| Users Online Now: 1,944 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 658,359 | |
| Pageviews Today: 864,180 | Threads Today: 238 | Posts Today: 3,449 |
| 07:35 AM | ||
| Users Online Now: 1,944 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 658,359 | |
| Pageviews Today: 864,180 | Threads Today: 238 | Posts Today: 3,449 |
| 07:35 AM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Hugh M Eye  User ID: 24287942  United States11/20/2012 03:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States11/20/2012 03:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 1620 Issue Time: 2012 Nov 20 2004 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2012 Nov 20 1958 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC Active Warning: Yes Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]  |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 28156722  Portugal11/20/2012 03:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.n3kl.org] we got something here no? |
| Nacht im Walde User ID: 28150639  Germany11/20/2012 04:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States11/20/2012 04:20 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Who knows? I think STEREO is shut down for the day, LOL. Anyway, here's a recent magnetogram of 1618 as it displays a growing complexity of fields- :1618magneto: Thing just keeps growing and seems that every time we get action, STEREO goes to sleep Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States11/20/2012 04:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One on the backside 1611 I think it was and the last one from 1618 fully facing us. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 28156722 Portugal11/20/2012 04:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States11/20/2012 04:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Does anyone know what this predicted CME arrival is about? This was issued early today before the big events started. Was there another CME yesterday that I missed? Event Issue Date: 2012-11-20 09:55:29.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-23 04:26:06.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 8 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.3 Re Also has anyone noticed how the 5-minute x-ray graph has reversed the colors? Anyhow, we can see the increased activity over the past 3 days: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Today's CME should also be arriving on the 23rd- :11/23incoming: Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 11/20/2012 04:28 PM |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States11/20/2012 04:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Minor geomagnetic disturbance possibly caused by the big eruption Friday on the east limb. Glancing blow at Earth was expected last night. Event Issue Date: 2012-11-16 09:12:16.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-19 21:51:38.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 17 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.5 Re |
| Nacht im Walde User ID: 28150639 Germany11/20/2012 04:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One on the backside 1611 I think it was and the last one from 1618 fully facing us. was just posted on solarham: Sunspot 1618 continues to expand in the northern hemisphere and is currently producing C-Class Solar flares. This region did also just produce a moderate M1.6 solar flare at 19:28 UTC Tuesday afternoon. This region could produce a stronger solar flare within the next 12-24 hours. really fast growing spot atm We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States11/20/2012 04:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | COMMENT: NOAA ARs 1618 evolved into a beta gamma configuration and produced several C-class flares, together with NOAA AR 1619. At 12:09 UT, SECCHI/COR2 on STEREO Ahead shows signs of what could possibly be an Earth directed CME that erupted from/close to NOAA AR 1619. Shortly after that, an M1.7 flare peaked at 12:41 UT. There is not enough data yet in order to provide more information. NOAA AR 1618 has potential for producing M-class flares. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so. [link to sidc.oma.be] Well they may have been wrong about the quiet geomagnetic conditions. SEEDS STEREO Ahead movie of CME: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States11/20/2012 05:03 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States11/20/2012 05:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if this is the same run as the one that shad posted earlier, but anyways here's the cygnet enlil model of a large geoffective CME [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] (surely related to the activity hugh has been posting about etc.) Quoting: madajs Back on now and thats the one I was waiting for,bingo! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| madajs User ID: 24791599  Canada11/20/2012 05:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Just noticed that too, was checking for that to update. Shall be an interesting day :) Edit: I have to say, looking at the circular and wedge plots for geoeffective enlil above, this looks like one of the messier ejection events i've seen of late. I see about 4 different waves (two of which will hit us). Throw in a solar wind stream to boot. No wonder the velocity prediction is so bumpy. Last Edited by madajs on 11/20/2012 05:17 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States11/20/2012 05:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I believe its on now, energy shifting SS activation our way, and we've got decent SS backside . We could get very busy! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Rising Son User ID: 27707872  Japan11/20/2012 05:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "Be still, and know that I am God." Psalm 46:10 Truth needs no validation because it is self-evident and undeniable. Therefore, anything that requires validation to be realized or justified as truth must contain at least some degree of falsehood. Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak. [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] |
| miabelieves User ID: 27995848 United States11/20/2012 05:23 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I believe its on now, energy shifting SS activation our way, and we've got decent SS backside . We could get very busy! Quoting: shadasonic oh no, and they are giving another 48 reprieve on the bans...uuggghhhh hopefully the suntards, says with love, will not be noticed. Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride |
| madajs User ID: 24791599 Canada11/20/2012 05:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If you guys who know this stuff and observe it everyday are interested, then I can't help but be fascinated. I know it's still early - but any predictions about the effect it will have? Quoting: Rising Son Weather predictions are always kind of futile, be that space weather or regular weather haha. This one doesn't look particularly dense (the part that's predicted to hit us, anyways) or fast, but it does look very complex. I wouldn't be surprised if we get a G2 storm out of it. We won't know how hostile the polarity of it is until it hits ;)  Last Edited by madajs on 11/20/2012 05:29 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States11/20/2012 05:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If you guys who know this stuff and observe it everyday are interested, then I can't help but be fascinated. I know it's still early - but any predictions about the effect it will have? Quoting: Rising Son Weather predictions are always kind of futile, be that space weather or regular weather haha. This one doesn't look particularly dense (the part that's predicted to hit us, anyways) or fast, but it does look very complex. I wouldn't be surprised if we get a G2 storm out of it. We won't know how hostile the polarity of it is until it hits ;) Its nice to be working with decent storms again, lets pray they stay nice, imagine if they all come around the corner and develop like 1618 has. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973  Netherlands11/20/2012 05:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I count 4 definite CME's [link to sdodata.oma.be] . Hello by the way all   Edit:fuck it,doesn't matter. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 05:46 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States11/20/2012 05:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It will be interesting to see what 1620 does being in the southern hemisphere. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States11/20/2012 05:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Just noticed that too, was checking for that to update. Shall be an interesting day :) Edit: I have to say, looking at the circular and wedge plots for geoeffective enlil above, this looks like one of the messier ejection events i've seen of late. I see about 4 different waves (two of which will hit us). Throw in a solar wind stream to boot. No wonder the velocity prediction is so bumpy. What if instead of Black Friday we have BLACKOUT FRIDAY. Jes sayin', LOL. :11/20CME-enhance: |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 05:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] . Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 05:53 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 28094061  United Kingdom11/20/2012 05:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | sunspots at 60 degress west longitude is the place to watch, according to NASA proton storm can arrive in 30 minutes if originating from 60deg west long A New Kind of Solar Storm (well, 2005) [link to science.nasa.gov] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It appears that Filament has set off a cascade within 1613,1614,1618 and 1619 [link to sdodata.oma.be] you can notice a drastic change in their relative Temps. - Also 1613 looks ready to expel pretty soon [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] as does the area and Filament around 1614. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium A nice climb in X-Rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] something is gonna' have to give! It certainly did! Super Hot [link to sdodata.oma.be] . The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1611 even : ) Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 06:19 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] . Quoting: Spittin'Cesium The CME I mentioned that Isis and I were discussing that was/is super slow can be seen here [link to www.sidc.oma.be] at 11 on the Dial and beginning at 11:00(though it began even earlier and took forever to leave)here it is again,still not really moving [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and still [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and slowly begins to 'let go' [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Basically,a very slow,long,strange event. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1618 has been relegated back to Beta-Gamma from Beta-Gamma-Delta earlier,not sure if I agree but Solen are usually pretty spot on with their classifications [link to www.solen.info] though not always too up on spotting Earthbound Ejections. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 06:29 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands11/20/2012 06:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
