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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle Hugh M Eye
Post Content
We may still see some effects from that 2nd CME, though not much so far.

Event Issue Date: 2013-01-23 16:01:05.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-01-26 11:26:12.0 GMT

Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 10 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re

SOHO/Celias observed an Interplanetary Shock yesterday (probably from the 1st CME?):
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

SOHO did see a few spikes in density:
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

The Bz has turned south again and solar wind velocity has increased above 500km/s:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA-
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind speed, measured at the ACE spacecraft, increased from
approximately 350 km/s to a maximum of 536 km/s over the period as a
co-rotating interaction followed by a coronal hole high speed stream
became geoeffective. After 25/1600 UTC, total field increased from 5 nT
to a maximum of 17 nT, while deflections in the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field ranged from +16 nT to -13 nT.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speed is expected to remain enhanced on day 1 (27 Jan) as
coronal hole high speed stream effects continue combined with a possible
glancing blow from the 23 January CME. A decrease to nominal levels is
expected by days 2-3 (28-29 Jan).
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 
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