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| 01:22 PM | ||
| Users Online Now: 2,266 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 1,170,878 | |
| Pageviews Today: 1,637,837 | Threads Today: 452 | Posts Today: 8,162 |
| 01:22 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 28232082  United States02/28/2013 05:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | we have a CME that arrived earlier today with Density spikes at ACE reaching a high in the 60s and 80s Quoting: NiNzrez [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] we even had a density reading of 92.5 at 17:04 UTC [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] a little hit to help: you can always tell if a CME is headed at ACE/Earth by watching the wave of 'Low Energy Protons' on he ACE charts 3day 'low energy proton' chart [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Whoa! and we had a Density spike at 17:46 UTC with a high reading of 142.2 !!! Hello, NINzrez  Nice catch there! We must be seeing some action from that large beyond-the-limb CME on the 25th (it's too soon to be the big filament eruption from yesterday). In any case NOAA and NASA claimed both were not geoeffective. A much smaller density measurement was taken at SOHO (less than 30 p/ccm so far):[link to umtof.umd.edu] Here's NOAA 24hr Summary and Forecast for SW and Geomagnetic conditions- Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... ACE data indicated no significant activity in the solar wind flow during the period. Wind speed ranged from 297 to 358 km/s during the period. Phi data indicated a negative-polarity (toward) solar sector during most of the period. However, there was a shift to a positive-polarity (away) sector during approximately 27/0300. IMF Bt ranged from 1 to 6 nT, while IMF Bz was variable at +/- 5 nT. .Forecast... Wind speed is expected to increase on days 2 - 3 (01 - 02 Mar) due to the onset of a CH HSS. Enlil ambient-mode model output predicts peak wind speeds around 450 km/s with this CH HSS. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day 1 (28 Feb). Field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days 2 and 3 (01-02 Mar), with a chance for active levels and a slight chance for minor storm levels (NOAA Scale G1 (Minor)), due to the onset of a recurrent CH HSS. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Still no spaceweather warnings or alerts posted: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ACE 6-hr. SW data-Density is spiking again now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] sure does look like some of that one on the 25th got us solar wind has not increased much, but density sure is staying elevated all day long [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States02/28/2013 06:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may see a NOAA K-4 warning soon. It looks like some of the coronal hole winds are picking up, as well as the temperature. Bz has turned south too. ACE solar wind-magnetic field plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Electron flux shows movement: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Boulder magnetometer recently as high as 23nT (or K=3.3): [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] They did predict a possible G1 storm from this particular CH.  |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States02/28/2013 07:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AR1683 has companion active region following close behind it in the SE. AR1683 & New Friend- :2/28-1683: Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 60 Issued at 0030Z on 01 Mar 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 28 Feb I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 28/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1680 S28W00 270 0020 Cro 04 03 Beta 1681 N17E20 249 0020 Cro 02 02 Beta 1682 S18W30 299 0180 Dai 08 15 Beta-Gamma 1683 S16E68 201 0150 Dao 06 03 Beta Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] AIA 171angstrom image: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] AR1683 Magnetogram- :1683mag: NOAA Discussion-Solar Activity Low- .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was very low. Occasional to frequent B-class flares occurred, the largest of which was a B7 at 28/1601 UTC from Region 1682 (S18W30, Dai/beta-gamma). Region 1682 showed gradual spot and penumbral growth in its intermediate portion and maintained a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 1683 (S16E68, Dao/beta) produced three B-class flares as it rotated further into view. Little change was noted in Region 1683, but analysis was hampered due to limb-foreshortening effects. The remaining two spotted regions were unremarkable. There were no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections during the period. Geospace-24 hr Summary- The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... Geomagnetic field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (01 Mar), with a chance for active levels and a slight chance for minor storm levels (NOAA Scale G1 (Minor)), due to the onset of a recurrent CH HSS. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on day 2 (02 Mar), with a chance for unsettled levels and a slight chance for active levels, as CH HSS effects subside. Quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (03 Mar). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] USAF Wing Kp plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| madajs User ID: 24791599  Canada02/28/2013 09:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep bit of CH HSS activity going on hey? Bt above 10 nT but the Bz is currently pretty friendly, have to see if that changes [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States02/28/2013 09:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here it is now.... Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 2049 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 01 0235 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2013 Mar 01 0233 UTC Valid To: 2013 Mar 01 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 1627 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 01 0242 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 01 0242 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States02/28/2013 10:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep bit of CH HSS activity going on hey? Quoting: madajs Bt above 10 nT but the Bz is currently pretty friendly, have to see if that changes [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Howdy, madajs,  yep, it's comin' in strong now. The Boulder magnetometer showing deviation at 79nT now....k=5.[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Electron flux fragglezizzle: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ACE SWEPAM Plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]  |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States02/28/2013 10:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | My favorite aurora-cams are cloudy or foggy, but these are lookin' good.... Finland All-sky: [link to www.sgo.fi] Tromso All-sky cam: [link to polaris.nipr.ac.jp] Norway web cam: [link to 128.39.135.10] |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 1426914 United States03/01/2013 02:40 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 34713934 United States03/01/2013 02:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Then something happened no one had ever seen before: the particles settled into a new configuration, showing an extra, third belt extending out into space. Within mere days of launch, the Van Allen Probes showed scientists something that would require rewriting textbooks. Planet evolving? Becoming more complex? Could it be linked with the solar maximum? Did the planet form this in response to an external stimuli, and if so how? |
| Boceph User ID: 14859593 United States03/01/2013 07:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been participating much lately, but if i remember how to read this : [link to www.solarham.net] we are expecting K7 ? |
| Tiny Trink User ID: 34877295 United States03/01/2013 07:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Much Love, [link to www.youtube.com] Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 35207099 United States03/01/2013 07:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been participating much lately, but Quoting: Boceph if i remember how to read this : [link to www.solarham.net] we are expecting K7 ? Good morning The green horizontal green line on the Wing Kp is the predicted/anticipated on the graph, and the blue actual. So this shows staying just below 5 for the next 2 hours. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 35207099 United States03/01/2013 07:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shenue User ID: 35346027 United States03/01/2013 08:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Morning All. I hope everyone is well today. I couldn't resist this creepy little animation. :-) :Creapy: Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States03/01/2013 08:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It does seem like forever. Some of us haven't been able to get on this site for hours at a time, along with 'other' sites. Glad to see you guys are able to keep us awake and aware! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shenue User ID: 35346027 United States03/01/2013 08:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It does seem like forever. Some of us haven't been able to get on this site for hours at a time, along with 'other' sites. Glad to see you guys are able to keep us awake and aware! In the past day or two, I haven't been able to get on GLP for much of the time. Getting message that there is a server problem. And now I am on (obiously lol) but it is very, very slow. Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 35207099 United States03/01/2013 09:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It does seem like forever. Some of us haven't been able to get on this site for hours at a time, along with 'other' sites. Glad to see you guys are able to keep us awake and aware! In the past day or two, I haven't been able to get on GLP for much of the time. Getting message that there is a server problem. And now I am on (obiously lol) but it is very, very slow. Hey there Shada and Shenue. The issues is site wide and have effected all of us. The perma pins by Trinity explain why. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States03/01/2013 09:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WATA20 Serial Number: 512 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 01 0953 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Mar 01: G1 (Minor) Mar 02: None (Below G1) Mar 03: None (Below G1) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 709 Issue Time: 2013 Mar 01 1136 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 01 1134 UTC Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] K-indices: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Kp-index: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States03/01/2013 09:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shenue User ID: 35346027 United States03/01/2013 09:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It does seem like forever. Some of us haven't been able to get on this site for hours at a time, along with 'other' sites. Glad to see you guys are able to keep us awake and aware! In the past day or two, I haven't been able to get on GLP for much of the time. Getting message that there is a server problem. And now I am on (obiously lol) but it is very, very slow. Hey there Shada and Shenue. The issues is site wide and have effected all of us. The perma pins by Trinity explain why. Hi 66 I figured it was site wide. I tried to get on several threads here and nothing would come up. I'll check out Trinity's pins. Thanks! Hope you are doing well, 66! Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| mtn_mang User ID: 31420538 United States03/01/2013 09:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States03/01/2013 09:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Haven't had a good solar storm ear hiss in a while, nice! Good luck Mtn! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shenue User ID: 35346027 United States03/01/2013 10:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I know this isn't exactly on topic, but it is interesting: Astronomers have captured what may be the first-ever direct photograph of an alien planet in the process of forming around a nearby star. [link to news.yahoo.com] Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| mtn_mang User ID: 26779253 United States03/01/2013 10:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States03/01/2013 11:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shenue User ID: 35346027 United States03/01/2013 11:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | thanks, mon amie! Hiring manager told me they don't have preferential treatment for vets and I slayed the interview so I'm walking on solar wind right now! Fingers crossed for you mtn. When should you hear something? Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 31662450 United States03/01/2013 11:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE 6-hr Solar Wind plot shows a gust of nearly 900 km/s! Wow. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] SOHO SW velocity has doubled in the past 48 hrs: [link to umtof.umd.edu] HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer: [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] GOES Electron flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States03/01/2013 11:19 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 648 is just a number that I forgot it could hit....got a major headache brewing as I try to catch up on everything after all the craziness of yesterday. Major GLP withdrawals I had for sure! Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 35207099 United States03/01/2013 11:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 35207099 United States03/01/2013 11:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
