SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Not sure what is going on, but my over air TV signal that seems to be easily affected by solar storms, went completely out about an hour ago.

The weirdest thing is typically just a few of the weaker stations will pixelate and go out for a few seconds... but they ALL went out, and are still out but one.

Beautiful, and where'd that CH come from???? Another interesting solar week friends! YAH!!!

Not sure but solar wind just made a quick leap up and so maybe some charged particles are getting through the magnetosphere.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This shows some absortion happening also

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Isis One on 11/26/2012 01:50 AM

Cosmic Journeys : Attack of the Sun
[link to www.youtube.com]

Very good video SeaPunk, thanks for posting,

Hello Everyone,

Great Job night crew.

Stay Safe and Balanced.

Shine Brightly.

Much Love,


[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

that filament may be taking its time lifting , it was gone ,back, and now flapping off again.

[link to sdodata.oma.be]

The eye of Sauron is upon us!lol

Good morning all.

Once again, I had problems connecting to GLP for a while. Two days in a row. Strange.

me too

wrong thread

sorry

Last Edited by aether on 11/26/2012 08:30 AM

Good morning everyone, we are on the road, day 4 of driving from FL to CA and watching all the updates. Thanks for vital information, as always!

AR1620 still growing and has fired off at least 8 C-flares. 50% chance of M-flares today.

SIDC Daily Report-

COMMENT: Five sunspot groups were reported today by Catania. Two of
them are expected to produce flaring activity: Catania sunspot groups 27
(NOAA AR 1618) and 31 (NOAA AR 1620) have beta-gamma-delta and
beta-gamma configurations of their photospheric magnetic field,
respectively. Strong magnetic flux emergence that takes place in the
Catania sunspot group 31 (NOAA AR 1620) since yesterday noon will
probably lead to an M-class flare. In any case, C-class flares are
almost certain as the background X-ray flux is now very close to the C1
level. A proton event is possible in case of a strong flare in Catania
sunspot group 27 or 31 (NOAA ARs 1618 or 1620) due to their position in
the western solar hemisphere. A possibly Earth-directed CME was detected
this morning originating from the filament channel right to the south of
Catania sunspot group 31 (NOAA AR 1620). It was not a halo CME according
to the SOHO/LASCO data, and STEREO A SECCHI/COR2 data indicate a low
speed of this CME (around 300 km/s), so we expect at most a shock
arrival at the Earth without any significant geomagnetic disturbance as
a result. The Earth is currently in the sheath flow after the shock
arrival this morning detected at 04:38 UT by ACE and at 04:32 UT by
SOHO/CELIAS. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude in the
sheath flow decreased from moderately high values (around 10 nT) to the
current values around 7-8 nT, and the IMF is directed predominantly
northward, so the geomagnetic conditions stayed on the quiet to
unsettled level up to now. We do not expect the arrival of the ICME
driver of the shock, so the geomagnetic activity will stay at the quiet
to unsettled level in the coming hours.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

The slow CME mentioned above seen on STEREO Ahead movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

i cant wait till December,i cant wait,i ahve waited for years and now the change is less than 5 weeks away



yipeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Careful what you wish for.

So far 1620 has produced only small C-flares, but lots of 'em. The strongest being the C2.3 we just had.

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1620-Bigger>
:1620bigger:

AR1620-Stronger>
:1620mag:

Except for the initial hit on the 23rd, these multiple CMEs have had little effect on our robust magnetosphere ;) It's like water off a ducks back. This is one of the rare occasions that NOAA actually OVERESTIMATED a CME's impact (just as we did here). I notice there was no mention of the next big CME on the SIDC forecast; I guess we'll have to wait and see if it arrives as scheduled:

Event Issue Date: 2012-11-23 12:16:36.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-26 22:36:04.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 23 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.4 Re

NOAA ENLIL Cone Model cygnet:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Why would this puny CME cause a 23 hour disturbance? Strange.......

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 11/26/2012 11:22 AM

Ok Hugh, this is what I have been wondering myself (but haven't asked).

The CME arrive as scheduled, our magnetosphere handled it aptly, ergo no solar storm / geo-effective impact.

Doesn't mean it didn't happen ( some are even saying disappeared ??), just that we did not see the effects here on Earth (other than a few blips here and there), because our magnetosphere prevent penetration, yes ???

After all these were not HUGE events.

Nice prominence liftoff in the NW-

:NWerupt:

Thought I was going to start haveing withdraws :)
WTflip is up with GLP. I kept getting a server error and when I finally got in it's very very slow. I have had this problem for 2 days???

Okay, I'm done complaining, carry on.

Howdy, TS66! You're correct about these not being huge CMEs, but we have seen modest-sized filament eruptions produce G2 or G3 storms on occasion. I anticipated a bigger effect from the quantity of several CMEs. Sometimes we see a magnified effect from cannibalism; but perhaps there's a "field-cancelling effect" possible. I don't know. Most likely it comes down to the polarity of the Bz component. How many times has NOAA predicted a glancing blow and we got a strong disturbance when the Bz turned south.

This next CME is from the large SE filament eruption. There must be some reason for NASA to expect 23-hr disturbance, when they usually call for a 8-12 hr. Is this because of the slow speed? I doubt it because most of the recent CMEs had slow speeds. Or does NASA have a better idea than we do about the POLARITIES of what's coming in. We can only watch and see what happens tonight, if anything.

Same here Mia,howdy!

if you read through this thread I think the site has been attacked.. [link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

Thread: NEW ICE AGE VERSUS GLOBAL WARMING DISCUSSION DATA

Yeah I agree, a lot of this just came down to milquetoast magnetism of the incoming. We got up to Kp 5- and then with the Bt staying high (around 15 nT) the Bz suddenly switched to firmly positive levels, abruptly relieving the magnetosphere. Lately it seems we've been hit by a lot of negative polarity events, I'd almost come to assume that this series of incoming would follow suit.

Well let's look to the next event! :)

Same with me....mainly in the mornings. eastern time

Last Edited by shenue on 11/26/2012 02:08 PM

My friends this can be by lower sun activity?

Honestly, I thought we'd see a lot more weeks like this one in March. Check out this timeline from March 2012-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That was from Behemoth SS AR1429-

Behemoth

spaceweather is calling thei a Behemoth sunspot thingy

check ot the word Behemoth,

[link to en.wikipedia.org]


peace brothers and sisters,
love to all,

Hpokie