SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

strange little glitch (?) at 20:16

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Another pop up!!!

Still going up....

oops....yep, bad data. That yellow should show the SW velocity which has been between 375 and 400 km/s not 999.

A C4.7...AR1750 produces its 6th flare of the day. It's a shame he's leaving us soon.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

flare list (scroll to bottom):

[link to www.lmsal.com]

These C-flares are so boring to watch. Come on sun bring us a nice little X-flare, punish us for ruining our planet!

I called this and I think it will still hold true

The eastern limb is firing in the current direction of incoming Ison, which is now inside the orbit Jupiter and heading towards the Sun. I don't know...maybe Ison is packing photon laser blasters.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

More code like induction

Here it comes....

Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD
Serial Number: 130
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 2229 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2251 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 19 2351 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2013 May 19 2221 UTC

ACE SW Data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Protons:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The CME from the May 17th M3-flare should be encountering Earth's magnetosphere any minute now. Here is NASA's magnetosphere simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The sudden impulse was also recorded by the SOHO proton monitor:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

The GOES X-Ray Flux has been at C1 or above for 8 hours now.

GOES 5-minute X-rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES 1-min. x-rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solarsoft close-up movie of C9.9 flare on the NE limb:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

C6 Flare from AR1750-
:C6flare:

Must be the code for photon laser blasters from Ison.

Proton Density @ SOHO=38p/cm3
Proton Density at ACE=less than 10?

Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???

[link to umtof.umd.edu]


ACE plot looks weird to me.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Could there be a problem with ACE data? I noticed they turned off the magnetosphere simulation model, too. It was working fine when I first posted the link.
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Edit-the sim seems to be working again....whew



Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/19/2013 08:24 PM

I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Last Edited by Isis One on 05/19/2013 08:24 PM

what happen to the news about that supernova that was supposed to impact around the 15th or something like that?

NOAA's doubling-down their bets on this one!

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 838
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 2317 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2320 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 20 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

"Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???"

Thats exactly what I was wondering ....which data seems correct to you then?

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 106
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 1855 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 20: G2 (Moderate) May 21: None (Below G1) May 22: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Real-time Bow Shock simulation:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

yeah, notice also the chemtrails.

Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]

Its not there now, but sometimes it picks up radio propagation over Europe.

Well CMEs aren't of a uniform consistency; they're irregular and clumpy. So I suppose it's conceivable that each spacecraft is observing different localized conditions. That being said, it's unusual to see that big a difference as they are both in L1 orbit about a million mile toward the sun from Earth.

ACE Mission- The satellite incorporates a real-time solar wind system that will provide around-the-clock coverage of interplanetary conditions that affect Earth. This is especially of benefit to those living at high northern and southern latitudes, because Earth's magnetic field is such that a coronal mass ejection can more easily disrupt power systems close to the poles.

While the ACE can do nothing to prevent this phenomenon from occurring, the satellite can at least provide an hour of warning that a coronal mass ejection may create a magnetic storm. The warning could help minimize and perhaps even eliminate some of the outages.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will analyze the data and issue forecasts and warnings of solar storms. According to NOAA, it will be possible to issue geomagnetic storm alerts with virtually 100 percent accuracy.
[link to www.caltech.edu]

ACE caltech homepage:
[link to www.srl.caltech.edu]

No need to ask the Japanese. They get 90% of their data from NOAA; so does Russia, China, etc., etc. We're one big global prison now, hehe.

ACE and SOHO showing wind speed less than 450 km/s.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

haven't heard any updates about it arriving.

Another minor C Flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]