SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
joinca User ID: 23928361 United States 04/18/2013 07:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello JCA,was that a quip then? I hope you would not think that I would/have been calling this based solely on a flatline 'here and there'!? If so,then I will be a little annoyed as that would mean you may simply have not been looking at the work I have been putting in and collating that most(who will have looked)would agree is happening(btw 'Mini Ice Age' does not mean Earth shrouded in Ice,it means predominantly Colder Temps. globally and more than likely extremely hard and long Winters in Northern Europe/Northern hemisphere/higher latitudes~as so called mini ice ages are location specific) Were you quipping or have you been following the info I have been trying to alert folks to Regardless,hope you are go0d JCA anyhoo' : ) If you haven't been following what I have been trying to show I would appreciate you taking a look so we can have a conversation and exchange ideas on the subject matter It is hard to deny the Dipole Facts and all that accompanies such a major change,it is very pertinent Information/Data. Respecticus Maximus. There has been a lot of information that you have presented to digest. I have had leaned towards your thoughts all along. The information has to be digested and now it is the best information on the block. Kudos! "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/18/2013 07:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: MissionInvisible Hello MI It has been mentioned,and I hate to sound like a stuck record but it is the issue of our time,the Solar Dipole is really weak,really,really weak,this is in turn causing a lack of Sunspot formation with decent magnetic Complexity as well as a stronger field within the Sunspots that would allow for a normal output of Flaring during a Solar Max. As it is we are entering a period of Minima. akin the Dalton Minimum but from the looks of projections will out do the Dalton and possibly extend to be closer to a Maunder with around 60-100 Years of lowered output,stalled Cycles and all that accompanies such a period. [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] [link to www.schulphysik.de] [link to ktwop.wordpress.com] Predicted in at least 2003 by MA Vukcevic(this period of very low output associated with a much weakened Solar Dipole) [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] Other by-products of Low output is a shrinking Heliosphere that is causing Charge difference throughout our Solar System(hence the observed changes on the Planets and perturbations of Asteroids etc.) [link to news.nationalgeographic.com] [link to news.nationalgeographic.co.uk] I would go into it more but have too much here and I think some folks are bored with my reiterating this points(as important as they are)so I'd just say,if anyone wants to take a lo0k at this collating of data just go back through my posts of the last 3 Months odd on this Thrrrraaaadddd. : ) Oh,and be sure to use the above links Hello Cesium About your past 3 months or so of data collating, may I suggest you start a thread on it? I'm sure many would appreciate it! It would of course require a bit of precious time, but once you catch up to it and keep rolling, you could either simply C/P from that thread to this one, or link here to your thread. Though I suggest posting at BOTH treads, by C/P. It definitely WOULD be a great tool! How many hands raised? Both mine already! lôôk, both hands: \o/ Hmmm? * Hell0 Curi0sis Neur0sis I think that considering this is the Cycle 24 Thread and I have been in here posting for ages now,that this is the correct place for the data,as in here we all watch the same thing just from different angles,some notice what others don't and that is the dynamics of this thread that(Im0)makes it what it is,a brilliant repository of data,from many angles. This just happens to be the one I am dedicated to for now as I see no other conclusion to be drawn - unless there exists a mechanism un-spotted by all that will jump start the Dipole and hence,ze Sun back into action. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/18/2013 08:09 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/18/2013 08:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hello JCA,was that a quip then? I hope you would not think that I would/have been calling this based solely on a flatline 'here and there'!? If so,then I will be a little annoyed as that would mean you may simply have not been looking at the work I have been putting in and collating that most(who will have looked)would agree is happening(btw 'Mini Ice Age' does not mean Earth shrouded in Ice,it means predominantly Colder Temps. globally and more than likely extremely hard and long Winters in Northern Europe/Northern hemisphere/higher latitudes~as so called mini ice ages are location specific) Were you quipping or have you been following the info I have been trying to alert folks to Regardless,hope you are go0d JCA anyhoo' : ) If you haven't been following what I have been trying to show I would appreciate you taking a look so we can have a conversation and exchange ideas on the subject matter It is hard to deny the Dipole Facts and all that accompanies such a major change,it is very pertinent Information/Data. Respecticus Maximus. There has been a lot of information that you have presented to digest. I have had leaned towards your thoughts all along. The information has to be digested and now it is the best information on the block. Kudos! Phew! Thank you JCA,for a little moment then I thought you may have not taken a peep lo0k see I wouldn't say 100% that this is certified,but I will say from a personal perspective that I am around 93%(random percentage,I know,lol)sure this is the case. Thank you SolarBr0 for settling my mind a little with your comment above ^ ^ . And thank you for all you do here,often dropping the Golden Nuggets on the thread! Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/18/2013 08:07 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/18/2013 08:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think we will be having CMEage on COR2 Ahead [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Today. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium No doubt. One flew nicely South,the Streamers look ripe on 'our side'. Oh yes,that is Huge. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/18/2013 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1719 has one of those extreme features [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] the extremely hot source above it in the lower Corona,I'd expect a lot more from her yet! Also,the Stonyhurst [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Heliographic looks like it is getting pretty fresh folks! That escalated very quickly indeed! 1719s' CME has taken the South-Western Prominence with it(as Hugh shows in the Smilie) What do you guys think..65% chance of being Geo-effective? It should be more West but I don't know yet how much Corona it has taken with it,COR2 Ahead does show a fair bit,but I'd need to see the SDO movie file to be positive,anyone seen any yet? I'll check now. Edito:My SDO movies won't work? Anyhoo',H alpha shows a fair disturbance along with the Southern Prominence leaving as well as some incredible 'Plasma Rain' piling back into 1719 just beyond the Mid-Western limb [link to halpha.nso.edu] . I am now more 60%. Double Edito:What a Beast [link to www.sidc.oma.be] ! Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/18/2013 08:31 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/18/2013 08:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.sidc.oma.be] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States 04/18/2013 08:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That will be more than a Type II Halo Event if viewed from the other side more,the Cactus shows a lot of disturbance of Fields all the way to the Eastern limb(Northerly,farside) Quoting: Spittin'Cesium [link to www.sidc.oma.be] I thought the same compadre! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 16845676 United States 04/18/2013 09:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shenue User ID: 37182755 United States 04/18/2013 10:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Night Everyone. :SmilieHearts: Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
Astræa User ID: 14828328 United States 04/18/2013 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.solarham.net] Part of this mov does has the sun doing an odd dance on the 17th...? What might cause this? |
joinca User ID: 23928361 United States 04/18/2013 10:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SDO blog: -->Planned science calibration activities today Quoting: joinca Today, starting at 1315 UTC (9:15 am ET), SDO executed the EVE Field of View maneuver followed by the HMI/AIA Flatfield at 1630 UTC (10:30 am ET). During these maneuvers the science experienced interruption, and some of the browse images reflect the motion of the spacecraft. [link to sdoisgo.blogspot.com] This.... "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 04/18/2013 10:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.solarham.net] Quoting: Astræa 14828328 Part of this mov does has the sun doing an odd dance on the 17th...? What might cause this? They have been repeatedly adjusting their cameras for w.e reason. |
curi0sis*SolSis User ID: 38373945 Canada 04/19/2013 12:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quake uptick, started in the last hour.... Russia 7.2 Russia 5.7 (Kuril Islands) Major quake Watch on cue? (per S0's model) Mnt Etna waking again; Buoys stirring... Sorry no details nor links -- too tired, g'night all * "But the plans were on display . . ." "On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them." "That's the display department." "With a torch." "Ah, well the lights had probably gone." "So had the stairs." "But look, you found the notice, didn't you?" "Yes," said Arthur, "yes I did. It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying Beware of the Leopard." -Chapter One, H2G2 |
Astræa User ID: 14828328 United States 04/19/2013 12:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SDO blog: -->Planned science calibration activities today Quoting: joinca Today, starting at 1315 UTC (9:15 am ET), SDO executed the EVE Field of View maneuver followed by the HMI/AIA Flatfield at 1630 UTC (10:30 am ET). During these maneuvers the science experienced interruption, and some of the browse images reflect the motion of the spacecraft. [link to sdoisgo.blogspot.com] This.... Thanks |
Tiny Trink User ID: 37439627 United States 04/19/2013 06:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Much Love, [link to www.youtube.com] Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2 "You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 37348904 United States 04/19/2013 10:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] NOAA Solar activity summary: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached low levels with a long duration C6 flare from Region 1719 (N09, L=074) off the northeast limb at 18/1823 UTC. Associated with the event was a Type II radio sweep (1273 km/s) and a CME off the west limb first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 18/1836 UTC. The CME is not expected to be geoeffective. Slight decay was observed in Regions 1722 (S21W67) and 1723 (S18W26). The rest of the numbered regions were relatively stable. Several filament eruptions were observed during the period. The first filament eruption occurred in the southeast quadrant centered near S13E50 beginning at 18/2052 UTC. Two subsequent filament eruptions occurred in the southwest quadrant centered near S22W26 at 18/1728 UTC and S15W25 at 19/0039 UTC, respectively. A prominence eruption was observed off the southwest limb beginning at 18/2052 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States 04/19/2013 10:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The numbered active regions in the southern hemisphere all seem to be decaying and weakening now. The latest HMI Intensitygram shows 3 or 4 new regions popping up across the northern hemisphere. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] NOAA Solar activity summary: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached low levels with a long duration C6 flare from Region 1719 (N09, L=074) off the northeast limb at 18/1823 UTC. Associated with the event was a Type II radio sweep (1273 km/s) and a CME off the west limb first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 18/1836 UTC. The CME is not expected to be geoeffective. Slight decay was observed in Regions 1722 (S21W67) and 1723 (S18W26). The rest of the numbered regions were relatively stable. Several filament eruptions were observed during the period. The first filament eruption occurred in the southeast quadrant centered near S13E50 beginning at 18/2052 UTC. Two subsequent filament eruptions occurred in the southwest quadrant centered near S22W26 at 18/1728 UTC and S15W25 at 19/0039 UTC, respectively. A prominence eruption was observed off the southwest limb beginning at 18/2052 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It looks like we wait and see what comes next Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 04/19/2013 10:19 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
zacksavage User ID: 9893990 United States 04/19/2013 10:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 04/19/2013 11:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shenue User ID: 37182755 United States 04/19/2013 11:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning everyone. :CatsSmellCoffee: Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 04/19/2013 12:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/19/2013 12:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That will be more than a Type II Halo Event if viewed from the other side more,the Cactus shows a lot of disturbance of Fields all the way to the Eastern limb(Northerly,farside) Quoting: Spittin'Cesium [link to www.sidc.oma.be] I thought the same compadre! Good stuff Shada! Looks incredible. Lots of solar activity in recent hours. Huge CME from the 1719 flare (not too far from Earth-Sun magnetic footpoint). Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Several recent filament liftoffs; the largest one in the southeast, another in the SW, another on the far SW limb, and several smaller ones I noticed on the SDO bronze filter movie. Big Bear h-alpha movie: [link to halpha.nso.edu] SDO recent movie: [link to sdodata.oma.be] :4/18-swprom: We'll have to watch for more CMEs from these eruptions. All Here is Hughs' CME following the Class CME from the West Earlier [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Very pretty half Diamond shape. Lazy Day Today,mega lie-in. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/19/2013 12:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 37348904 United States 04/19/2013 12:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The numbered active regions in the southern hemisphere all seem to be decaying and weakening now. The latest HMI Intensitygram shows 3 or 4 new regions popping up across the northern hemisphere. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] NOAA Solar activity summary: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached low levels with a long duration C6 flare from Region 1719 (N09, L=074) off the northeast limb at 18/1823 UTC. Associated with the event was a Type II radio sweep (1273 km/s) and a CME off the west limb first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 18/1836 UTC. The CME is not expected to be geoeffective. Slight decay was observed in Regions 1722 (S21W67) and 1723 (S18W26). The rest of the numbered regions were relatively stable. Several filament eruptions were observed during the period. The first filament eruption occurred in the southeast quadrant centered near S13E50 beginning at 18/2052 UTC. Two subsequent filament eruptions occurred in the southwest quadrant centered near S22W26 at 18/1728 UTC and S15W25 at 19/0039 UTC, respectively. A prominence eruption was observed off the southwest limb beginning at 18/2052 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It looks like we wait and see what comes next Howdy, -sonic, it shouldn't be quiet for too long. The new region near mid-disk north appears to be fraternal twin betas; spots are small but magnetics are developing. New Active Regions magnetogram- :4/19-newmag: Also, there may be a large active region about to come over the SE limb. However the last two times this has turned out to be plages only, so we'll have to wait and see. SE Limb AR?- :4/19-SElimb: |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 35752399 United States 04/19/2013 12:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
joinca User ID: 23928361 United States 04/19/2013 01:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Workers unload NASA's IRIS spacecraft from a truck at the processing facility at Vandenberg where the spacecraft will be readied for launch aboard an Orbital Sciences Pegasus XL rocket. Photo credit: VAFB/Randy Beaudoin. Scientists will soon gain a better view into energy and plasma movement near the surface of the sun, thanks to delivery of the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) spacecraft to Vandenberg Air Force Base, Calif. in preparation for launch. Part of NASA's Small Explorer (SMEX) Mission, which delivers space exploration missions costing less than $120 million, IRIS was designed and built at Lockheed Martin's Space Systems Company Advanced Technology Center (ATC) in Palo Alto, Calif. The program was developed with support from Lockheed Martin's Civil Space line of business as well as partners Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Montana State University, Stanford University and the University of Oslo. The launch of IRIS will not take place before May 28. The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com] "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States 04/19/2013 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/19/2013 02:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is Yesterdays CME on HI1 Ahead [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] ! Looks tasty hey!? Hello Hugh and all btw : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/19/2013 03:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The numbered active regions in the southern hemisphere all seem to be decaying and weakening now. The latest HMI Intensitygram shows 3 or 4 new regions popping up across the northern hemisphere. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] NOAA Solar activity summary: .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached low levels with a long duration C6 flare from Region 1719 (N09, L=074) off the northeast limb at 18/1823 UTC. Associated with the event was a Type II radio sweep (1273 km/s) and a CME off the west limb first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 18/1836 UTC. The CME is not expected to be geoeffective. Slight decay was observed in Regions 1722 (S21W67) and 1723 (S18W26). The rest of the numbered regions were relatively stable. Several filament eruptions were observed during the period. The first filament eruption occurred in the southeast quadrant centered near S13E50 beginning at 18/2052 UTC. Two subsequent filament eruptions occurred in the southwest quadrant centered near S22W26 at 18/1728 UTC and S15W25 at 19/0039 UTC, respectively. A prominence eruption was observed off the southwest limb beginning at 18/2052 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It looks like we wait and see what comes next Howdy, -sonic, it shouldn't be quiet for too long. The new region near mid-disk north appears to be fraternal twin betas; spots are small but magnetics are developing. New Active Regions magnetogram- :4/19-newmag: Also, there may be a large active region about to come over the SE limb. However the last two times this has turned out to be plages only, so we'll have to wait and see. SE Limb AR?- :4/19-SElimb: Hello Hugh, I am pretty sure that South-Eastern Region is currently a Sunspot(from the looks of all the arcading Plasmas)but on the farside,like you said it could well just become a Plage once it rounds the limb,we'll see if it blows itself out before then - if it pops off a large Flare it may well end up as just a Plage region,but at present it looks quite ferocious on your images ^^. Both farsides on the EUVI imagers look pretty active at present,Behind [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and Ahead(looks very tasty) [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] If they last we could see some Earthside action in the near future. The Coronal Holes our side look deep and large [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] ! Good stuff. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/19/2013 03:08 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 38348402 Netherlands 04/19/2013 03:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Some nice Ejections [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |