN have your say on why you think it isn't going to affect us, not come into the thread and bash & put people down like you do.... Even if a big one is not on the way, at least the information is getting out to some possible potential serious shit... The way you talk to people is going to put people off posting anything again...If this happens, when a event happens that IS going to serious affect this Earth, people are going to be scared to post anything because of pricks like you belittling them... And yes, I have named called you and talk to you like a piece of shit, because you see fit to talk to us like a piece of shit....What's good for the goose is good for the gander.... EDIT: And you think it's fucking right to say 'You must be on drugs again' to SC when he has been a brilliant contributor to this thread, what the fuck do you contribute to this thread besides the obvious name calling, NOTHING. You have made no effect on this thread really compared to others and what you do contribute (Even if you are right) is just blatant name calling...WOW, Don't you see how much of a prick you are and why you and Astro seem to be getting threats...It's because NOBODY FUCKING LIKES YOU for your name calling and your fucking 'I am right & you are wrong' attitude.... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24683520 United Kingdom 09/30/2012 01:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why can't some people, with all there know it all attitudes take all their condescension and anger, and go start a new solar thread to their liking ??? Quoting: TS66 Why does this always return to a battle ground of ego and arrogance ?? For the people that actually enjoy this thread, and want to participate in a positive manner, please don't let anyone keep you from posting questions or your observations ... it's the only reason this thread has lasted as long as it has Replying to Comments seem to be messing up.... Well said 66, you are right...If he knows it all, he should make his own thread and educate the masses to his way of truth..but he won't do that, he wouldn't get any followers due to his arrogance and name calling....Because of this, he has no option but to feel special by coming into long established threads like this and result in name calling to people who have contributed more than he ever would... Sad really that he has to resort in bashing Shadasonic and Spittin' in the way he has....No wonder he has haters... |
vivaveritas User ID: 3017266 Sweden 09/30/2012 01:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well.. something's not right here... spaceweather.com claims that the CME impact hit at 10.25 UTC - and they get their info from NOOA... BUT the Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse alert were made at 10.40 UTC by NOOA!! That doesn't add up does it? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 09/30/2012 01:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Some useful links for the next 24-48 hours for all the solar sluts ;-) Quoting: aaronnoraa711 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - ACE 2 hour solar wind/magnetic plasma SWEPAM [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - USAF 1 and 4 hour prediction/current observed KP index [link to mms.rice.edu] - Simple to read, green/yellow/red dial format, real-time solar wind data with measured and derived figures. Cake. [link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu] - Real time DST storm level on a cute meter. [link to pixie.spasci.com] - Real time magnetopause and bow shock model (a different one than I usually see linked here) [link to solar.uleth.ca] - Hourly auroral activity plots, including an ultra useful "visible auroral plot", as the usual blue/yellow/red plot does not make it clear where the visible boundary actually exists. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] - SWPC real time monitor displays. [link to hfspectrum.net] - Awesome high frequency RF 1-30 MHz spectrum monitor with instant audio feed on any chosen frequency. Sort of like the HAARP RF waterfall chart but much, much higher resolution and you get to hear it to boot :o) Fun listening to the interference during space weather turbulence! [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] - Link for the latest model run of the iswa magnetopause position sim.. a long watch to get to all the way through it to the current time but no need to set any time frame. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov] - Satellite operations bulletin, lists up to date standby/malfunctioning/feed loss information along with a statement relating to known reason for said states + lists satellites returning back to service. There's more but these seem to cover most of the bases, hope this helps :o) btw 32mb SDO FITS images rule! aaron, thanks so much for that, couple there I did not have Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
NiNzrez User ID: 24399306 United States 09/30/2012 01:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello, NINz, it looks like our CME is a big dud, unless there's a denser wave coming in later. Barely a ripple in the space weather. Maybe the X-37b is chemtrailing the solar system now, haha. Even NOAA and NASA predicted a stronger event. So far Kp=3 QUIET. I hope we see a little action as the day unfolds. ACE 6-hr. Solar Wind/Mag. field data: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Boulder Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] RealTime Bowshock model: [link to pixie.spasci.com] its kinds looking that way as of now my net is going in and out today so im trying my best just to get a connection to see whats up |