How'd y'all let this one get by ya, hehe?
:12/5CME:

I've been preoccupied rebuilding my computer files :(} and having wireless trouble too. Good work on tracking down the CACTus link. I'd give a 50-50 chance for geoeffectiveness (if it was from the west side I'd say "Bank on it"). I checked and didn't see any CME arrival prediction from Goddard. Either way, we don't have long to wait as the eruption was over 24-hrs. ago (it's halfway here already).
Try to follow up on that big southern filament liftoff; if doesn't go too far south of the ecliptic we could see a nice CME comin' our way. I'm hopin' for some action soon. The X-ray flux is flirting with A-levels! Wasn't it only 2 weeks ago we saw the highest SS# of the cycle? Old Sol sure is getting moody in his old age, haha.