hurricane IRENE

i thought the weather channel said Irene had already turned????

It´s backing away from the Virginia coastal area, but it still looks like it might head north.

No, as far as I can tell, and I have been watching it since August 4th--it has not turned yet.
If you go to the national weather service tropical page, and click through to the archives, the "graphic" archives, you can watch the entire track of the storm in stop-motion.
From what I could tell, they said that it will turn during the next 48 hours.

Irene is not a problem.

[link to weather.msfc.nasa.gov]

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

that´s the graphics page. If you hit the "stop" button, and then the 1 frame at a time, you can watch the track.
The "orange dot", is the actual hurricane, the bubble, is the prediction.

Prince Edward Island, and to a lesser extent, Cape Breton Island should better watch for land fall.

irene is well out in the atlantic and heading away from north america

www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

look at the northwest atlantic loop, you will see

Look at this one (specifically).

Atlantic Satellite Loop
[link to www.kcra.com]


Notice how the storm looks like it´s turning
clockwise instead of counter-clockwise like hurricanes usually do?

Isn´t that ... I don´t know, different from normal motion?

Is the loop running in reverse or something?
Has my brain shorted out?

[link to www.kcra.com]


It just looks wrong.

ok--the official 11am report says that it has turned.

Hurricane IRENE Public Advisory
-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------
Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Strike Probs Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive
-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------


000
WTNT34 KNHC 151430
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 15 2005

...IRENE HEADED NORTHEASTWARD...THREAT ONLY TO SHIPPING...

Thanks!---that KCRA loop looks like it shows the storm turning. It looks like the line of clouds is pushing it away.
Below is snipped from "Hurricane Hunters", the National Weather Service plane that flys into the eye. Yesterday, they flew into the eye, and cancelled today´s mission. Why?

Plan of the Day
-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------


000
NOUS42 KNHC 141345
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SUN 14 AUGUST 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z AUG 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-078

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1 NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: MISSION SCHEDULED FOR 15/0600Z ON TROPICAL
STORM IRENE CANCELED BY NHC AT 14/1330Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

Probably no reason to keep going in if there´s no threat to land, and it´s starting to break up so squalls might be unpredictable and dangerous for the plane´s crew.

OP, go back to your graphics page:

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]


Now advance the orange dot to frame 37.

Frame 38, it´s on 70W longitude line.

Frame 39, it moves just beyond it.

Frame 40 is where it starts reversing on Aug 14, 11 am.

Frame 41 it goes north a bit, along the 70W line.

Frames 42 & 43, it´s obviously turrned back by 11 pm last night.






See.