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F.O.G.

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1331430
United States
05/07/2011 12:04 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
...


Revise: 50% chance of one of these being a 6+ Mag. Lots or pressure build up in South America.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Would you say one is due east of the La Paz area? Seems like one might happen there (to fill in the blank):
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

South America map:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Very well could be. Lots of pressure build up in that spot. We shall see.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Flow toward South America now, look for 4.5 to 5.5 through tomorrow.
 Quoting: Gabriel


By the way, here is the hit for this forcast:

MAP 4.3 2011/05/05 11:21:06 -24.118 -66.953 170.1 SALTA, ARGENTINA

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yup, there it is! And it's south of La Paz, where I thought one was due to "fill in the blank" (i.e. add a square to the map).
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Doesn't it still seem like South America is due for one north and east of La paz / around or south of Lima?
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Mexico down to Southern Chile should be put on high alert!!!
 Quoting: Gabriel


Just got a 4.6 in South America. South of that La Paz area I've been watching:

Magnitude 4.6 - ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
2011 May 06 23:30:34 UTC


map: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

list: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Good call. I figure more to come in that region.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yup, ya got another hit:

Magnitude 5.1 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE
2011 May 07 06:57:32 UTC

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

South America map:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Yes, that along with this one could be enough pressure release to avoid a big one:

MAP 5.0 2011/05/07 10:33:46 -15.213 -74.414 70.7 NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yep, finally got that one we've been expecting north / east of La Paz, south of Lima! 5.0 near the coast of southern Peru (in the upper left hand corner of the map:)
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


Gabs, do you still expect a 6+ in S.A., or is the pressure off now?
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1342977
United States
05/07/2011 04:27 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
...


Would you say one is due east of the La Paz area? Seems like one might happen there (to fill in the blank):
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

South America map:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Very well could be. Lots of pressure build up in that spot. We shall see.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Flow toward South America now, look for 4.5 to 5.5 through tomorrow.
 Quoting: Gabriel


By the way, here is the hit for this forcast:

MAP 4.3 2011/05/05 11:21:06 -24.118 -66.953 170.1 SALTA, ARGENTINA

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yup, there it is! And it's south of La Paz, where I thought one was due to "fill in the blank" (i.e. add a square to the map).
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Doesn't it still seem like South America is due for one north and east of La paz / around or south of Lima?
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Mexico down to Southern Chile should be put on high alert!!!
 Quoting: Gabriel


Just got a 4.6 in South America. South of that La Paz area I've been watching:

Magnitude 4.6 - ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
2011 May 06 23:30:34 UTC


map: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

list: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Good call. I figure more to come in that region.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yup, ya got another hit:

Magnitude 5.1 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE
2011 May 07 06:57:32 UTC

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

South America map:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


Yes, that along with this one could be enough pressure release to avoid a big one:

MAP 5.0 2011/05/07 10:33:46 -15.213 -74.414 70.7 NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yep, finally got that one we've been expecting north / east of La Paz, south of Lima! 5.0 near the coast of southern Peru (in the upper left hand corner of the map:)
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


Gabs, do you still expect a 6+ in S.A., or is the pressure off now?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1331430


I think the 5.0, 5.1 and the 4.8 in the last day was probably enough to avoid a 6+.
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1342977
United States
05/07/2011 04:36 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Energy flow toward New Zealand now.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Close enough}
MAP 4.3 2011/05/07 18:10:34 -18.022 -178.446 605.0 FIJI REGION
Gabriel (OP)

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05/07/2011 04:36 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Looking for a fairly large one in Mexico next.
Gabriel (OP)

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05/08/2011 11:06 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
Looking for a fairly large one in Mexico next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


3 small instead of one large ???? I have to get better at this.

MAP 3.2 2011/05/08 13:57:58 30.700 -105.783 10.0 CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO
MAP 3.4 2011/05/08 13:46:16 30.705 -105.765 10.0 CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO
MAP 3.3 2011/05/08 13:24:49 30.698 -105.838 10.0 CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO
Gabriel (OP)

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United States
05/08/2011 11:07 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Guinea area next.
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1342977
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05/08/2011 12:10 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Guinea area next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Right next door:

MAP 5.0 2011/05/08 15:51:36 1.044 125.400 62.0 MOLUCCA SEA

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
Gabriel (OP)

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05/08/2011 12:11 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Chile next.
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1367212
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05/08/2011 06:21 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Chile next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


close enough for a hit:

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
Gabriel (OP)

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United States
05/08/2011 06:22 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Zealand next.
Rane

User ID: 1375159
Ireland
05/08/2011 06:29 PM

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Re: F.O.G.
New Zealand next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Agreed
Rane

User ID: 1375159
Ireland
05/08/2011 06:32 PM

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Re: F.O.G.
Actually scratch that last comment, I think it's about time japan took another hit...
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1367212
United States
05/08/2011 06:37 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Actually scratch that last comment, I think it's about time japan took another hit...
 Quoting: Rane


There taking hits every couple hours lol Thats why i never forcast anything for Japan..... after shocks will last a year.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 982131
France
05/08/2011 06:40 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
4.9 IRAN
Didn't see that one uh?
Rane

User ID: 1375159
Ireland
05/08/2011 06:41 PM

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Re: F.O.G.
4.9 IRAN
Didn't see that one uh?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 982131


I still don't see that one.... link?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 982131
France
05/08/2011 06:42 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
4.9 IRAN
Didn't see that one uh?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 982131


I still don't see that one.... link?
 Quoting: Rane


[link to www.oe-files.de]
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1367212
United States
05/08/2011 06:44 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
4.9 IRAN
Didn't see that one uh?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 982131


[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


good catch. I'm a Pacific Rim kind of forcaster lol
Anonymous Coward
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France
05/08/2011 06:53 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
by the way your method of forecasting seem pretty accurate.
I'd like to know more about it
radiexa

User ID: 1375502
Japan
05/08/2011 08:08 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Nice work there OP.. You said you don't forecast anything for Japan since there are of lot of aftershocks (yeah, I know it can be overwhelming!), but would you do the forecast if there is the possibility of any 6+ at least? That would be great! Also, how much time in advance (more or less) do you think you can forecast based on your formula?

Another question, I read on the USGS that they say when a massive EQ hits a region, they don't expect to have another as big on the same area (they say probabilities are one 8+ EQ in 20 years). Do you agree with that? Well, my guess is that this is true (at least for the Tohoku region - northeastern Jp -, where I live) but there is another region/fault area in Japan (the Tokai region, at the center/south) which is overdue for another BIG EQ (historically, it happened once in 100-150 years, the last one was in 1854).. What would you say are odds for this EQ to hit this same year? I'm very interested about this.. Thanks!
"I have no faith in human perfectability. I think that human exertion will have no appreciable effect upon humanity. Man is now only more active - not more happy - nor more wise, than he was 6000 years ago". E.A.Poe
Gabriel (OP)

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United States
05/08/2011 08:26 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Chile next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


close enough for a hit:

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Gabriel


I guess we weren't done with Chile:

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

MAP 4.9 2011/05/08 22:33:55 -41.590 -83.857 10.1 WEST CHILE RISE

Last Edited by Gabriel on 05/08/2011 08:26 PM
Gabriel (OP)

User ID: 1367212
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05/08/2011 08:33 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Nice work there OP.. You said you don't forecast anything for Japan since there are of lot of aftershocks (yeah, I know it can be overwhelming!), but would you do the forecast if there is the possibility of any 6+ at least? That would be great! Also, how much time in advance (more or less) do you think you can forecast based on your formula?

Another question, I read on the USGS that they say when a massive EQ hits a region, they don't expect to have another as big on the same area (they say probabilities are one 8+ EQ in 20 years). Do you agree with that? Well, my guess is that this is true (at least for the Tohoku region - northeastern Jp -, where I live) but there is another region/fault area in Japan (the Tokai region, at the center/south) which is overdue for another BIG EQ (historically, it happened once in 100-150 years, the last one was in 1854).. What would you say are odds for this EQ to hit this same year? I'm very interested about this.. Thanks!
 Quoting: radiexa


If i see massive energy flow toward Japan i will forcast it.

As for your other questions. I might have agreed with USGA about a big one in the same area 10 years ago, but with what i believe is happening in our solar system, all bets are off. I believe you could have an 8 mag and then a 9 mag soon after. In fact, believe this will start happening very soon in many places.
radiexa

User ID: 1375502
Japan
05/08/2011 09:38 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Nice work there OP.. You said you don't forecast anything for Japan since there are of lot of aftershocks (yeah, I know it can be overwhelming!), but would you do the forecast if there is the possibility of any 6+ at least? That would be great! Also, how much time in advance (more or less) do you think you can forecast based on your formula?

Another question, I read on the USGS that they say when a massive EQ hits a region, they don't expect to have another as big on the same area (they say probabilities are one 8+ EQ in 20 years). Do you agree with that? Well, my guess is that this is true (at least for the Tohoku region - northeastern Jp -, where I live) but there is another region/fault area in Japan (the Tokai region, at the center/south) which is overdue for another BIG EQ (historically, it happened once in 100-150 years, the last one was in 1854).. What would you say are odds for this EQ to hit this same year? I'm very interested about this.. Thanks!
 Quoting: radiexa


If i see massive energy flow toward Japan i will forcast it.

As for your other questions. I might have agreed with USGA about a big one in the same area 10 years ago, but with what i believe is happening in our solar system, all bets are off. I believe you could have an 8 mag and then a 9 mag soon after. In fact, believe this will start happening very soon in many places.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yes, I read about these things happening within our solar system, the sun, Elenin..that's why I'm worried. To be honest, when I started to look for info, I was more into the illuminati, the HAARP thing, etc, well maybe there is a correlation between all of this but even if it's not, there's clearly something wrong going on there, bigger than we can imagine. But in the last weeks I started to paying more attention about the sun flares, Elenin and still trying to figure it out. I will keep on looking for updates regularly on your thread then, thanks and stay safe!
"I have no faith in human perfectability. I think that human exertion will have no appreciable effect upon humanity. Man is now only more active - not more happy - nor more wise, than he was 6000 years ago". E.A.Poe
Anonymous Coward
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05/08/2011 10:11 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
Lol. Where is Chili? Next to Nacho?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1343792


Chili's restaurant...yummmm
 Quoting: chevyrwicked


Does chili causes earthquakes?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1343792


Only with my stomach, and sometimes I have an eruption from the other end!
Emily78

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05/09/2011 07:52 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
bump
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2011 08:12 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
bump
NiNzrez

User ID: 1135433
United States
05/09/2011 09:07 AM

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Re: F.O.G.
Nice work there OP.. You said you don't forecast anything for Japan since there are of lot of aftershocks (yeah, I know it can be overwhelming!), but would you do the forecast if there is the possibility of any 6+ at least? That would be great! Also, how much time in advance (more or less) do you think you can forecast based on your formula?

Another question, I read on the USGS that they say when a massive EQ hits a region, they don't expect to have another as big on the same area (they say probabilities are one 8+ EQ in 20 years). Do you agree with that? Well, my guess is that this is true (at least for the Tohoku region - northeastern Jp -, where I live) but there is another region/fault area in Japan (the Tokai region, at the center/south) which is overdue for another BIG EQ (historically, it happened once in 100-150 years, the last one was in 1854).. What would you say are odds for this EQ to hit this same year? I'm very interested about this.. Thanks!
 Quoting: radiexa


If i see massive energy flow toward Japan i will forcast it.

As for your other questions. I might have agreed with USGA about a big one in the same area 10 years ago, but with what i believe is happening in our solar system, all bets are off. I believe you could have an 8 mag and then a 9 mag soon after. In fact, believe this will start happening very soon in many places.
 Quoting: Gabriel

Agree with you on that Gabi
Bump
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Gabriel (OP)

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05/09/2011 09:39 AM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Zealand next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Pressure building still from New Zealand to New Guinea. Question is, (and i haven't figured it out yet) will it be one big release or several medium magnitude releases.
NiNzrez

User ID: 1135433
United States
05/09/2011 12:50 PM

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Re: F.O.G.
New Zealand next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Pressure building still from New Zealand to New Guinea. Question is, (and i haven't figured it out yet) will it be one big release or several medium magnitude releases.
 Quoting: Gabriel


5.0 2011/05/09 15:04:22 -43.612 172.622 16.3 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Gabriel (OP)

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United States
05/09/2011 01:06 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Zealand next.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Pressure building still from New Zealand to New Guinea. Question is, (and i haven't figured it out yet) will it be one big release or several medium magnitude releases.
 Quoting: Gabriel


5.0 2011/05/09 15:04:22 -43.612 172.622 16.3 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks Nin. This takes the pressure off for large mag in that area.
Gabriel (OP)

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05/09/2011 01:11 PM
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Re: F.O.G.
New Guinea looking ripe with how the flow is going. Also my spark a medium mag in Fiji/Tonga as the flow makes its way out of New Zealand.