Nip's solar/quake thread

although proton count is LOW, there is quite a bit of flux (energy varience) in them. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

quakes being left off usgs again like crazy since 0 utc last night. I don't feel like listing them al with details, here's the short of it
Panama, Western Honshu, SASKATCHEWAN, CANADA,DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE, EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA,
2012-02-15 01:54:52.7 13.28 N 142.98 E 10 mb 6.3 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION

MARSHALL ISLANDS REGION (5.8)

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Fleet gave a shot of protons again inside the magnetosphere at the very typical time of around 8 utc.

well have a quiet few minutes after a busy day of vacation,and see we got a CME today, medium big. Nothing unusual about it. Made pretty good ingress, on the AE index. I didn't realize we had one coming.

we have a significant solar wind increase. no idea why.

Checking in and to say Hi Nip!

Been real busy here, and feeling all of the solar stuff coming in, pretty intense for about 3 weeks now.
Sunday was strange, my body kept "pitching" to the left.

I have tried to check the magnetosphere info at times, nothing seemed to be happening, but my body sure has been feeling things intensely.....

Love and peace to you!

nice list of february fireball sightings. [link to www.amsmeteors.org]

well here comes the promised CME I think anyway. to early to know for sure, but heats up, protons are up, and wind is up.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

interesting [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] is showing action and the proton flux is. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] which goes with it, but there have been no large Xray flares, so I don't know why, unless something from the magnetic ribbon that lifted off did it. Usually the DRAP as I called it does this when there are M and X xray flares.

well storm is increasing on the ingress a bit. And Usgs has left off a lot of quakes in the first 1/2 of utc Feb 26, I have not compared the 2nd half, no mood to list them all. but overall the number of posted quakes is up.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov] this is not typical of this area.

well the 2nd cme arrived early in my morning and its much more impressive than yesterdays.

Could this have possibly what caused a hazy red area in the sky above our area? The sky was pitch black north and south but the colored area directly above. I do not know how quickly it changed but a few hours prior to that happening the sky had been beautiful night time clear with stars everywhere!

I have no idea DOK. I haven't ever been out at night with one coming in. I don't think these would darken the sky though. I have no idea why the red color in the middle.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp] guess we needed protons again. same general time frame that fleet supplies them.

well, quakes seem down this morning on usgs, but wait, there are missing ones. Now do I spend my time listing them today, shoot what the heck. [link to www.emsc-csem.org]

12:35 utc. 65.81 N 176.07 W 33km mb 4.6 NEAR S COAST OF CHUKOTKA, RUSSIA

12:03 utc 38.71 N 8.30 E 30km mb 5.0 WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA

3:25 Utc 36.99 N 140.71 E 10km mb 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

2:13 utc 44.57 N 127.75 E 25km mb 4.0 JILIN-HEILONGJIANG BDR, CHINA

2:13 utc 50.03 N 146.68 E 33km mb 4.7 SEA OF OKHOTSK

2:12 utc 35.27 N 140.92 E 60km mb 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

1:09 utc 53.87 N 108.04 E 10km mb 5.1 LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA

1:05 utc 46.40 N 14.20 W 10 mb 4.9 NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN

*************
23:57 end of Feb 29 utc day, but not on usgs either. 35.11 N 145.02 E 10km mb 5.3 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Not going to go further into Feb 29. I will check later today since I started a list.

was just checking solar et all data for first time today, we are right now just coming out of about an M.5 flare [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I assume its showing on drap already. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

there is an electron drop here: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] but so far I am not finding evident to support why. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] shows evidence of solar storm too. but not here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] we have had almost 24 hours of mostly neg bz, minor. we get these long phases now and then.


Not sure the why on haarp here, doesn't correspond to the changes after 0 utc above. [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]



the polarshift thing here continues to be interesting. [link to hpiers.obspm.fr] been updated not long ago.

I did not finish the list of unreported quakes a few days ago. Today I may not do a whole list, but here is one notable missing quake. There are other smaller ones, like new zealand etc . [link to www.emsc-csem.org] well adding some more. remember usgs claims to have all quales 2.5 in the world on their list . I am just posting those 4+ here.
there are a 5 more after 1800 utc that are not on usgs, going to give it a bit more time.

18:31 utc 49.96 N 123.20 E 33km mb 5.0 NORTHEASTERN NEI MONGOL, CHINA

18:29 utc 27.11 N 136.22 E 33km mb 5.3 WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS

18:28 utc 17.91 N 134.50 E 10 mb 5.5 PHILIPPINE SEA

18:23 utc 1.90 S 142.83 E 15 mb 5.6 NINIGO ISLANDS REGION, P.N.G.

17:06 utc 23.32 N 152.27 E 168km mb 5.6 MINAMI-TORI-SHIMA, JAPAN REGION

17:06 utc 11.36 N 142.13 E 5km mb 5.7 SOUTH OF MARIANA ISLANDS

14:45 utc 48.81 N 128.28 W 28km mb 4.1 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION

13:46 Utc 22.81 N 148.99 E 25km mb 6.1 A EAST OF THE VOLCANO ISLANDS Plus perhaps same quake other end of fault, 5.4

12:26 utc 16.53 N 139.89 E 10km mb 7.1 WEST OF MARIANA ISLANDS

12:19 utc 50.20 S 170.77 W 25km mb 5.0 SOUTH OF CHATHAM ISLANDS

12:18 utc 32.46 S 169.33 E 25km mb 4.6 NORTHWEST OF NEW ZEALAND

12:02 utc 38.73 N 43.62 E 7km ML 4.0 EASTERN TURKEY

2:27 Utc 30.27 N 5.38 W 10 mb 4.2 MOROCCO

1:39 utc 52.81 N 123.96 W 33km mb 4.8 BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA LDG

I am wondering if the middle of this country is going to get crapped on again today. Look at the jet stream. [link to images.intellicast.com]

then look at radar here. match up [link to radar.weather.gov]

I have no idea if this will manifest, just suggesting that after watching jet stream and those bands of storms recently. Not a weather expert by any means.

well we got a barely x flare visually a few hours ago. I have not looked to see if there was any CME with it. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Proton flux, is climbing, started actually before the x flare, maybe cumulative from the m flare or the several C flares after it yesterday. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

San Francisco bay area got a 4 while ago, on the Hayward a bit north of Berkeley.

[link to www.n3kl.org] we got a generous x flare X 4 or 5 looks like. Don't know if there is a CME ejected with it or not. Just after 0 utc. SDO maybe has the flare starting,, no images yet from soho or stereo yet to know if there is a cme with this.

Thank you, NIP. Do you think this will threaten the planet to any level, even minimally?

no. here's a pretty pic of the flare. [link to lasp.colorado.edu]

I did wag out suddenly just a bit ago, so that is probably the reason. Since those arrive in minutes and It was still light here at the time. I can't make any other comments until we see if it did a CME or not. But even so at this point I would see not reason to worry. we had an X 45 or something like that in 2003 or so, I don't remember the details, and were probably fine then. I did come to realize some of my symptoms I blamed on MS, the CFS etc, were related probably to solar maxes after I started paying more attention a few years ago.

Earlier to day we had gamma rays from something. I have not asked if fleet did them, usually they do, as I got "pinged" really good from those, and had checked also to see if we got a biggy proton hit, because those little buggers if the speed is very high and the density high can prickle my skin too. but at the time nothing. I have not checked that one gamma ray site to see if one is there for this afternoon.

I am thinking of starting a THIS IS NOT THE END OF THE WORLD OVER AN X flare thread, but I really don't want to babysit the thing. Not in the mood tonight at all to teach and reteach and re re teach etc. I did that on a Saturday night during my vacation when the family was watching a kids movie. WE got a CME that came in SLOW so the wind didn't raise much and every one freaked over that.

X flares if there is a cme can produce little cme's of little interest,, and c and m flares can produce big cmes. The size of the cme doesn't have much to do with size the Xray flare.

GRBS have been showing up alot more of late.NIP wouldn't you expect a CME out of an LDE like we are going through,just curious

Ok we have the first evidence of a CME with the X5 flare. [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And since the time of this first image is almost 1 hour AFTER the X flare, this is a pretty fast ejection and it looks pretty big, but not huge. there is on this image an area of intensity that I assume is a glob of "mass" ejected.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] click on image AIA 094, nice one of the flare, as it happened.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] now has more images up, click on the pop down box and enjoy. still no stereo ahead or soho images.

[link to spaceweather.com] Concerning he X5 flare, yes still only on stereo behind, so we wait and see.



This eruption hurled a bright CME into space. First-look data from STEREO-B are not sufficient to determine if the cloud is heading for Earth. Our best guess is "probably, yes, but not directly toward Earth." A glancing blow to our planet's magnetosphere is possible on March 8th or 9th. Stay tuned for updates. Solar flare alerts: text, phone.

And we have a CME I hitting NOW, and its looks moderate on the AE index, proton count so far not impressive, nor is wind impressive, but the BZ is taking a good hit, the stuff is coming right on it. Bz is -13.7 , wind 423, density 9.7 at this time here: click on the dials for figures. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and showing radio blackout at R3, not sure if from CME hitting, or the X 5 flare.


[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

X5 flare lighting up here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and green and blue proton flux rising with the flare.

I don't know why, the proton level of this CME should not be doing this, I think maybe another gamma ray thingy, skin is being peppered again. Also a rather sudden increase in metallic sounding ear noise that started in last night, was quieter again and now is back up. This is in both ears.

I have been so drained feeling for a couple days. in a dream land feeling, nothing moves me...peace

join the club, and if that sunspot keeps doing cmes plus the sudden energies of big flares, being drained may continue for a bit, besides the draining energy of life on this world. when we had the big X early march last year, I was out to lunch and shopping with a friend and it about layed us both out, he spoke first asking if I just felt something huge. we had a very long lazy lunch to recover before the shopping resumed.