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Message Subject List of false prophets and failed predictions.
Poster Handle Sergman
Post Content
I revised confirmed and partially confirmed cases of EQ predictions. I decided to remove from the list those that have high chance of probability.

removed (58% hit chance):
Dec 12, 2011: PARTIALLY CONFIRMED
EQ doom by "Yes I Did !!!!"
Thread: The Pacific Ocean is gonna rock & roll..... within 3 days ..... maybe even tomorrow - Update = Magnitude 7.3 - New Guinea


changed to BUSTED (actually nothing happened. I don't know why it was listed as partially confirmed):
Dec 31, 2011: PARTIALLY CONFIRMED
by Dreamer11
Thread: Dream of a big earthquake hitting around the New Year

removed (52% hit chance):
Dec 31, 2011: CONFIRMED
by Solarwatch
Thread: Possible large earthquake to strike within the next 24-48 hours

removed (50% hit chance):
March 20, 2012: CONFIRMED
by TheTruthWorker
Thread: HIT! March 20 earthquake in Mexico was predicted on March 14

removed (giving 2 days off means it has 5 days window, thus the hit chance is 100%):
March 22, 2012: PARTIALLY CONFIRMED
Thread: 188 days between major Earthquakes

removed (same as above):
March 22, 2012: PARTIALLY CONFIRMED
Thread: 188 DAY PATTERN of MAJOR QUAKES & ILLUMINATI 322 MARCH 22nd Connected to another date with 223? Webbot Warning, Iran War/Nuke Terrorism?

removed (same as above):
March 17-22, 2012: PARTIALLY CONFIRMED
by Heath loves Earth
Thread: FUTURE THREAT: Massive earthquake and tsunami on the East Coast

removed (around 50% hit chance)
April 12, 2012:
by TheTruthWorker
Thread: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 12th


Next time I will be more meticulous to EQ predictions
 Quoting: Sergman


I've tried to ignore this post. But... your math is way off for date prediction. There are about 30 days in a month, or 30 DATES that a prediction can occur on a date. If 2 quakes hit on day 1 and then 2 quakes hit on day 30, that is 4 quakes on 2 DATES. The chance of hitting a DATE is 2 out of 30, not 4 out of 30.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


When you removed my CONFIRMED hit by changing your criteria you failed to remove my failed prediction for April 3rd...

April 03, 2012: BUSTED
Thread: 7+ Mag EARTHQUAKE due to asteroid near Earth on April 3rd

Please take it off your list, and I don't know why you have not taken all the BUSTED quakes predictions by others that are not meeting your 8.0+rule. When you changed your tracking you took off CONFIRMED and PARTIALLY but left the BUSTED?
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


removed
 
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