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Maybe there was/is interaction with the gamma ray bursts. Like the field lines are supercharged.

Last Edited by Isis One on 06/29/2013 12:44 AM

Our entire solar system is supercharged right now, I think it will only increase.

I think it is part of the reason ISON is able to be as big and bright as it is even when it was well beyond Jupiter. According to NASA's model comets are supposed to out-gas, glow and form large tails the closer proximity to the sun.



I'm not even quite sure yet what to call ISON, a super Comet?

Last Edited by Da fuq on 06/29/2013 12:54 AM

Howdy, not sure about that one blip, but it could be bad data or an anomaly with the detector. Overall, a look at the 7-day EPAM shows levels were higher a few days ago, then dipped, and are now returning to previous levels. Sometimes the 2-hour or 6-hour plots can be misleading. It's good to step back and look at the longer range views sometimes.

ACE EPAM 7-Day plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Likewise, the 3-Day Mag-field shows that the Bz's long dip southward is most likely responsible for the geo-magnetic storming. When the Bz stays South, the solar wind energy just streams past the magnetosphere and connects near the Earth's poles. Had the predicted 800 km/s speeds materialized we may be seeing Extreme storm levels now, but the CH stream has been surprisingly slow.

ACE 3-Day MAG-SWEPAM plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Kiruna Observatory Magnetometer:

[link to www.irf.se]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Speed, temp and density on the uptick again and Bz is south, might hit Kp 7.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Isis One on 06/29/2013 01:25 AM

WOW! The Boulder Magnetometer now at K=7.9 @ 320 nT!!!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Aurora map North:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Aurora map South:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Ovation Auroral Oval:

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here we go...

Space Weather Message Code: WARK07
Serial Number: 41
Issue Time: 2013 Jun 29 0515 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2013 Jun 29 0515 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Jun 29 1000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I see.


Thanks Hugh,...you be Johnny on the spot.



Z

Howdy, Zack! Nice to see ya this morning.

Kp=7

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

WING Kp prediction:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Magnetosphere simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Uh-oh....GLP disappeared for me for a while. Anyway, aurora seen in kansas-

[link to spaceweather.com]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07
Serial Number: 87
Issue Time: 2013 Jun 29 0602 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2013 Jun 29 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This is why I love watchin' this stuff. As soon as you think you know what's going on, something crazy and unexpected happens. I can't wait to see how NOAA explains their way out of this one, haha.

Hey Hugh,...nice to be here.

Crazy times we find ourselves monitoring these days,...imo.

Again, thanks for sharing your insights here.



Z

The power went out in a couple rooms in my house and the fusebox isn't helping me at all. Never has happened before, think it's related?

Beautiful.

Oooh Kp 7, nice!

my in car navigation systewm of volvo first generation is turning on himself since today. I remember it was doing this when i drove through toll pay stations.

Seems to be getting signals , it never did go on here for the last 3 years since i have it

OK, OK, a G3 Strong Geomagnetic Storm was caused by a CME that nobody saw coming. WTF?

According to NOAA the CH windstream hasn't arrived yet, so they roll out the old 'co-rotating interaction region' and 'transient' excuses because they don't know what happened either, LOL.

By 'transient' I believe they're referring to the hobos who hang around in Boulder this time of year'. Seriously tho', it means 'a CME we didn't see coming'

NOAA says-
Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from unsettled to severe storm levels.
The increase in activity is likely attributed to a slow moving transient
combined with the effects from a corotating interaction region ahead of
the expected recurrent CH HSS.

.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at major storm levels to
begin the current forecast period, but decrease to unsettled to active
levels by the end of day 1 (29 Jun). Activity should remain at unsettled
levels with minor storm conditions expected on day 2 (30 Jun) due to
effects associated with a 5-degree filament that erupted during 28/0129
- 0250 UTC time-frame. This activity should be short lived and
conditions should begin a steady decline back to quiet to unsettled
levels by midday on day three (1 Jul).

24-hour Magnetopause Simulation:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather2 min
Check out dazzling photos from last night's Northern Lights (and submit your own if you would like) [link to www.accuweather.com]

Strong believes it IS the coronal hole stream....



[link to www.youtube.com]

Just to refresh the memory, here's a few links pertaining to Co-rotating Interation Regions (CIRs):

[link to www.physics.usyd.edu.au]

[link to ase.tufts.edu]

[link to www.ann-geophys.net]

This would also help explain the bumps in the ACE proton energy levels that Da fuq was noticing last night. Sometimes a CIR can cause a compresssion zone in which particles are accelerated.

ACE 24-hour EPAM:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Good work, Da fuq!

Great barriers do exist in space and Voyager may have reached one: now what?

Posted on June 29, 2013by The Extinction Protocol

June 29, 2013 – SPACE – Launched 36 years ago, the Voyager 1 spacecraft speeds a rate of about a million miles a day entering a bizarre and mysterious region more than 11 billion miles from Earth that scientists are struggling to make sense of. It’s a region where the fierce solar winds have all but vanished and pieces of atoms blasted across the galaxy by ancient supernovae drift into the solar system, the NASA probe is causing scientists to question some long-standing theories on the nature of our solar system and life beyond its cold dark edge dubbed the “magnetic highway” –a newly discovered area of the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism that shields the solar system from deadly cosmic rays. Scientists had long envisioned this outermost layer of the solar systems, the heliosheath, to be a curved, distinct boundary separating the solar system from the rest of the Milky Way where three things would happen: The sun’s solar winds would become quiet; galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager; and the direction of the dominant magnetic field would change significantly because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun. “The models that have been thought to predict what should happen are all incorrect,” said physicist Stamatios Krimigis of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory Scientists had assumed when Voyager exited the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism surrounding the solar system, solar winds would become still, galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager from every angle and the direction of the magnetic field would change because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun.

But the latest readings from Voyagers instruments support none of those suppositions, scientists said. Voyager has reported solar winds suddenly dropped by half, while the strength of the magnetic field almost doubled, and those values then switched back and forth five times before they became fixed. “The jumps indicate multiple crossings of a boundary unlike anything observed previously,” a team of Voyager scientists wrote in one a study. Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,” Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said. “This is a new region that we didn’t know existed. We have no road map, and we’re waiting to see what’s going to happen next.” –Daily Galaxy [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Solar watch: Earth hit by back to back geomagnetic storms

Posted on June 29, 2013by The Extinction Protocol

June 29, 2013 – SPACE – EARTH-DIRECTED CME: When the current spate of geomagnetic storms is over, another could follow close on its heels. A coronal mass ejection (CME), pictured below, is expected to deliver a glancing blow to Earth’s magnetic field late on June 30th or early on July 31st. The cloud was propelled in our direction during the early hours of June 28th when magnetic filaments around sunspot AR1777 erupted. The explosion registered approximately C4 on the Richter Scale of Solar Flares. Because the CME is not heading squarely toward Earth, there is still a chance that it will miss. Stay tuned for updates as the arrival time approaches. – Space Weather [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel51 m
RT @TWCMattSampson: #NASA launched a ROCKET into space Thursday. You missed it. We didn't. WATCH: [link to wxch.nl] #Space #California

A new active region is coming over the east limb in the north (close to the equator). Northern sunspot group AR1781 appears to be growing quickly now.

AR1781 Growing-
:1781:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 180 Issued at 0030Z on 29 Jun 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 28 Jun
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 28/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1777 S16W37 161 0150 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1778 S17W01 125 0050 Eao 12 23 Beta
1779 N17E14 110 0010 Axx 02 03 Alpha
1781 N22W04 128 0010 Cro 03 04 Beta
1782 S14E48 075 0010 Hrx 01 02 Alpha

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Also, 1781 has the potential for developing some magnetic complexity.

Latest HMI Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1781 Magnetic Fields-
:1781mag:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

leveling out

i believe paul la violette says such, and they eminate from galactic centre.
rp

What did you think was driving our solar systems change?

yeh : ) i remember discussing it a while back, big forces?, it all looks controlled energetics.. -galactic centre being controlled by supergalactic centre, probably over in the hottest part of space virgo way.
and yeh no fear, but responsive to sense, safe n easy
rp : )