SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

I'm looking for a reason because it doesn't appear to be solar.

Exactly.

He has never answered these questions from me,as far as I am aware.

He will only mock facts I present him.

Weren't we suppose to have a mild CMe today?
[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.solarham.net]

Usually though, CME starts from the bottom of that graph and not just in the middle.

Last Edited by WhiteAngel on 03/22/2013 05:51 PM

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That is also showing something hitting.

Exactly, this has a different signature

Whatever it is it has the top of my head crawling, not the usual vibe for me

Was it this CME?

:322cme:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Edited: wrong link

Hello Angel

From SWPC Discussion -

'Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
value of 494 km/s at 22/0239 UTC and ended the period near 375 km/s.
The total interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) ranged between 0.6 nT to
7.0 nT while the Bz component was predominately positive with a 2 1/2
hour interval of negative Bz to -4 nT beginning at about 22/1545 UTC.
The phi angle was orientated in a predominately positive (away) sector
through about 22/0400 UTC when a shift to negative (towards) was
observed. The orientation remained negative through about 22/1530 UTC
when it became variable through the remainder of the period.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speeds are expected to be slightly enhanced on day one (23
March) due to the expected passage from the 17 March CME. However, very
little impact is expected in solar wind signatures. On days two and
three (24 - 25 March), a return to nominal solar wind parameters is
expected.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet to
unsettled levels for day one (23 March) due to possible weak CME
effects. A return to quiet levels is expected on days two and three (24
- 25 March).' [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solen -

'Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on March 22 due to possible effects from CH561. Quiet conditions are likely on March 23-24' [link to www.solen.info]

So,CHS I would guess,though the Speed is very low and so is the Density.

If anything,it doesn't look too bad,yet.

We'll need more updates to see if it is just a little IMF bumpiness or what,exactly.

Unless anyone else has something?

Solar Stats. Courtesy of Solen -

'Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on March 21. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 371 and 548 km/s under the influence of CME effects.

Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 106.1 (increasing 6.5 over the last solar rotation).

The background x-ray flux was at the class B6 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 9 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11692 [N08W83] rotated partly out of view and was the only AR displaying any activity of interest. C5+ flare: M1.6 long duration event peaking at 22:04 UTC
Region 11694 [N13W74] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11695 [N09W61] was quiet and stable.
Region 11700 [S12E07] was quiet and stable.
New region 11702 [N08W22] emerged on March 20 and developed further on March 21 when it was numbered by SWPC.

Spotted regions not numbered by SWPC:
S2299 [N18W11] reemerged with a penumbra spot.
S2306 [N10W66] was quiet and stable.
S2307 [S25W46] developed slowly and quitly.
New region S2309 [N00E03] emerged near the center of the visible disk with a penumbra spot' [link to www.solen.info]

Thank you SC and howdy my friend!!

Hello Angel,no problem

Someone take NASAs' Crayons off them,would they [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?

: )

Region to watch:S2307 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Extreme South-West.

Looks like a full blown Beta-Gamma already and should be 1703...we'll see about that though



Edit:also 1702(North-West) and what remains of 1692/4 on the North-West limb.

There are some unnumbered regions developing elsewhere,1700 is no longer a Sunspot.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/22/2013 07:09 PM

Betcha S2307 blows up over night and develops into a farside beast!LOL




Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 03/22/2013 07:14 PM

They've gone scribble crazy. I wonder if a large grouping but small sized meteor fleet could cause magnetospheric disturbance. Seems they're being spotted from georgia to boston. Dogs and cats going nuts and talk of electronic devices going haywire. Going to do some hunting. Peace my brother!

Yes,peace Monsignor Shada

Something is beating [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] somewhere,could Flare soon if that is a pulse,as it looks.

My guess [link to halpha.nso.edu] little guy(soon to be 1703)on the South-West



Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/22/2013 07:53 PM

Middle Filament [link to halpha.nso.edu] .

Theirs and yours if ya got em!

Hyder Flare in Progress [link to halpha.nso.edu] Middle of disk - Though the X-rays register nothing [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] yet?

Hello Isis

Temp. Difference [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] Top Right.

'The Future is Cool' lol : )

So many charts and plots [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] .

I personally think we will see(as has been forecast by the AGW fuckers)that we will see wild swings in Climate variability until some kind of equilibrium is achieved and the overall Temp. plummets in the next 15-30 Years.

I have been trying to go through so much of the above work(and trying to process it)that my head is throbbing.

But,the overall direction(if Solar is the main driver)is downward.

As is shown in some of those Graphs etc. above,we have Volcanoes that could change the game or add flavo(u)or any time they want to the overall direction of Climate,this is partly what makes CO2s' potential a living joke.

But,all in all,regardless of what happens down here on Earth,I stand by the 'Landscheidt Minimum' as being now and this Cycle on out [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] as also being minimal,unless something else is at hand!

Hello, my friend!

Nice catch, I didn't see that worm earlier.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 03/22/2013 08:41 PM

Why is GOES not registering this [link to halpha.nso.edu] at all?

?

Thank you Isis : )

Did it fall back to surface?

Sometimes filaments won't register as an xray spike if the photonic partner didn't erupt, just particle release

Another GLP Solar Mystery Solved! Someone please pass this on to BendingTheLight and the others....

Sorry I forgot about this old NASA News story from 2008 (PR for THEMIS Mission) until I saw Spaceweather.com linked to it the other day. This explains why the magnetosphere is extra jumpy around this time of year.....

SPRING IS AURORA SEASON-

It turns out that rope-like magnetic connections between Sun and Earth are favored in springtime. It's a matter of geometry: As Earth goes around in its orbit, Earth's tilted magnetic poles make different angles with respect to the Sun, tipping back and forth with a one-year cadence. Around the time of the equinox, Earth's magnetic field is best oriented for "connecting-up" with the Sun.
But wait, there are two equinoxes, spring and fall, with similar magnetic geometry. Indeed, studies show that fall is aurora season, too. Geomagnetic disturbances are almost twice as likely in spring and fall vs. winter and summer, according to 75 years of historical records analyzed by solar physicist David Hathaway of the Marshall Space Flight Center: diagram.
So, 'tis the season for auroras--and lots of data for THEMIS. Says Sibeck, "we welcome the spring!"

[link to science.nasa.gov]

Yes, indeed, happy Spring to all.

Finally a story about planetary alignments which makes sense to me,LOL.

But it is [link to halpha.nso.edu] !?

That looks like Flaring to moi?

Pretty punchy too.

Hello Hugh!

That makes a lot of sense,thank you massively.

That Picture is also very,very cool.