SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

I knowwwww ....... What is stranger still is that the last time I went to Maya, there was a really big earthquake in Japan.

Maybe the pyramids are the place to be.

[link to www.scc-ares-races.org]
I also use this chart as well. It will give you UTC time conversion for standard time as well as Daylight savings.
I think the only error in the above calculation is that it is expected to arrive around 17:00 UTC Sat. 3/16 - 03:00 UTC Sun. 3/17. That should be 1pm EST Sat. 3/16 - 11pm EST Sat. 3/16

Chitzen Itza, or Coba. We been there before, but it seems appropriate under the circumstances

The sun recently erupted with two coronal mass ejections (CMEs). One began at 8:36 p.m. EDT on March 12, 2013 and is directed toward three NASA spacecraft, Spitzer, Kepler and Epoxi. There is, however, no particle radiation associated with this event, which is what would normally concern operators of interplanetary spacecraft since the particles can trip computer electronics on board. A second CME began at 6:54 a.m. EDT on March 13, 2013 and its flank may pass by Earth at a speed that does not typically have a significant impact at Earth.

Experimental NASA research models, based on observations from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) and ESA/NASA’s Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, indicate that both CMEs left the sun at around 400 miles per second, which is a fairly typical speed for CMEs.

Not to be confused with a solar flare, a CME is a solar phenomenon that can send solar particles into space and reach Earth one to three days later.

Earth-directed CMEs can cause a space weather phenomenon called a geomagnetic storm, which occurs when they connect with the outside of Earth's magnetic envelope, the magnetosphere, for an extended period of time. In the past, geomagnetic storms from CMEs of this speed are usually mild. CMEs such as this have caused auroras near the poles but are unlikely to disrupt electrical systems on Earth or interfere with GPS or satellite-based communications systems.

NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center ( [link to swpc.noaa.gov)] is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts, alerts, watches and warnings.

Updates will be provided if needed.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Flanking?? Thought it looked dead on to me??

I knowwwww ....... What is stranger still is that the last time I went to Maya, there was a really big earthquake in Japan.

Maybe the pyramids are the place to be.

Chitzen Itza, or Coba. We been there before, but it seems appropriate under the circumstances

Awesome! You are a lucky lady

look at the date

Chitzen Itza, or Coba. We been there before, but it seems appropriate under the circumstances

Coba is actually where the tablet was found

Well don 't be, we'll be on the plane at 6:38 on the 20th. A little birdie told me the 22nd might be interesting however ....

wow something i did not notice till just now when i was looking at the SDO movie for all of today. directly after todays M flare & CME, the southern coronal hole expanded and opened a large CH area just north of the southern coronal hole
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I hope you have a wonderful and safe journey hon.

Southern Coronal Hole 'Before M flare
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Southern Coronal Hole 'After M flare
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Thank you Angel ..... between prediction, weather , and an active sun, it may prove more interesting than I bargained for.

What can happen with the enormety of that hole ?
if thats one

any body has idea


did this hapened before?

Chitzen Itza, or Coba. We been there before, but it seems appropriate under the circumstances

Good work NiN :) Looks like we'll get some CH action in a few days time as well

CACTus CME Details show a mean velocity of 840 km/s (and mistakenly call it a type II halo). NOAA's speed guesstimate was nearly double at 1399 kms/s. This gives us a huge amount of "wiggle room" in our arrival predictions. Anybody care to guess along ? We can make it a contest, LOL.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Much to my surprise, NASA is forecasting an even earlier arrival (slightly) than NOAA.--

Event Issue Date: 2013-03-15 09:23:51.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-03-16 16:59:03.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 4 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I have no idea still how they calculate a 'Disturbance Duration' of 4 hours. In my experience these CME events last anywhere from 10 to 32 hours. Wam-bam-thak-you, maam!

Anyway, I'll take a stab and predict impact will start on 3-17 at about 03:00z (+/- 3 hrs.) and duration will be 8-12 hrs (+/-6 hrs).

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]