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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
Post Content
Good morning everyone hf

From Solen 11/23

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on November 23-24 due to CME effects and quiet to unsettled on November 25.

Region 11618 [N08W14] decayed in the leading and central spot sections and became less complex as the largest magnetic delta structure disappeared. M class flares are still possible.

20-60% chance of M and X flares.

[link to www.solen.info]

From NOAA 11/23

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to begin the forecast period at mostly quiet levels until the arrival of
the 20 Nov CME midday on day one (23 Nov) when conditions are expected
to rise to active levels with a chance for minor storm periods.
Conditions have a chance for reaching major storm levels early on day
two (24 Nov)
with the expected arrival of the 21 Nov CME. On day three
(25 Nov) conditions are expected to return to unsettled to active levels
due to CME combined with high speed stream effects.

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/35/30
Minor Storm 20/30/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 25/20/30
Major-severe storm 60/65/50

1613 S24W83 203 60 2 HSX 1 A
1616 N19W42 160 30 10 DRO 4 B
1618 N08W13 133 350 13 EKC 30 BGD
1619 N11W51 171 150 10 DAO 7 B
1620 S12E30 90 60 5 HSX 1 A
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AND Cesium's filament Helioviewer: [link to helioviewer.org]


Well it looks like there is a lot to watch for today ...
 
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