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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle Hugh M Eye
Post Content
Sudden Impulse and a Kp4

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2048
Issue Time: 2013 Feb 16 1713 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2013 Feb 16 1711 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Feb 16 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.


Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
Serial Number: 167
Issue Time: 2013 Feb 16 1217 UTC

SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2013 Feb 16 1210 UTC
Deviation: 10 nT
Station: Boulder

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

expected events timeline
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Howdy, NINz, looks like the CME that was supposed to miss us has given NOAA a poke in the eye, LOL. Look at the density spike from SOHO:
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Latest from NOAA-

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days
(16 - 18 February).
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder magnetometer topped out at 57nT recently:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA & NASA have a really poor track record so far in 2013 for CME predictions. The ones they've forecasted never arrived at Earth and this one they shrugged off as not-geoeffective has given us a little kick in the shins.
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