A Long Duration Solar Flare++ Right now..M3 ..CME detected..earth directed..

A CME from a C-flare can cause more damage than a CME from an X...It just depends on the nature of the beast..Some people are saying that a filament has exploded with this CME which could really multiply it`s effects...I haven`t verified the filament yet but that is a HUGE CME with this flare..

Cool Nin---I appreciate your hard work and help on the thread...Going to be interesting watching it come in..

i disagree
half will go north, but the other half of the bulk will be directed at us
we can see this my looking at earths proximity to the sun today
You can see on iswa Earths proximity to region 1402 where this CME was produced

1402 is located directly above 1401, and Earth is in direct proximity to 1401

Half of the bulk from this CME is earth directed, the other half is northward directed and will not effect earth
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
:earthproxjan19:
:sunearth:

Then where is my warning email from space weather..... lol

Sever fried by sun spot perhaps.

Waiting on sun doom so we can start this all over again..lol

It does now appear to be earth direct...at least thats the chatter going around..HUGE cme

3 and half hours above the "M" level NIP...I don`t think so. I have been watching the sun daily for over two years and haven`t ever seen one like this...I don`t even think I`ve seen a C-class event last this long...at least not a single c-class flare...

:xf1:

Type II and IV events are caused by slower-moving solar material propagating outward at speeds varying between approximately 800 and 1600 kilometers per second. Type II and IV radio bursts are of particular importance.

These sweep frequency radio events are signatures of potentially dense solar material which has been ejected from the solar surface. If the region responsible for these events is well positioned, the expelled solar material may succeed in impacting with the Earth. Such an impact often causes an SSC followed by Minor to Major geomagnetic storm conditions and significantly degraded radio propagation conditions. It is therefore interesting to pay attention to events which cause Type II and/or IV radio sweep events, since they may indicate the potential for increased magnetic activity (and decreased propagation quality) within 48 hours. It should be noted, however, that predicting degraded terrestrial conditions is significantly more complex than simply observing whether the energetic event had an associated Type II or IV radio sweep. Flare position, proton spectra, flare size, event duration, event intensity and a host of other variables must be analyzed before a qualitative judgement can be made.

It should also be noted that sweep frequency radio events are capable of producing Short Wave Fades (SWFs) and Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SIDs). Depending on the severity of the event, the duration of SWFs and SIDs may last in excess of several hours with typical values being approximately 30 minutes. SWFs and SIDs cause absorption of radio signals (due to intense ionization) at frequencies up to and well in excess of 500 MHz. Microwave continuum bursts can affect frequencies up to 30 GHz. Frequencies in the HF region can be completely blacked out for a period of time during intense energetic events.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

cygnetstreamer just been update...........

Doom On

I wonder if the Sun was responsible for the strange noises heard around the World in localized spots. The ionosphere can pulse and all it needs is to pulse at an audible frequency for us to hear it.

So maybe the Earth was getting hit with solar energies causing ionospheric oscilations in base altitude.

a M LDE?
now ill have to go look...

Edit: NIP is right
we have had 2 since we have been following this solar cycle here on glp
We record all M and X events, as well as all LDE C events
We have had 2 M LDE's

*M1.3 Flare on 10/22/2011 @ 11:10 UTC - sunspot 1314
- LDE lasting 4 1/2hrs (starting 09:18 - ending 13:40)
*M7.1 Flare on 9/24/2011 @ 13:20 UTC - sunspot 1302 (LDE EVENT 3+hrs)

Yes.....thats it. Thats the reason. lol

don't forget when it hits, in a few days, earth will have also moved in its orbit somewhat away from it. We shall just have to watch. We have been hit more directly than this and all that happens is people feel weird, tempers rise, and we usually but not always get more quakes. This sun is still not anywhere near as active as it should be at this point. Much of that is related to fleet work on it. They caused the long min in the first place.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

cygnetstreamer just been update...........

Doom On

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This doesn't have the most recent CME right?
If so, seems one is expected to deliver a glancing blow around the same time.

Well lets see,

1- Earth Directed
2- Very long duration
3- Filament collapse
4- Southern Orientation


This COULD be it!!!

[link to www.robertschoch.com]

Yikes. Hope we don't see that kind of solar flare...

That initial pic you just showed .. what is that? .. someone just posted a thread yesterday that there was a bunch of statues uncovered and one of them was that one .. (seen it before, dk what it is...)