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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Da fuq

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar magnetic shutdown?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Well slap my ass and call me Mandy - Give the man a Blowjob.

Yes Da'f,as has been shown,I don't even want to say it again,but here -

'The observed prolonged high maximum of solar activity that occurred during the 11th to 12th centuries’ warming period (the Minor Climate Optimum), which was comparable to contemporary warming or even greater, caused serious climate changes. In Scotland vineyards were cultivated; Greenland completely justified its name of "green land" and was settled by Normans at the end of the tenth and beginning of the eleventh century. But a subsequent deep fall in the temperature (the Maunder minimum, the coldest phase of the Little Ice Age)froze all the channels in Holland, in London froze the Thames, in Paris froze the Seine, and in Greenland caused the glaciers to grow,forcing people to leave its centuries-old settlements.The intense solar energy flow radiated since the beginning of the 1990's is slowly decreasing and, in spite of conventional opinion, there is now an unavoidable advance toward a global temperature decrease, a deep temperature drop comparable to the Maunder minimum (Fig. 5). By the middle of this century the shortage of solar energy received maybe on the order of 0.2% of its maximum average level in the 1980’s; thus, about 3 W/m2
. Although the change in the TSI would be at a level of about 0.07% in the “short” cycle, its influence on the climate would be smoothed out by the thermal inertia of the world ocean. However, if a similar shortage persists over two cycles, the climate will unavoidably change, with atime delay of 17 ± 5 years because of the thermal inertia just noted -
At present, in the 23rd “short” solar cycle,which has extended to 12 years, the upper atmosphere receives in average 0.19 W/m2less solar energy than it did in the 22nd solar cycle. Annually, the shortage is 6 x 10-6th joules/m2,while over an entire cycle, the hemisphere of the earth turned to the Sun – an area of 127.5 x 10-6thp km2– will receive 24 million megajoules less energy than before. The Sun no longer heats the Earth as before. Our planet experiences a shortage of energy comparable with the summed power of 21 million nuclear power plants; it is living under the conditions of a cooling Sun -
The tendency toward a decline in gl0bal temperature 0bserved in 2006-2008 (Fig. 7) will stop temporarily in 2010-2012. Then an increase in the TSI is expected, as solar cycle 24 (a “short” cycle) will temporarily compensate for the declining bicentennial component. But if solar activity in the “short” cycle does not rise sufficiently, the cooling of planet will begin to the deep temperature drop in 2055-2060± 11 years,when temperature will be lower by 1.0 – 1.5 degrees. The following climate minimum will last 45-65 years, after which warming will necessarily begin, but only at the beginning of the 22nd century
(Fig. 8)' [link to www.gao.spb.ru] Titled and by - 'THE SUN DEFINES THE CLIMATE
Habibullo Abdussamatov, Dr. Sc.
Head of Space research laboratory
of the Pulkovo Observatory,
Head of the Russian/Ukrainian joint project Astrometria.

I post that as another correct(ish) 0bservation that we are headed for Maunder Stylee,but the difference with this Russian Scientists predictions and those of Vukcevic and Landscheidt is that he placed the onset a over a Decade later than what is happening now,though he was spot on with the basic real start of the decline beginning at 24s' end in 2011.

Anyways,anyone shocked by this [link to science.nasa.gov] prediction of Cycle 24s' Sunspot Number produced by Hathaway/NASA in about 2006 - I personally think they knew they were lying when they put that out as the Dipole had been predicted to decrease all over the shop [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] .

That's it,I will no longer discuss this,all I will say is I hope we see a second round but after that we will not have a Max again for a Long Time(time period depends on who you'd place more trust in,based of prior predictions and models)I think that M.A.Vukcevic/Theodor Landscheidt are the closest for onset with Dr.Habibullo Abdussamatov(of the above PDF)laying out better the length of time the Cooling will persist for(beyond 2100).

But,I have found a Correlation between Solar Minima. and Volcanic Eruptions of Silica-rich Magmas reaction with Muons as a direct result of Cyclical periods of less Solar output and hence Increased Cosmic Rays,where in 9 out of 11 Eruptions occurred across 306 Years giving a 96.7% correlation...so I am saying large one could *pop* potentially,if this is in fact not just a flukey correlation,here is that anyway [link to www.sciencedirect.com] .

Dawg Tired and frankly,pretty Suicidal,so I am gonna' bounce.

elmo

sun

cry
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


You shouldn't behave that way, you are a leader and a true light in these days, and you will be needed immensely in the days to come. Get some sleep , eat healthy and don't frighten us with crazy talk! Energy is driving us in ways you can't fathom, we are close to a shift that will open eyes, refresh and renew my good friend, you WILL BE NEEDED!!!
 Quoting: shadasonic


clappa
shadasonic

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thread: Sneak Peek- Just released- Alaska Brown Bear and his Mama video

relax and enjoy a few minutes of beautifull mother and child interaction. Nature is grand! Thank you AK!hf

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 04/05/2013 07:05 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Da fuq

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

CHS hit?
shadasonic

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04/05/2013 08:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Da fuq

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04/05/2013 08:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


Crazy times ahead.
Isis One

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04/05/2013 10:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


Woowho!!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
sounds

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04/06/2013 12:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all, just completed a little time lapse video of sunspot AR 1711.
Over two hours in forty seconds.

[link to s1245.photobucket.com]

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Nice job, sounds! applausecheers What kind of scope-camera setup are you using? My dream is one day get an H-alpha sunscope. This one looks inviting.....

[link to www.universetoday.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hi Hugh, thanks for your comment. Regarding what kind of Scope it’s a catdioptric telescope I have it polar aligned and motor controlled I use a cannon quickshot (Focal mounted] on a universal camera mount but I will use any camera I can find,as for watching H-alpha waves yeah that would be a buzz. I long for the day I can afford a calcium-K filter for my setup and a DSLR camera.

Thanks again for all your work.

peace
Political correctness without wisdom, is just Political nonsense.
sounds

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04/06/2013 12:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all, just completed a little time lapse video of sunspot AR 1711.
Over two hours in forty seconds.

[link to s1245.photobucket.com]

peace
 Quoting: sounds


awesome perspective sounds! looks like an amoeba!
 Quoting: Isis One


hf
Political correctness without wisdom, is just Political nonsense.
sounds

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04/06/2013 12:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm buying a tracking mount for my solar telescope tomorrow. Hopefully getting some time lapses of ejectas :)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


You do that Geo!, I cant wait to see the results.
I like your work.

peace
Political correctness without wisdom, is just Political nonsense.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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04/06/2013 01:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm buying a tracking mount for my solar telescope tomorrow. Hopefully getting some time lapses of ejectas :)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


You do that Geo!, I cant wait to see the results.
I like your work.

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Thanks. I like your work also.PopcornMunchin
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Tiny Trink

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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04/06/2013 04:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks likes sun getting ready for something bigsmile_kiss
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


Woowho!!!
 Quoting: Isis One


woohoo
shenue

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning All

:FemHugeCoffee:
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 07:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morgan Shenusun

And everyone : )

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] <--- That escalated quickly,lol.





Funnies,not see thistornado before now.


By ze vay,Shads,thank you,but I am kukooo,I thought that much had at least been already Est.1980AD.

The is shining nicely Today [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] check out what's blowing off COR2!

Need Cwaffee.

:coffeslurp:

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/06/2013 01:40 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm buying a tracking mount for my solar telescope tomorrow. Hopefully getting some time lapses of ejectas :)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


You do that Geo!, I cant wait to see the results.
I like your work.

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Thanks. I like your work also.PopcornMunchin
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#



That smilie Munchin!

But Geo,that would be awesome!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR1718 has developed nicely and produced 3 C-flares while I slept. The largest C1.7 was from AR1711 and was initially missed by Solarsoft.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1718 Growing-
:1718_HMIIC:
:1718_HMIBC:
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR1718 has developed nicely and produced 3 C-flares while I slept. The largest C1.7 was from AR1711 and was initially missed by Solarsoft.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1718 Growing-
:1718_HMIIC:
:1718_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


LMSAL finally caught up eh ??? I noticed this also this morning, and was wondering who slept through their shift wink

Good morning all hf

Cesium, you got mail .
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 08:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Well,Sol isn't looking too bad today [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] 1719 on the East limb has got reversed Polarities [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1711 just looks weird.

Off for Coffee.

sun

Edito: :hi:66!

be back now.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/06/2013 08:14 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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04/06/2013 08:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Well,Sol isn't looking too bad today [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] 1719 on the East limb has got reversed Polarities [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1711 just looks weird.

Off for Coffee.

sun

Edito: :hi:66!

be back now.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Was about to ask if anyone else noticed that.

wtf
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 08:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Well,Sol isn't looking too bad today [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] 1719 on the East limb has got reversed Polarities [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1711 just looks weird.

Off for Coffee.

sun

Edito: :hi:66!

be back now.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Was about to ask if anyone else noticed that.

wtf
 Quoting: Da fuq


Hello Da' - It looks,I think,like it is related to what you can see on COR2 right now,that badass Streamer going CME,if you pause the COR1 at 03:05 you will notice that it changes there with a two Hour gap,so it isn't as sudden as it looks,but all the same is pretty fooking intense looking!

Pause the COR2 Ahead [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] around 03:05 - 05:05 and see if the reason is noticeable : )

Looks like Sol got Ejecta in line!

The Corona by the way Da'f is not of one fixed size and does vary alot in area,but I think you would know that by now,you look at it enough to have noticedhf

near

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 09:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR1718 has developed nicely and produced 3 C-flares while I slept. The largest C1.7 was from AR1711 and was initially missed by Solarsoft.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1718 Growing-
:1718_HMIIC:
:1718_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


LMSAL finally caught up eh ??? I noticed this also this morning, and was wondering who slept through their shift wink

Good morning all hf

Cesium, you got mail .
 Quoting: TS66


Hello 66,Guten Tagsun

That region is the little punchy bugger I saw throwing minifits on H alpha Yesterday,little cutie it is : )


Is it possible to have a Tripolar Sun during Migration [link to www.solen.info]

Or has it gone Quadripolar again,I think I heard the Japanese saying something like that recently,less I dreamt it!?
(how is 'dreamt' not in the US spellchecker!?)

We have 11 numbered Regions,that will bump up the Sunspot count a little.

Solen says -

'The background x-ray flux was at the class B4 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 11 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11708 [N11W36] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11710 [S22W42] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11711 [S18W02] was quiet. New penumbra spots formed to the southeast of the single large spot.
Region 11713 [N09W20] developed slowly and quietly.
Region 11714 [N12E28] was quiet and stable.
Region 11715 [N17W27] was quiet and stable.
New region 11716 [S20E34] rotated into view on April 1 and was numbered by SWPC 4 days later.
New region 11717 [S12E67] emerged with several spots.
New region 11718 [N22E46] emerged quickly with several spots. C flares are possible
.
New region 11719 [N08E80] rotated into view. While there's only one spot with penumbra, a negative polarity area is sandwiched between 2 positive polarity areas. C5+ flare: M2.2 at 17:48 UTC.

Spotted regions not numbered by SWPC:
S2337 [S07E55] was quiet and stable


Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on April 6-8. Quiet to unsettled is likely on April 9-10 due to effects from CH564
' [link to www.solen.info]

The Region on the east from 1717 to S2337 is completely Cross Equatorial [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

sunhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It just doesn't bode well [link to wso.stanford.edu] look at that from 2000 onwards!?

Hugh!

Sorry,didn't notice you up there,hopes alls gut,ja?

sun

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/06/2013 09:25 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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04/06/2013 09:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 10:23 AM
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Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I'm yet to watch it.

About to,be back in a bit Bro.

Hope you are good Today Da'Fuq.

hf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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04/06/2013 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


Thats a big ol GRB hit my friend , proton craziness. We aren't being protected from much,we're lucky the suns dead
 Quoting: shadasonic


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I'm yet to watch it.

About to,be back in a bit Bro.

Hope you are good Today Da'Fuq.

hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Another obnoxiously sunny day here in cali, all in all I can't complain.

Hope you are coming back together, like shad said your energy will be needed.



Stick around in this shithole "reality" a little longer.hf

Last Edited by Da fuq on 04/06/2013 10:48 AM
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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04/06/2013 10:51 AM

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...


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I'm yet to watch it.

About to,be back in a bit Bro.

Hope you are good Today Da'Fuq.

hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Another obnoxiously sunny day here in cali, all in all I can't complain.

Hope you are coming back together, like shad said your energy will be needed.



Stick around in this shithole "reality" a little longer.hf
 Quoting: Da fuq


Where in California are you?
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
curi0sis'SolSis
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04/06/2013 11:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


SO described it as an energy flux from earth after the solar winds picked up?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I'm yet to watch it.

About to,be back in a bit Bro.

Hope you are good Today Da'Fuq.

hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Another obnoxiously sunny day here in cali, all in all I can't complain.

Hope you are coming back together, like shad said your energy will be needed.



Stick around in this shithole "reality" a little longer.hf
 Quoting: Da fuq




Thanks much, Da fuq and shadasonic,
for your direct and to the point standup, in slapping some good common sense into *SC*

:)

More people need him than he'll ever know.
Just as we need this community here, for the work you all do, even if not everyone @S0's visit here. Your work is all part of the big picture.

Much gratitude to youz all, solar bunch :)
flowers and balloons and chocolate for everybody -- sorry, not gif litterate yet, lol
Da fuq

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04/06/2013 11:35 AM
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...


Yeah wtf was that about, is he high?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I'm yet to watch it.

About to,be back in a bit Bro.

Hope you are good Today Da'Fuq.

hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Another obnoxiously sunny day here in cali, all in all I can't complain.

Hope you are coming back together, like shad said your energy will be needed.



Stick around in this shithole "reality" a little longer.hf
 Quoting: Da fuq


Where in California are you?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


A bit north of Fresno, in the hills.

I'm kinda close to Yosemite.





GLP