childish, idiotic statements that have no value deleted
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1421543 You are just demonstrating pure ignorance. Just because you do not understand statistical analysis and its purpose does not mean it isn't being used.
I am bewildered why you keep embarassing yourself with your nonsense about something you clearly do not understand.
You are a shill, nothing more, and a poor one at that. Post after post you demonstrate you do not have the mathemtical background to rationally discuss this subject.
So again, the real issue is telling everyone who reads these posts what are these equations?
In your own words, what do the equations mean?
Where do the equations come from? That is, show the derivation of the equations.
What independent verification have you done for these equations?
How do the equations fit into the earthquake predictions?
In your own words, how do you validate the predictions?
In your own words, how do these equations fit into the resontator model?
That is the only thing that matters and that is the only way you can evaluate his theory. If you do not understand the equations it is impossible to say if his theory is correct.
From 9 May 2011 (the start of his charts; use the scroll bar to go back to May) to 4 November 2011 Omerbashich posts the following dates as “no magnification”.
May 11.5 - 12.5 (1)
May 16.5 - 28.5 (12)
Jun 6.5 - 12.5 (6)
Jul 1.5 - 5.5 (4)
July 17.5 - 21.5 (4)
July 26.5 - 28.5 (2)
Aug 6.5 - 16.5 (10)
Sept 2.9 (0)
Sept 5.5 (0)
Sept 19.5 - 21.5 (2)
Sept 23.5 - Oct 5.5 (12)
Oct 10 - 12.5 (2)
Oct 20 - 20.5 (0.5)
The number is parenthesis is the number of days in the period. Two I list as 0 because he has the magnification going down to zero for only a brief time. The expectation is then that no magnitude 6+earthquakes happen in those periods. In fact, 10 magnitude 6+ earthquakes occurred in these periods
July 17.5 - 21.5 (4)
PDE-Q 2011 07 19 193543.48 40.08 71.41 20 6.1 MwWCMT 4CM .......
PDE-Q 2011 07 20 220459.32 -10.34 162.01 21 6.0 MwWCMT .FM .......
July 26.5 - 28.5 (2)
PDE-Q 2011 07 26 174420.38 25.10 -109.53 12 6.0 MwWCMT 3FM .......
Aug 6.5 - 16.5 (10)
PDE-Q 2011 08 04 135134.56 48.83 154.77 36 6.1 MwWCMT ..M .......
PDE-Q 2011 08 10 234543.04 -7.04 -12.62 10 6.0 MwWCMT ..M .......
PDE-Q 2011 08 16 110357.70 -2.33 128.00 35 6.1 MwWCMT 3FM .......
Sept 2.9 (0)
PDE-Q 2011 09 02 134709.64 -28.40 -63.07 577 6.7 MwWCMT 3FM .......
PDE-Q 2011 09 03 044857.31 -56.45 -26.85 84 6.4 MwWCMT ..M .......
Sept 5.5 (0)
PDE-Q 2011 09 05 095201.13 -15.30 -173.62 37 6.2 MwWCMT 4FM .......
PDE-Q 2011 09 05 175511.22 2.96 97.89 91 6.7 MwWCMT .CM .......
So now compare to the USGS statistical average. The period represents 180 days. The USGS says that there are 150 magnitude 6+ earthquakes per year. So simple math (an equation) says:
150/365*180 = 74
There should be 74 magnitude 6+ earthquakes in that period. A search of the USGS database reveals that there were 73 earthquakes of magnitude 6+ in that period. Yes, 4 of them occurred during his notch periods but a point was made of showing the notches so they must mean something. Earthquakes occurring in the notches must be counted as misses.
So just using simple statistical averages I do better than Omerbashich. Remember, he does not predict dates or locations, only provides time periods.
Why do you shill for Omerbashich?