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| 07:17 PM | ||
| Users Online Now: 2,081 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 1,200,006 | |
| Pageviews Today: 2,003,876 | Threads Today: 826 | Posts Today: 14,324 |
| 07:17 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846  United States05/19/2013 08:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846 United States05/19/2013 08:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye  User ID: 39479530 United States05/19/2013 08:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments. GONG Network image: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Mauna Loa movie loop: [link to halpha.nso.edu]  |
| FrenchyMary User ID: 38034256  France05/19/2013 09:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States05/19/2013 09:04 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments. Quoting: Hugh M Eye GONG Network image: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Mauna Loa movie loop: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Thanks for all the work you do Hugh, making data real and interesting. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846 United States05/19/2013 09:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846 United States05/19/2013 09:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments. Quoting: Hugh M Eye GONG Network image: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Mauna Loa movie loop: [link to halpha.nso.edu] :pinkDoomsday: Thanks for all the work you do Hugh, making data real and interesting. Yeah, it's nice to have inside resources!  |
| Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States05/19/2013 09:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region. [link to gimquakesmap7.com] Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846 United States05/19/2013 09:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region. Quoting: Isis One [link to gimquakesmap7.com] This is getting scary. Canada has also been active. Thread: 2 EarthQuakes in Canada (updated NOW 4) [link to anf.ucsd.edu] Latitude 56.3083 Longitude -112.0750 Magnitude 4.8 mb Depth 15 km UTC Time 22:44:48 May 19th, 2013 UTC Alberta, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island Latitude 63.1809 Longitude -124.4098 Magnitude 4.9 mb Depth 15 km UTC Time 22:43:53 May 19th, 2013 UTC Location Nw Territories - Nunavut, Canada, Northeastern Asia, Northern Alaska To Greenland 58.5461 -116.7897 4.8 mb 15 21:10:45 May 19th, 2013 UTC Alberta, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island 64.8765 -139.0532 5.0 mb 15 21:09:21 May 19th, 2013 UTC Southern Yukon Territory, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14778846 United States05/19/2013 09:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 09:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load! Quoting: Dettro Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website. [link to swnews.nict.go.jp] No need to ask the Japanese. They get 90% of their data from NOAA; so does Russia, China, etc., etc. We're one big global prison now, hehe. ACE and SOHO showing wind speed less than 450 km/s. [link to umtof.umd.edu] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I didn't realize Russia also. Thats suprising “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 09:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region. Quoting: Isis One [link to gimquakesmap7.com] Kamchatka is going to blow! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 39479530 United States05/19/2013 09:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks for your answer, I understand where the difference can come from (even if it remains an extremely huge difference in that case ) Quoting: FrenchyMary Be safe everyone Thanks for posting, Mary. Your questions are always welcome here tho' I can't always guarantee the answers will satisfy, LOL.By the way, I'm still suspicious of the current ACE solar wind measurements. We shall wait and see. NOAA seems to expect a major storm tonight/today from this CME. :5/17-conemdl: |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 25093690 United States05/19/2013 09:32 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major? |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 36181685 United States05/19/2013 09:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 09:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments. Quoting: Hugh M Eye GONG Network image: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Mauna Loa movie loop: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Even a moderate flare could set those plasma lines a running “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States05/19/2013 09:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major? Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm# Here's the classification table. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 25093690 United States05/19/2013 09:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major? Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm# Here's the classification table. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 39479530 United States05/19/2013 09:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The X-ray background has just dipped below C-level for the first time in 10 hours. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Solarsoft has awarded the C4 flare to AR1750 (its 7th C) although I'm sure I saw 1748 lighting up as well. [link to www.lmsal.com] Maybe NASA knew something that NOAA didn't when they neglected to issue any forecast for this CME arrival. So far I see little geomagnetic activity at all. Of course these events can last 10 or more hours, so things may change. The GOES electron flux saw more action the past two nights: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer showing a bit of a knot on the graph: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Boulder Magnetometer @13.5 nT isn't even close to 'Unsettled' yet: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The Density at SOHO has calmed down to around 15p/cm3 (Note: Beware of Dog...he bites): [link to umtof.umd.edu] ACE proton density still hasn't cracked the 10 level yet: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Unless things change I don't see even a G1 storm from this. Of course if the Bz flips south and the wind speed increases we may see a storm. Where's Mtng. man with the M-flare dance?  |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 09:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The X-ray background has just dipped below C-level for the first time in 10 hours. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Solarsoft has awarded the C4 flare to AR1750 (its 7th C) although I'm sure I saw 1748 lighting up as well. [link to www.lmsal.com] Maybe NASA knew something that NOAA didn't when they neglected to issue any forecast for this CME arrival. So far I see little geomagnetic activity at all. Of course these events can last 10 or more hours, so things may change. The GOES electron flux saw more action the past two nights: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer showing a bit of a knot on the graph: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Boulder Magnetometer @13.5 nT isn't even close to 'Unsettled' yet: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The Density at SOHO has calmed down to around 15p/cm3 (Note: Beware of Dog...he bites): [link to umtof.umd.edu] ACE proton density still hasn't cracked the 10 level yet: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Unless things change I don't see even a G1 storm from this. Of course if the Bz flips south and the wind speed increases we may see a storm. Where's Mtng. man with the M-flare dance? One thing I noticed is that all of 1748s energy releases went southward on the Bz as they hit so I was assuming when this M flare CME hit it would do the same. I don't feel like we've seen it yet. My ears went ballistic about 10 minutes ago, thats why I jumped on, thought it was coming in? Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 05/19/2013 09:57 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 39479530 United States05/19/2013 10:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare of the period was a C9 at 19/1750 UTC from a region just behind the northeast limb, likely old Region 1731 (N09, L=189). Slight decay was observed in the leader and trailing spots of Region 1748 (N12W00, Fao/beta-gamma-delta), however it appears to continue to maintain its delta in the leader spots. Region 1750 (S09W67, Dai/beta) is still in a growth phase with further spot development within its intermediate area. The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or in slight decay. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed during the period. Geospace Forecast (maybe sunny...maybe raining buckets,LOL) . The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels on day 1 (20 May) due to continued activity associated with the 17 May CME. Conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled levels by day 2 (21 May). On day 3 (22 may) a recurrent CH HSS is expected to move into geoeffective position causing conditions to increase to quiet to active levels. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] What did the ACE Satellite press release say? Oh, yeah, NOAA would be able to forecast spaceweather with 100% accuracy, LOL. New Active Region Visible in NE- :5/20-newspot: Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 140 Issued at 0030Z on 20 May 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 19 May I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 19/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1744 N06W67 001 0050 Cao 06 03 Beta 1745 N13W40 334 0180 Cao 05 08 Beta 1746 S27W40 334 0140 Dso 06 05 Beta 1747 S17W45 339 0020 Hrx 03 02 Alpha 1748 N12W00 294 0110 Fao 16 23 Beta-Gamma-Delta 1750 S09W67 001 0090 Dai 07 12 Beta Latest HMI Intensitygram (b&w): [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 10:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | What did the ACE Satellite press release say? Oh, yeah, NOAA would be able to forecast spaceweather with 100% accuracy, LOL. Exactly, 100% guarantee of 50% inaccuracy with 75% of that being wrong. They squabble and hide info as well as the rest of the govt. machine “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/19/2013 11:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm out for a while , storms getting rough! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
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. It was going up so freaking slow.
