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F.O.G.

 
Anonymous Coward
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04/29/2011 08:56 PM
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bump
Gabriel (OP)

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04/29/2011 09:21 PM
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This thread is amazing! Great job, Gab. I have been seriously hooked on that global incident map since the Japan quake. I find myself checking it several times a day. Keep up the good work...I'll be watching as well. hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1314039


thank you, and if anyone understands what i'm basing my forcasts on and wants to help or add input, i welcome it.
Gabriel (OP)

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04/29/2011 09:29 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
The energy flow tonight is pretty week. Best i can see is a slight flow toward South America again. If pressure isn't released somewhere else with a 4-5 mag. Chile area could get something close to a 5.5 by morning.
pebcak

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04/29/2011 09:43 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Fascinating.

spock
Bigbayou87

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04/29/2011 09:48 PM
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"The only thing new in this world is the history you don't know"
-Harry S. Truman
Peregrinus

User ID: 1279986
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04/29/2011 09:53 PM

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Very interesting on your predictions!
I have added your thread to my favorites and will continue watching.
Thanks for your work on this. :)
tmorais

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04/29/2011 10:01 PM
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Very interesting on your predictions!
I have added your thread to my favorites and will continue watching.
Thanks for your work on this. :)
 Quoting: Peregrinus


+1

clappa
Gabriel (OP)

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04/29/2011 10:13 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Very interesting on your predictions!
I have added your thread to my favorites and will continue watching.
Thanks for your work on this. :)
 Quoting: Peregrinus


Thank you all, i will keep it going unless my forcasts start failing. So far its doing better than anything i've seen so far, probably running at a 80% hit rate or better. At first i though it coincidence but after this long i think i'm on to something. We shall see.
Peregrinus

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04/29/2011 10:22 PM

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Are you also monitoring the magnetosphere site for density peaks during the earthquakes? I am very curious how much affect CME's and solar winds have on increaing earthquake activity. I am very curious to find more info on the wave of electromagnetic fluff our solar system has enterred and how that may increase more of the affects.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
Gabriel (OP)

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04/29/2011 10:34 PM
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Are you also monitoring the magnetosphere site for density peaks during the earthquakes? I am very curious how much affect CME's and solar winds have on increaing earthquake activity. I am very curious to find more info on the wave of electromagnetic fluff our solar system has enterred and how that may increase more of the affects.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Peregrinus


Yes, i believe this Solar Max we are approaching is definitely a cause of the increase in quake activity and will also be the reason for the magnitudes to start increasing even more. As we travel through fluffy (as i like to call it) it is increasingly interacting with and changing this particular solar max. And to add to all this, i believe a Brown Dwarf Star is indeed in our solar system and having its effect on the sun and all planets. The energy flow from all the above is and will continue to play havoc to Earth... and will only continue to get worse........ in my humble opinion.
Peregrinus

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04/29/2011 10:57 PM

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Re: F.O.G.
Are you also monitoring the magnetosphere site for density peaks during the earthquakes? I am very curious how much affect CME's and solar winds have on increaing earthquake activity. I am very curious to find more info on the wave of electromagnetic fluff our solar system has enterred and how that may increase more of the affects.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Peregrinus


Yes, i believe this Solar Max we are approaching is definitely a cause of the increase in quake activity and will also be the reason for the magnitudes to start increasing even more. As we travel through fluffy (as i like to call it) it is increasingly interacting with and changing this particular solar max. And to add to all this, i believe a Brown Dwarf Star is indeed in our solar system and having its effect on the sun and all planets. The energy flow from all the above is and will continue to play havoc to Earth... and will only continue to get worse........ in my humble opinion.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Well, I definitely agree with your opinion and once again thank you for your predictions. :)
Anonymous Coward
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04/30/2011 12:06 AM
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bump

Good Deal! I am watching...fascinated.
 Quoting: Emily78


Thank you for paying attention. I thought i was alone in here. I think i'm 4 for 5 hits since i started the thread.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Nope, you're not alone on this thread, Gabs. It's interesting to follow : )
rabbitsholeindeed

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04/30/2011 12:08 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
can i add a few dates? may 15th aug 15th sep 2 sep 27 nov 10 nov 26th
Semper paratus
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 07:28 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
The energy flow tonight is pretty week. Best i can see is a slight flow toward South America again. If pressure isn't released somewhere else with a 4-5 mag. Chile area could get something close to a 5.5 by morning.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Right on que:

MAP 6.0 2011/04/30 08:19:17 6.878 -82.287 9.9 SOUTH OF PANAMA

Most northern part of South America and a little more then the 5.5 mag i forcasted.
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 07:37 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
Fiji, Tonga island regions, 5+ mag today. I'm trying something new to try and narrow down the hit area forcasts. Lets see if this works.
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 09:08 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
Fiji, Tonga island regions, 5+ mag today. I'm trying something new to try and narrow down the hit area forcasts. Lets see if this works.
 Quoting: Gabriel


2 smaller ones instead of a bigger 5+:

MAP 4.6 2011/04/30 12:21:01 -17.655 168.177 79.6 VANUATU
MAP 4.6 2011/04/30 12:04:45 -12.130 166.539 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 09:14 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
A lot of energy now flowing toward Chile again, and since they have not had stress relief for 30 hrs, could be approaching 6 mag.
Emily78

User ID: 1303252
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04/30/2011 09:17 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
Are you also monitoring the magnetosphere site for density peaks during the earthquakes? I am very curious how much affect CME's and solar winds have on increaing earthquake activity. I am very curious to find more info on the wave of electromagnetic fluff our solar system has enterred and how that may increase more of the affects.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Peregrinus


Yes, i believe this Solar Max we are approaching is definitely a cause of the increase in quake activity and will also be the reason for the magnitudes to start increasing even more. As we travel through fluffy (as i like to call it) it is increasingly interacting with and changing this particular solar max. And to add to all this, i believe a Brown Dwarf Star is indeed in our solar system and having its effect on the sun and all planets. The energy flow from all the above is and will continue to play havoc to Earth... and will only continue to get worse........ in my humble opinion.
 Quoting: Gabriel


We def. need to talk about this more!!bump
Emily78

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04/30/2011 09:32 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
can i add a few dates? may 15th aug 15th sep 2 sep 27 nov 10 nov 26th
 Quoting: rabbitsholeindeed


:) What is this (the dates)based on? :)
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 09:43 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
can i add a few dates? may 15th aug 15th sep 2 sep 27 nov 10 nov 26th
 Quoting: rabbitsholeindeed


:) What is this (the dates)based on? :)
 Quoting: Emily78


i don't know but the last date is my birthdaygasp
Emily78

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04/30/2011 10:20 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
can i add a few dates? may 15th aug 15th sep 2 sep 27 nov 10 nov 26th
 Quoting: rabbitsholeindeed


:) What is this (the dates)based on? :)
 Quoting: Emily78


i don't know but the last date is my birthdaygasp
 Quoting: Gabriel


:)
NiNzrez

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04/30/2011 10:35 AM

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Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 10:54 AM
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 Quoting: NiNzrez


NiN, i was hoping you would stop by. I love and follow your threads.
Anonymous Coward
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04/30/2011 11:38 AM
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bumphf
Emily78

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04/30/2011 12:59 PM
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Anonymous Coward
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04/30/2011 01:46 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
can i add a few dates? may 15th aug 15th sep 2 sep 27 nov 10 nov 26th
 Quoting: rabbitsholeindeed


:) What is this (the dates)based on? :)
 Quoting: Emily78


What I really like about this thread is the lack of commentary or off-topic posts as it makes finding and following Gab's forecasts and results very easy. Hope it stays like this and doesn't get derailed : )


One thing that would make the results more helpful is to include the corresponding link to the hit, i.e. the details for Panama's 6.0 today:

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Thanks for sharing your efforts, Gabs!
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 06:45 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
A lot of energy now flowing toward Chile again, and since they have not had stress relief for 30 hrs, could be approaching 6 mag.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Nothing in Chile but this was close:

MAP 4.4 2011/04/30 15:49:42 -6.926 -76.702 64.2 NORTHERN PERU

Not even close to the Mag i thought would hit so i have to call a miss on this one.

And for the above poster here is a link:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Last Edited by Gabriel on 04/30/2011 06:46 PM
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 06:55 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Philippines region tonight mid level mag. above 4.5
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 07:07 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Philippines region tonight mid level mag. above 4.5
 Quoting: Gabriel


Whats interesting about this forcast is that this is the first time i've included a non Pacific Rim quake into my calculations:

MAP 4.5 2011/04/30 22:36:01 15.216 42.316 9.9 NEAR THE WEST COAST OF YEMEN
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

I believe this site is adding energy flow(although minimal) toward the Philippines region also..... we shall see.
Gabriel (OP)

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04/30/2011 08:00 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Philippines region tonight mid level mag. above 4.5
 Quoting: Gabriel


Just south of Philippines:

MAP 4.6 2011/04/30 23:32:32 1.381 132.673 35.9 PAPUA REGION, INDONESIA

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

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