**** HURRICANE COULD SLAM INTO MIAMI ON THURSDAY ****

35mph now.

Should bring lots of rain if anything


BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005

CORRECTED WARNING SECTION

...TWELFTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. THIS
INCLUDES CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND
...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...
AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES... 280 KM... SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS INDICATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...23.2 N... 75.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

The water off the coast of Florida is boiling hot. This tropical depression will suck up all that hot water and turn into a Hurricane by Thursday morning and then SLAM into Miami.

this is the EXACT LOCATION where Hurricane Andrew formed exactly 13 years ago tomorrow, August 24th, and within 24 hours it was a category 5, and you know the rest of the story

right now the ocean temperature there in the southeast atlantic at the coastline is 89 degrees, take a look at this sea temp map link

[link to www.weather.com]

and the sun has sent us three M-class flares today, which will be arriving earth shortly

and if not this depression Katrina, there are two more waves behind it in the Cape Verde that just came off Africa

good news

I hope that Florida gets slammed

Hurricane Andrew hit on August 26th.
So will this hurricane.
Exactly 13 years later.
13
hmmmmmm....

This hurricane is going to catch everyone in Miami with their pants down.

Oh, I´ll just do what AC665 did and copy/paste:

----- Quote -----
this is the EXACT LOCATION where Hurricane Andrew formed exactly 13 years ago tomorrow, August 24th, and within 24 hours it was a category 5, and you know the rest of the story
-----------------

Wrong... Hurricane Andrew became a tropical depression on August 16, and a full-fledged hurricane on August 22. It made *landfall* on August 24.

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Here was it´s path:
[link to www.hurricaneadvisories.com]

As you can see, Andrew reached hurricane strength much further out than this current tropical depression is located.

The labor day hurricane of 1935 went from being a tropical storm to a possible 200mph hurricane,central pressure estimated at 892mbs,the only other hurricane to go sub 900 was Gilbert,which got down to 888mbs.

Of course the atmopsheric condtions aren´t good enough for it to do that sort of bombing but at the speed its moving at it has a good 48hrs over hot waters close to the Gulf stream.ULL that is still giving some shear(although this is relaxing)looks like its heading south-westwards ahead of the depression and so shear should decrease and with SSt´s hot and it mocing so slowly its only a matter of time before it undergoes decent organisation with a few decent convective bursts,keep watch of this both Florida and all GOM coasts,this could be a big´un

Tropical storm is likely to soak S. Fla. - Miami Herald ( [link to www.miami.com] )

Not quite the classic shape, but you never know.


[link to goes.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]