...
going vertical now!!!
Quoting: Luisport looking like that 2003 event Nin posted earlier.
ahh someone find that post..?
I looked and we posted so much I cant fint it :(
I would like to re quote it so the night crew can find it a bit easier, for reference
this will continue to rise over the next 24hrs or so
we are looking at a big SEP event
I said earlier "how many want to take bets this goes to a S4 or maybe even a S5 by tomorrow night?"
we have now reached the S3 thresholdIssue Time: 2013 May 23 0348 UTC
ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2013 May 23 0330 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - StrongPotential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience increasing radiation exposures. Astronauts on EVA (extra-vehicular activity) are exposed to elevated radiation levels.
Spacecraft - Single-event upsets to satellite operations, noise in imaging systems, and slight reduction of efficiency in solar panels are likely.
Radio - Degraded or episodically blacked-out polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation.
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
...that being said
if the proton and electron sensors were not corrupted, and they do not appear to be, we have a rise in high energy protons
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
a rise in low energy protons (they show if a CME is on its way to earth)
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
and a rise in low energy electrons
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
we are currently just below the S3 solar radiation storm threshold
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
the S3 level should be breached sometime in the coming hourshere is the NOAA scale info for a S3 solar radiation Storm
S 3 - StrongBiological: unavoidable radiation hazard to astronauts on EVA; passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to radiation risk.***
Satellite operations: may experience memory device problems and noise on imaging systems; star-tracker problems may cause orientation problems, and solar panel efficiency can be degraded.
Other systems: blackout of HF radio communications through the polar regions and increased navigation errors over several days are likely.
Number of storm days of this level per solar cycle:10
Quoting: NiNzrez [
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Yes indeed , got some action, was waiting for this. You think we'll hit S4 Nin. After going through your post on the Seps and looking through old info I believe we may get that second snowplow hit also. We MAY see those secondary waves come in strong.
Old SOl is making things interesting, much fun as this is completely different than the flip I expected. I think we may hit the start of a new minimum next year, this one has some suprises left. You just never truly know, thats the beautifull interest.Peace all!
I say S5.
its for sure possible
the event happened just over 12 hrs ago and we have seen a proton rise this high already
and they will continue to rise
Energetic Particle.24 hr Summary...The greater than 10 MeV and greater than 100 MeV proton flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached event levels in the wake of the M5/3n
flare. The greater than 10 MeV proton event reached the S1 (Minor) event
threshold at 22/1420 UTC and reached the S2 (Moderate) threshold at
22/1730 UTC. The greater than 100 MeV proton flux reached event
threshold (1 pfu) at 22/1455 UTC. Thus far, the peak greater than 100
MeV flux has been 3 pfu at 22/1830 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels.
.Forecast... The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to remain at event levels during 23 - 24 May and is likely to reach
event levels on 25 May. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels on
23 May, then increase to moderate to high levels on 24 - 25 May in
response to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS).
[
link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
