SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 01/08/2013 05:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Da fuq If it keeps a strong magnetic mix and even releases a descent M class our grid is gonna really feel it. I imagine a direct X class from this would just strip away the already failing magnetosphere and atmosphere. Resulting in our irradiating. Don't worry about it too much, this too will probably get pee shy like the others and decay. I for one hope for doom! :1813: If it remains looking like that though i'd go ahead and Wow, notice the color, it is telling you +--+, that's positive, negative,negative,positive. That is going to be the short out of short out's that I have ever seen! I'll be the first to say; These Sunspots are going to give us an X class flare with very strong CME. There, I put it on the line. GLP Effect in 3....2....1.... I'm not gonna hold my breath. Whatever force is causing all earth facing sunspots to weaken will probably effect this big boy as well. |
NiNzrez User ID: 28232082 United States 01/08/2013 05:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It looks like there are two of them exact same size; Quoting: El Quisqueyano [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Another one is coming into view right next to it. It's like two eyes. Sure is starting to look like it's 2 of them right next to each other, both the size of Jupiter. Ninrez what effects, if any, could we expect from 2 spots the size of Jupiter facing Earth? all depends on the magnetic complexity it has still to soon to tell but it IS looking to be quite complex from what wesee now if it is as complex as it appears, we could see anything from X flares and/or CMEs |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31760125 Canada 01/08/2013 05:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: El Quisqueyano Wow, notice the color, it is telling you +--+, that's positive, negative,negative,positive. That is going to be the short out of short out's that I have ever seen! I'll be the first to say; These Sunspots are going to give us an X class flare with very strong CME. There, I put it on the line. GLP Effect in 3....2....1.... I'm not gonna hold my breath. Whatever force is causing all earth facing sunspots to weaken will probably effect this big boy as well. well.....maybe not ....... it is closeing in on the one year anniversery of our last big X flare..... I think it was January 27 2012...... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28232082 United States 01/08/2013 05:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | cant say for 100% sure just yet, because we need a bit better of a view (that we will have later today) Quoting: NiNzrez but as it is right now with what we Cant see... it is not 2 sunspots it is one with a leading spot, and a trailing spot and there is area filled in between the leading spot and the trailing spot we can see here that it is one sunspot with only a small viewable seperation between the leading spot and the trailing spot :monsterspot3: :monsterspot2: Edit: typo, "can" was suposto be "Can't" |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States 01/08/2013 05:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not seeing a classification on it yet, looks like at least a BG if not a BGD Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 31544363 United States 01/08/2013 05:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Da fuq If it keeps a strong magnetic mix and even releases a descent M class our grid is gonna really feel it. I imagine a direct X class from this would just strip away the already failing magnetosphere and atmosphere. Resulting in our irradiating. Don't worry about it too much, this too will probably get pee shy like the others and decay. I for one hope for doom! :1813: If it remains looking like that though i'd go ahead and Wow, notice the color, it is telling you +--+, that's positive, negative,negative,positive. That is going to be the short out of short out's that I have ever seen! I'll be the first to say; These Sunspots are going to give us an X class flare with very strong CME. There, I put it on the line. GLP Effect in 3....2....1.... I hope. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/08/2013 05:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | we have been talking about this today Quoting: NiNzrez way to soon yet to know if it is 2 sunspots, or one big one with a large leading spot and a large trailing sunspot we will know more by later tonight as it rotates a bit more in our direction and were able to get a better look :) Looks like all the same spot to me .... :1813: .....all within the same penumbra. yeah i agree i was saying the same on the previous page |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States 01/08/2013 05:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: El Quisqueyano I'll be the first to say; These Sunspots are going to give us an X class flare with very strong CME. There, I put it on the line. GLP Effect in 3....2....1.... I'm not gonna hold my breath. Whatever force is causing all earth facing sunspots to weaken will probably effect this big boy as well. well.....maybe not ....... it is closeing in on the one year anniversery of our last big X flare..... I think it was January 27 2012...... X1.7 Flare on 1/27/2012 @ 18:33 UTC - Sunspot 1402 - CME produced ETA: 16:00 UTC Jan 30, 2012 [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31760125 Canada 01/08/2013 05:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not gonna hold my breath. Whatever force is causing all earth facing sunspots to weaken will probably effect this big boy as well. well.....maybe not ....... it is closeing in on the one year anniversery of our last big X flare..... I think it was January 27 2012...... X1.7 Flare on 1/27/2012 @ 18:33 UTC - Sunspot 1402 - CME produced ETA: 16:00 UTC Jan 30, 2012 [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] good old sunspot 1402......thanks W.angel |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31743650 United States 01/08/2013 05:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: NiNzrez i have this is the link i have saved for this [link to ascendingstarseed.wordpress.com] i think ill need to re read it in the morning 3:25am here and i have not slept yet haha i will think better on some sleep ;) Hi Nin, It wasn't anything new age. This guy worked on solar data andbasically claimed those in the know knew about the history of solar cycles and the mechanics of the sun. It was very descriptive and wasn't just some guy matching these theories together. It was about 2 years ago and he claimed it was regarding this cycle. I figured it would get pulled because of the nature of it. It spurred my interest quite a bit and for over a year I have been following your thread but hadn't seen anything. I want to thank you and the rest of the gang for all the input given over this last year and a half I think its been. Take care everyone. Maurice Cotterell [link to www.youtube.com] Here's a better link for that interview: [link to www.youtube.com] The mechanics visually: [link to www.youtube.com] |
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whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States 01/08/2013 05:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Da fuq I'm not gonna hold my breath. Whatever force is causing all earth facing sunspots to weaken will probably effect this big boy as well. well.....maybe not ....... it is closeing in on the one year anniversery of our last big X flare..... I think it was January 27 2012...... X1.7 Flare on 1/27/2012 @ 18:33 UTC - Sunspot 1402 - CME produced ETA: 16:00 UTC Jan 30, 2012 [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] good old sunspot 1402......thanks W.angel You are most welcome. I was scrolling through Ninz blog and wow, it was fun times then. Below is just in July, and then then sun went to sleep. July 2012 Total M Flares = 45 Total X Flares = 2 M1.1 Flare on 7/29/2012 @ 15:48 UTC - Sunspot 1536 M2.3 Flare on 7/29/2012 @ 06:22 UTC - Sunspot 1532 - CME produced- Earth Directed - ETA: Aug 1, 2012 M6.1 Flare on 7/28/2012 @ 20:56 UTC - Sunspot 1532 - CME produced- Earth Directed - ETA: July 31, 2012 M2.7 Flare on 7/27/2012 @ 17:26 UTC - Sunspot 1532 M7.7 Flare on 7/19/2012 @ 05:58 UTC - Sunspot 1520 - LDE lasting 10hrs M1.7 Flare on 7/17/2012 @ 17:15 UTC - Sunspot 1520 - LDE lasting 7hrs - CME produced- ETA: July 20, 2012 M1.0 Flare on 7/14/2012 @ 04:58 UTC - Sunspot 1520 X1.4 Flare on 7/12/2012 @ 16:52 UTC - Sunspot 1520 - LDE lasting 5hrs - CME produced- Earth Directed - ETA: We calculated the time of arrival around 06:00 July 14th +/- 4hrs Read the full report on this event Here: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] M2.0 Flare on 7/10/2012 @ 06:27 UTC - Sunspot 1520 M1.7 Flare on 7/10/2012 @ 05:14 UTC - Sunspot 1520 M1.1 Flare on 7/09/2012 @ 23:07 UTC - Sunspot 1520 July 8th total M Flare count = 4 M6.9 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 16:32 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.4 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 12:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.1 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 09:53 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.3 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 05:46 UTC - Sunspot 1515 July 7th total M Flare count = 3 M2.6 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 11:03 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.0 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 08:28 UTC - Sunspot 1520 M1.2 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 03:15 UTC - Sunspot 1515 July 6th total M Flare count = 6 July 6th total X Flare count = 1 X1.1 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 23:08 UTC - Sunspot 1515 Read the full report on this event Here: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] M1.3 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 18:55 UTC - Sunspot 1520 M1.2 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 13:30 UTC - Sunspot 1520 M1.8 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 10:29 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.5 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 08:23 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.0 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 02:51 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M2.9 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 01:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515 July 5th total M Flare count = 11 M1.6 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 21:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.6 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 20:14 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.2 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 13:18 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M6.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 11:44 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.8 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 10:48 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.3 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 07:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 06:58 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M4.7 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 03:36 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M2.2 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 02:42 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 00:43 UTC - Sunspot 1515 July 4th total M Flare count = 7 M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513 M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M3.8 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 20:07 UTC - Sunspot 1515 M5.6 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 10:52 UTC - Sunspot 1515 - CME produced- ETA: July 5th M1.1 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 00:35 UTC - Sunspot 1513 M2.8 Flare on 7/01/2012 @ 19:18 UTC - Sunspot 1513 [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
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psyoptics User ID: 11919225 United States 01/08/2013 06:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | watch 1652.... if it decays this massive thing just might. i still see all SS going quiet....1640 quiet then got all worked up again. if 1652 break this trend all bet from me are off. we have seen huge SS rolls around this cycle and give zip...nadda...and the little things roll around the backside and BLAM! like this summer. a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants. |
shadasonic User ID: 1437851 United States 01/08/2013 06:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all, computers been virused to all hell, won't be on much in the next couple days. What a horrible time for it, with that or those monsters approaching. Much love and hopefully will be back on soon “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/08/2013 06:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | watch 1652.... Quoting: psyoptics if it decays this massive thing just might. i still see all SS going quiet....1640 quiet then got all worked up again. if 1652 break this trend all bet from me are off. we have seen huge SS rolls around this cycle and give zip...nadda...and the little things roll around the backside and BLAM! like this summer. We can only wait and see. 1652 is more complex and has produced more so far ..... |
shadasonic User ID: 1437851 United States 01/08/2013 06:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | watch 1652.... Quoting: psyoptics if it decays this massive thing just might. i still see all SS going quiet....1640 quiet then got all worked up again. if 1652 break this trend all bet from me are off. we have seen huge SS rolls around this cycle and give zip...nadda...and the little things roll around the backside and BLAM! like this summer. Yep, we'll see! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31760125 Canada 01/08/2013 06:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | watch 1652.... Quoting: psyoptics if it decays this massive thing just might. i still see all SS going quiet....1640 quiet then got all worked up again. if 1652 break this trend all bet from me are off. we have seen huge SS rolls around this cycle and give zip...nadda...and the little things roll around the backside and BLAM! like this summer. hey Psy just wondering if you had a chance to check out my thread... I would like to hear your opinion on my theory...thanks Thread: HEAVY VIBRATION/BUZZ IN CASCADE MOUNTAINS BC....... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31777196 United Kingdom 01/08/2013 07:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Massive outburst in neighbor galaxy surprises astronomers. Is the Milky Way next? Quoting: Luisport Posted on January 8, 2013by The Extinction Protocol The surprising discovery of a massive outburst in a neighboring galaxy is giving astronomers a tantalizing look at what likely is a powerful belch by a gorging black hole at the galaxy’s center. January 8, 2013 – SPACE – “The discovery was entirely serendipitous. Our observations were spread over a few years, and when we looked at them, we found that one galaxy had changed over that time from being placid and quiescent, to undergoing a hugely energetic outburst at the end,” said Robert Minchin, of Arecibo Observatory, who presented the research. The scientists were using the National Science Foundation’s (NSF) 305-meter William E. Gordon Telescope at Arecibo for their study when they discovered the outburst in NGC 660, a spiral galaxy 44 million light-years distant in the constellation Pisces. The outburst was ten times brighter than the largest supernova, or exploding star. They reported their findings at the American Astronomical Society’s meeting in Long Beach, California. After detecting the outburst, the team continued to observe NGC 660 with the Arecibo Telescope, and also sought to determine the cause of the outburst using an international network of telescopes to make a detailed image of the galaxy. “High-resolution imaging is the key to understanding what’s going on,” said Emmanuel Momjian, of the National Radio Astronomy Observatory (NRAO). “We needed to know if the outburst came from a supernova in this galaxy or from the galaxy’s core. We could only do that by harnessing the high-resolution imaging power we get by joining widely-separated radio telescopes together.” The astronomers used a network called the High Sensitivity Array (HSA), composed of the NSF’s Very Long Baseline Array (VLBA), a continent-wide system of ten radio telescopes ranging from Hawaii to the Virgin islands; the Arecibo Telescope; the NSF’s 100-meter Green Bank Telescope in West Virginia; and the 100-meter Effelsberg Radio Telescope of the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy in Germany. “By adding the large collecting area of the three big dishes to the VLBA, we got the images much more quickly. What we did with the HSA in less than half a day would have taken nearly nine days with the VLBA alone,” Momjian said. The resulting images were more complex than the scientists expected. They thought they would see either the ring of an expanding supernova or a jet of superfast material from the galaxy’s core. Instead, they saw five sites of bright radio emission, one near the center of the galaxy and two on either side. “The most likely explanation is that there are jets coming from the core, but they are precessing, or wobbling, and the hot spots we see are where the jets slammed into material near the galaxy’s nucleus,” said Chris Salter, of Arecibo Observatory. “To confirm this, we will continue to observe the galaxy with the HSA over the next few years,” he added. If the jet idea is correct, the outburst probably was caused by material pulled into the supermassive black hole at the center of the galaxy. The material would form a rapidly-spinning disk around the black hole before finally falling into it, and the disk would generate jets of particles blasting outward at nearly the speed of light. Astronomers are carefully watching a gas cloud in our own Milky Way Galaxy that is expected to fall into our Galaxy’s central black hole in the middle of this year. –Physics [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com] Thanks Luis, that is fascinating, only I would think the energy would have to shoot out as fast as the speed of light. posted this to a bit back paul la violette - "Possible Arrival of a Galactic Superwave within the Coming Months?" [link to starburstfound.org] this interesting to -seems smart bloke "Recent claim for a Galactic center high velocity outflow is likely a misinterpretation" [link to starburstfound.org] read book-earth under fire- and was well impressed sorry distract -im praying for quiet earth facing now : ) |
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Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States 01/08/2013 07:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oh well, NOAA has been NO-HELP, haha...at least they got the number right this time. New region AR1654 has been classified as (don't laugh) an ALPHA sunspot measuring in at 260 millionths (I said no laughter). As an unemployed relative-newbie at solar physics, I'm gonna agree with whoever said at least a Beta-Gamma and I'd estimate a size of at least 700 millionths. If we ever have a "solar Katrina", NOAA will be the "solar FEMA". Those overpaid eggheads make me wanna puke sometimes. (end rant.) Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 9 Issued at 0030Z on 09 Jan 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 08 Jan I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1638 N13W87 307 0060 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1642 S25W29 250 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1644 N15W19 239 0040 Hax 02 01 Alpha 1645 S14W72 292 0030 Cro 05 05 Beta 1646 N13W09 229 0030 Hrx 02 03 Alpha 1649 S15E18 202 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1650 S30E30 192 0120 Eao 12 07 Beta 1652 N19E38 183 0210 Fac 17 19 Beta-Gamma 1653 N09E35 185 0030 Cro 06 04 Beta 1654 N08E71 149 0260 Hhx 05 02 Alpha [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] AR 1654-Official- :1/9-1654: Latest color intensitygram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Lame-ass NOAA Discussion: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest event of the summary period was a C4 solar flare from old Region 1640 (N28, L=322) from beyond the west limb. Regions 1646 (N13W09), 1652 (N19E38), and new Region 1654 (N08E71) also produced low level C-class events. There are currently 10 numbered spot regions on the disk. Most of the regions have shown signs of stability or slight decay. Region 1652, a Beta-Gamma, is the most magnetically complex region on the visible disk. SOHO LASCO imagery indicated multiple CMEs in the past 24 hours, however analysis indicated that none appear to be Earth directed. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for moderate levels (R1 radio blackouts) during the forecast period (09-11 Jan). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 31775728 United States 01/08/2013 07:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oh well, NOAA has been NO-HELP, haha...at least they got the number right this time. New region AR1654 has been classified as (don't laugh) an ALPHA sunspot measuring in at 260 millionths (I said no laughter). As an unemployed relative-newbie at solar physics, I'm gonna agree with whoever said at least a Beta-Gamma and I'd estimate a size of at least 700 millionths. If we ever have a "solar Katrina", NOAA will be the "solar FEMA". Those overpaid eggheads make me wanna puke sometimes. (end rant.) Quoting: Hugh M Eye Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 9 Issued at 0030Z on 09 Jan 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 08 Jan I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1638 N13W87 307 0060 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1642 S25W29 250 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1644 N15W19 239 0040 Hax 02 01 Alpha 1645 S14W72 292 0030 Cro 05 05 Beta 1646 N13W09 229 0030 Hrx 02 03 Alpha 1649 S15E18 202 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 1650 S30E30 192 0120 Eao 12 07 Beta 1652 N19E38 183 0210 Fac 17 19 Beta-Gamma 1653 N09E35 185 0030 Cro 06 04 Beta 1654 N08E71 149 0260 Hhx 05 02 Alpha [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] AR 1654-Official- :1/9-1654: Latest color intensitygram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Lame-ass NOAA Discussion: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest event of the summary period was a C4 solar flare from old Region 1640 (N28, L=322) from beyond the west limb. Regions 1646 (N13W09), 1652 (N19E38), and new Region 1654 (N08E71) also produced low level C-class events. There are currently 10 numbered spot regions on the disk. Most of the regions have shown signs of stability or slight decay. Region 1652, a Beta-Gamma, is the most magnetically complex region on the visible disk. SOHO LASCO imagery indicated multiple CMEs in the past 24 hours, however analysis indicated that none appear to be Earth directed. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for moderate levels (R1 radio blackouts) during the forecast period (09-11 Jan). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I agree ...... the only logical reasoning would be that they have only taken the western most spot into consideration and will number the second tomorrow ?? Covering their asses so to speak as they aren't' really sure how to classify it yet?? Still doesn't excuse the alpha classification. |
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#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 26012302 United States 01/08/2013 08:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Alpha??? Is this a joke or they need to see more of the sunspot to further classify it? |
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