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TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -

 
KMartin
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01/24/2012 01:58 AM
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TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
A storm system that is moving through the Desert Southwest is going to enter the Texas area on Tuesday afternoon. Storms ahead of the front are not as much of a concern as the ones overnight and into Wednesday morning.

Residents across Central and Southern Texas will need to be on the lookout for further TWS Tornado Watch products. These may be needed overnight Tuesday through Wednesday morning.

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For what I can see an upper level trough will dig down into Northern Mexico on Tuesday night. This will enhance the upper air ascent along the Rio Grande, with upper divergence and a frontal zone moving eastward from there through San Antonio and points southward.

A mesolow scenario is developing as we will have a strong upper level jet in the area, combined with strong backing southeast winds. This promotes a damaging wind scenario, likely a moderate risk tornado and wind damaging event.

This mesolow will be the key to tornado development. The mesolow will be around San Antonio, TX overnight on Tuesday, and into Wednesday morning before sunrise. The storms may form a broken line, with embedded supercell activity. Cells just to the east and south of the mesolow center will be the most tornadic.

Since directional shear is not really present, this event will be an embedded tornado scenario, likely without an isolated cell along the front.

Storms will form ahead of it through the Southeastern Texas coast on Wednesday morning.

The situation will be monitored over the day on Tuesday, a final outlook and needed TWS Tornado Watch product will also be figured out then as well, either later afternoon or evening. Since the activity with the mesolow is expected overnight, an evening TWS Tornado Watch issue would be expected.

This activity will move east through Southeastern Texas on Wednesday.
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Anonymous Coward
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01/24/2012 02:00 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Beautiful weather ahead, folks!
Anonymous Coward
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01/24/2012 02:01 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Thank you kevin you are the best everyone else is just jealous
KMartin (OP)

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01/24/2012 02:02 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Thank you kevin you are the best everyone else is just jealous
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1584678


You got that right. Many are envious of my position in the field and that is cool ... When you have haters, it means you have more than them.
Senior Meteorologist -
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Anonymous Coward
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01/24/2012 02:11 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Thanx Kevin,
Got peeps at Lackland AFB, keep us posted.
HANGFIRE

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01/24/2012 06:51 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
bump
Anonymous Coward
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01/24/2012 06:55 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
They've just been telling us it's 80% chance o' rain today? hiding
Anonymous Coward
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01/24/2012 07:05 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Thank you kevin you are the best everyone else is just jealous
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1584678


You got that right. Many are envious of my position in the field and that is cool ... When you have haters, it means you have more than them.
 Quoting: KMartin


Where'd you get that, off of a cracker jack box? Insipid much?
loosa
KMartin (OP)

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01/24/2012 11:02 AM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
Thank you kevin you are the best everyone else is just jealous
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1584678


You got that right. Many are envious of my position in the field and that is cool ... When you have haters, it means you have more than them.
 Quoting: KMartin


Where'd you get that, off of a cracker jack box? Insipid much?
loosa
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9455040


I know how jealous people act. I've dealt with it for ages.

Update: Will be looking into it today. NOAA finally decided to follow me and add 5% to the rest of Southern Central TX where-as last night it was 2%.

Should a Tornado Watch be issued by Me you'll see it on the upper right of my site, which is my signature.

Last Edited by KMartin on 01/24/2012 11:04 AM
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weegie

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01/24/2012 06:03 PM
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Re: TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER: Overnight Tuesday and into Wednesday - Complete Details -
OK. Will we get any rain? I'm tired of this "storms" garbage with NO rain. I'm straight south of San Antonio on the border (near Brownsville) and it it BLOWING like crazy. I was sitting in a parked mini-van earlier and it was rocking and the store window in front of me kept moving...really weird...sort of an earthquake effect, but it was just wind.

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