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REPORT ABUSIVE REPLY
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Message Subject
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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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Poster Handle
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SCizMe |
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Post Content
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Except for the initial hit on the 23rd, these multiple CMEs have had little effect on our robust magnetosphere ;) It's like water off a ducks back. This is one of the rare occasions that NOAA actually OVERESTIMATED a CME's impact (just as we did here). I notice there was no mention of the next big CME on the SIDC forecast; I guess we'll have to wait and see if it arrives as scheduled: Event Issue Date: 2012-11-23 12:16:36.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-11-26 22:36:04.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 23 hoursDisturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.4 Re NOAA ENLIL Cone Model cygnet: [ link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Why would this puny CME cause a 23 hour disturbance? Strange....... Ok Hugh, this is what I have been wondering myself (but haven't asked). The CME arrive as scheduled, our magnetosphere handled it aptly, ergo no solar storm / geo-effective impact. Doesn't mean it didn't happen ( some are even saying disappeared ??), just that we did not see the effects here on Earth (other than a few blips here and there), because our magnetosphere prevent penetration, yes ??? After all these were not HUGE events. Elvis Precisely 66 
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