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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle Hugh M Eye
Post Content
UPDATE: Geoeffective Enlil has updated to show this CME.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This actually looks pretty dense, if not as thick as the last one. Simulating about 50/cm3 density once again!

=========================
Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 499
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 05 2036 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Oct 06: None (Below G1) Oct 07: None (Below G1) Oct 08: G1 (Minor)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
=========================

I think we may get a G2 out of this if the modelled density occurs alongside some negative Bz
 Quoting: madajs


I'm thinking that the coronal hole winds will arrive right on the heels of this CME. If this happens we could see much higher wind speeds on the back end than ENLIL predicts; as well as a co-rotational interaction region. In short, we may see a prolonged geomagnetic disturbance early next week.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was wondering how these two anomalies would mingle and interact. Now would be a bad time for another filament liftoff, I like the sound of co-rotational interaction, nice verbage HUGH!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Co-rotational Interaction Regions (CIRs)-Not my verbiage, LOL.

[link to www.physics.usyd.edu.au]

[link to ase.tufts.edu]

[link to www.ann-geophys.net]

spock
 
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