BREAKING ! Post Effects Of Irene Official Thread

good point ac most people from the coast will be going inland but Raleigh if it makes landfall in NC is going to be tornado alley

It won't be a Cat. 4 when it makes land fall. I live almost in the middle of NC ( Salisbury like 40mins north of Charlotte ).

Still gonna be a lot of rain for us and probably 50-60 MPH wind.

ths is like a number of others that came to nyc, we have not had one since the 30's and this could be IT

Look at the maps and follow the projections, for one more day, badda bing

Well, according to these maps, New York gonna get raped at Sunday ?

i am not sure about that

Hurricane Irene: Prepare for a Category 4 'major hurricane'

[link to latimesblogs.latimes.com]

i hope i am wrong

And depending on where it hits so could Charlotte and so could Richmond, VA

have you heard of this glp

Also please be concerned in OBX and Va Beach area for storm surge. This storm is HUGE and could have a similar impact as past storms.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

Bad weather happens.

No doom here.

good point ac storm surge plus everything else

GLP Effect works every time for me! No hurricane for South Florida!
But,woe to those farther north...We almost moved to So. Carolina in July. Glad we didn't.

take that attitude to the craps table and gamble with that one

Your video you even posted showed it was gonna be a Cat. 3 upon landfall and weather.com shows the same thing. It turns to a cat. 4 but it comes over the not so warm water, however if that water changes to warmer in the next few days it could stay a cat 4. As of right now though it's looking like a Cat. 3.

Starting evacuations of Ockracoke Island in NC as of noon today.

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]

Remember this episode of the Weather channels It could Happen tomorrow

[link to www.youtube.com]

I was in living in Key West at the time of Andrew. Had it not made a last minute turn a couple of hours before Key West would be no more.

It was the WORST thing I've ever been through. The only good thing is that by the time you've spent the time and energy hauling things in, tying things down, shuttering windows, pruning coconut trees (hurling missiles under the circumstance), etc. and you go to bed and the power goes off you're so exhausted I doubt you'd feel it hit you.


Good luck, Carolinas, and to answer this guy's question about what people did before:

They got little warning and most died evacuating the storm.

In 1935 the Flagler railroad train was packed as it carried people off the island of Key West and was washed out to sea when the hurricane hit.

The track guidance (shown to the right) is consistent in the idea that Irene will curve northward in a couple of days after it plows through the Bahamas over 100 miles east of Florida’s east coast.

But as we head toward the weekend, with Irene propagating northward or north-northeastward toward the Carolinas, the situation becomes less clear and more serious.

The experts at NHC appropriately advertise the still considerable uncertainty in the forecast for the weekend.

The basic idea is this:


Upper level winds are likely to allow Irene to approach the East Coast, but how close?Later this week, as Irene emerges from the tropics on its poleward track east of Florida, an upper trough in the mid-latitude westerlies (outlined in red in the forecast valid early Friday morning to the right) will likely bypass Irene to the north.

It is now pretty well agreed upon by the models that this trough will not be strong enough to pull the storm out to sea. It will probably leave Irene behind in a weak steering pattern for roughly 36-48 hours that will not significantly alter her northward course and unfortunately keep it on a track that aims at eastern North Carolina. In that case, we will have to hope for the next southeastward-moving trough upstream (outlined in blue) to move into a position close enough to shove Irene eastward.

The guidance currently suggests that this may not happen in time to keep Irene completely offshore. In this scenario, where it is understood that there is 4-6 days worth of time for the meteorology to turn out differently, the Outer Banks of North Carolina would suffer a major hurricane landfall. Let’s hope this doesn’t happen

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]

This view has it weakening:
[link to www.wunderground.com]

And this view has it steering further from the coast:
[link to www.wunderground.com]

You never know where these things are going or how much they will weaken or strengthen until the day they arrive.

If you REALLY want good intel - check out what us Florida East Coast surfers have to say:
[link to 2ndlight.com]

According to weather calculations, My state of New Jersey ill be hit dead on.

great info

Tomorrow is this sunday, doom, nyc doom, a cat 2-3 barreling up to nyc, it will not toucc nc, and that means no loss of strength, and that means full power on it's nyc hit.

it just might borrow into ny harbor following the warm water, i don't know that much on water currect theories, but i suspect there is something more there we don't know,

nyc direct hit, then it burrow up the ne coast, turning into a storm, all the way to canada, but the damage is the city, the precious reall estate, trillions of dollars of damage, incredible water damage, electronics shot everywhere, subways gone, cars flooded, like venice for two day, the city has a lot of little hills and these will create localized ponding and run off, don't be near the river.

[link to www.accuweather.com]

By wishing it away from u---u r sending it to us, to nyc, if it hits you--then it is a tropical storm by time it gets here,

My thought is it misses you, barely, and goes straight fot the city, hits manhattan, irene will be the city's katrina.

yea my friend who is a huge surfer said look out Wilmington
[link to hurricane.accuweather.com]

The world and the oceans are a lot different than when nyc got near misses 10-15-20 years ago,this one will be a lot different and cause a lot of damage,

if it hit long Island It would cause a lot, of damage, cat 3 nyc

thank you for the post...great one...its not really a normal hurricane we are worried about,its Harrp ect..controlling the storm...So if Haarp is involved this can be really catastrophic

There's no way with it's projected path that it could hit NYC as a Cat 3. Weak Cat 1 possible, or tropical storm.

Wahahha

Silly human. WE have HARRP now!

REMEMBER TO TAKE ID SHOWING YOU LIVE THERE IF YOU'RE GOING TO LEAVE!!!!!

It's hell getting back in if you don't. In fact it's impossible.

Let's assume it gets up to a 4 today or tomorrow, and it has no other landfall, misses NC misses MD misses NJ and aims right for NYC

Could be a 3 coming into the city and slowing to a two at landfall, then to a one

but it would hit the city as a hurricane and we have never really seen that in modern times