I won't waste much more time on this thread ... here is a brief run down on why I think it will be the end of Feb or around that time.

A major motorway has an import stage completed then.

The leaked word to the geologist.

Huge tents will be ready in a city park for an up coming event many are there already.

Officials and other people can be here ready, on the pretense they are here for the anniversary celebrations or rather commiserations of the last huge quake.

......

Hello lamplight, this is all a bit of a worry..