<<Advancing Bird Flu-H5N1...Now following MERS and Ebola approaching PANDEMICS>>>

[link to www.virosciencelab.org]

We idenGfied ferret enteric coronaviruses at high prevalence in The Netherlands. In addiGon viral metagenomic analyses in pine marten and European badger resulted in the idenGficaGon of a pine marten anellovirus that probably belongs to a new genus, a circovirus-­&#8208;like virus from European badger that most likely belongs to a novel virus family, and a new pine marten bocavirus species
Provacia L.B., S.L. Smits, B.E. MarGna, V.S. raj, P.V. vand en Doel, G. van Amerongen, H. Moorman-­&#8208;Roest, A.D. Osterhaus, B.L. Haagmans (2011). Enteric coronavirus in ferrets, The Netherlands. Emerg Infect Dis. 17(8):1570-­&#8208;1.
van den Brand J.M., M. van Leeuwen, C.M.E. Schapendonk, J.H. Simon, B.L. Haagmans, A.D. Osterhaus, S.L. Smits (2012). Metagenomic analysis of the viral flora of pine marten and European badger feces. J Virol. 86(4):2360-­&#8208;5.

On a side note the MSM said this year in America the flu was bad because they didn't put the right strains in the vaccine.

If that is the case why didn't they change the variants in the Australian flu vaccine for this season? Instead we have the same vaccine as the US?

Arkay it looks as things are quite advanced , my concern now is this as countries like cyprus italy portugal go into decline hospitals run short of supplies and hunger settles in are they going to have the means to monitor
outbreaks ,

[link to www.usatoday.com]

Regrettably, the answer has already been answered with the Greek experience where they have already experienced some problems that have been blamed on their financial crisis.

Even America recently ramped up its own health care commitments which had been lagging, again as a result of the GFC.

Sorry I dont have any links for these comments, they are just snippets Ive picked up on over time through reading all sorts of articles.

[link to www.dailymail.co.uk]

arkay of topic but hope it put a smile on your face spare a thought for cold shivering uk

???? is the simple answer I don't think there is a sure fire way of knowing exactly what strain of flu may turn up and it appears that the rapid evolution of the virus catches them out

From the top post from uk anon, this paragraph Ive coppied regarding H3N2v which is the influenza virus that emerged and was associated with County Fairs in the US late last year.

From the number of reported cases it would appear that it did a good job of making its presence felt, and of course wasnt and also isnt in this years flu jab.

Novel Influenza A VirusNo new human infections with novel influenza A viruses were reported to CDC during week 11.

A total of 312 infections with variant influenza viruses (308 H3N2v viruses, 3 H1N2v viruses, and 1 H1N1v virus) have been reported from 11 states since July 2012. More information about H3N2v infections can be found at [link to www.cdc.gov]

Link here...

[link to www.cdc.gov]

And from the same CDC report, is this associated information regarding the what the vaccine was comprized of and also the broader breakdown of infection numbers in the US.

Antigenic Characterization
CDC has antigenically characterized 1,695 influenza viruses [141 2009 H1N1 viruses, 1,012 influenza A (H3N2) viruses, and 542 influenza B viruses] collected by U.S. laboratories since October 1, 2012.

2009 H1N1 [141]:

•138 (97.9%) of the 141 2009 H1N1 viruses tested were characterized as A/California/7/2009-like, the influenza A (H1N1) component of the 2012-2013 influenza vaccine for the Northern Hemisphere.
•3 (2.1%) of the 141 2009 H1N1 viruses tested showed reduced titers with antiserum produced against A/California/7/2009.
Influenza A (H3N2) [1,012]:

•1,008 (99.6%) of the 1,012 H3N2 influenza viruses tested have been characterized as A/Victoria/361/2011-like, the influenza A (H3N2) component of the 2012-2013 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine.
•4 (0.4%) of the 1,012 H3N2 viruses tested showed reduced titers with antiserum produced against A/Victoria/361/2011.
Influenza B (B/Yamagata/16/88 and B/Victoria/02/87 lineages) [542]:

•Yamagata Lineage [383]: 383 (70.7%) of the 542 influenza B viruses tested so far this season have been characterized as B/Wisconsin/1/2010-like, the influenza B component of the 2012-2013 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine.

•Victoria Lineage [159]: 159 (29.3%) of 542 influenza B viruses tested have been from the B/Victoria lineage of viruses.




Composition of the 2013-2014 Influenza Vaccine
The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended vaccine viruses for the 2013-2014 Northern Hemisphere vaccines, and the Food and Drug Administration’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) has made recommendations for the composition of the 2013-2014 influenza vaccines to be used in the United States. Both agencies recommend that trivalent vaccines contain an A/California/7/2009-like (2009 H1N1) virus, an A(H3N2) virus antigenically like the cell-propagated, or cell-grown, virus A/Victoria/361/2011 (A/Texas/50/2012), and a B/Massachusetts/2/2012-like (B/Yamagata lineage) virus. It is recommended that quadrivalent vaccines containing an additional influenza B virus contain a B/Brisbane/60/2008-like (B/Victoria lineage) virus in addition to the viruses recommended for the trivalent vaccines. These recommendations were based on global influenza virus surveillance data related to epidemiology and antigenic characteristics, serological responses to 2012-2013 seasonal vaccines, and the availability of candidate strains and reagents.

Same link...

[link to www.cdc.gov]

In nine different frugivorous and insecGvorous bat species, 42 CoVs were detected, represenGng four different Alphacoronavirus RGUs and one Betacoronavirus RGU. This study expanded the maximum bat coronavirus sequence diversity from the Americas to the level previously known for other conGnents.


mmm do these bats eat figs dates prickly fruit then leave droppings on animal feed such as goats sheep act then to be ingested by humans ???

From the top post from uk anon, this paragraph Ive coppied regarding H3N2v which is the influenza virus that emerged and was associated with County Fairs in the US late last year

thank you arkay sorry I should do it myself just chasing up leads while they are hot

Hi uk anon!!!

Ive been following your "local" weather of recent times.

For a person sitting in shorts complaining of our 32 degree C temp of today in the Sub-tropics, and really wondering where a good source of cold weather clothing can be found.

You can imagine what Im thinking!

hehe

arkay

I agree with you on that.

If we only had a crystal ball, and Im certain that those that make the decisions on what to include do it feeling a very heavy burdon of responsibility, one I hasten to add that I wouldnt enjoy having.

If theres a good side to it, the H3N2v strain appears to be pretty contagous but also typical of other seasonal flu strains in that it doesent appear to be any deadlier than those more common seasonal strains, fortunately.

That was what I was inferring yesterday when you mentioned the various animals and birds, their food sources and that direct food chain, its worth thinking about but one hell of a job to backtrack to reveal it as the possible vector.

Like you though, I do think its very possible and would account for the difficulties in tracing vectors and reservoirs.

its not to bad your just trying to make me jealous

You can imagine what Im thinking!


nice warm cozy slipper????


he he

[link to www.dailymail.co.uk]

looks like i might need more than cozy slippers soon .......help

I should have also said that I hope that you are comfortable, wrapped up and warm, sounds like hot chocolate might be the order of the day.

Its been many years since Ive lived in really harsh conditions and its amazing just how much we humans do acclimatize.

Im sure that you have a similar but reverse experience to mine?

I went to Cairns a few years ago, in winter, and all the locals were wearing coats, etc.

Even though I came from a place that almost never has single figure night time temps, at the time I was completely comfortable walking around in a light short sleeved shirt, shorts and sandals.

We really do adjust to out environment, I just wonter about short term exposures, well fear might be a better description!

hehe

hahaha..

ok Ill bet that you dont drink alcohol, but if you do.

Put a good shot of brandy into that hot chocolate.

Then, go and check the larder and make sure that youre supplies are up to speed and have a think about the possibility of having to ration yourself.

Seriously I do hope that you are comfortable and safe.

And if thinking about the warm and very humid tropics makes you jealous...!!! :)

[link to saudicaves.com]



Don't worry Im as warm as toast , the link above is re bats in saudi arabia
as i mentioned before many sheep are wandering freely nomadic so there would certainly be opportunity for the bat or fruit theory to be played out

supplies no problem , tank full and ready to go

just checked the time here 154 am i need to sleep good night arkay

That is a very good document.

Fruit and bats, oh yes!

You have the two right there, friutbats, so fruit eating bats.

Your theory gains credibility, and a lot of it.

We have the awful things here, and they really arent very endearing.

Very noisy and smelly when they colonize, which is common and did you know that their digestive system is best described as incomplete, they eat and semi digest their fruit meals then instead of the usual trip through the body, these creatures simply vomit the food back out of their mouths.

There are some good reasons when you spend most of your life upside down, why you might want to do this and it probably is an efficient way to digest and dispose of the unwanted remains, but these critters really do have some bad manners when it comes to the after meal ablutions.

If anyone has a car and left it in the open overnight they will know what a mess this makes, its highly acidic and will damage paintwork pretty quickly if left, not to mention how quickly it becomes a part of the vehicle after the sun had had a bit of fun with it too.

But seriously, with these living arrangements and the possibility of carrying disease, the ability to spread it is considerably hightened as this finished meal can be disposed of anywhere and usually its done in flight, again spreading disease all over the place instead of at the normal roosting place of other types of bats.

You really are a night owl.

Glad your heating is in good shape.

Pleasant dreams UK anon, and thank you for all you do, you are a saint.

A very sweet one.

arkay

Last Edited by arkay on 03/22/2013 06:43 PM

I meant to acknowledge you earlier too Treyfish.

Thanks for your comments but you also are a major contrubutor here and also deserve a big thanks for all your great help and patrinage.

Much of what you bring here is missed by others so you provide a very valuable dimention here too.

Yours and UK anons suspicions seem to reflect an observation of the absent and usually when that happens in such a broad sense then you can be pretty sure that there is something causing it, some type of intervention.

It just isnt feasable that the various influenza strains and the novel coronavirus have gone into world wide suspended animation rather, its far more likely that someone is interfering with the information flow.

We already know that the World Health Organization has signalled their wish to drop to monthly reporting, though I did notice from a post just a few days back that there was mention of daily updates.

Im left wondering if they, the WHO are collecting all the information on the various diseases we look at, but are witholding the dissemination of this information for general consumption.

To me that is what I do believe is happening or at least something that reflects that, and if that is the case then again I go straight back to the logic for it.

That can only be for negative purposes and should that be the case then they must be condemed and demanded to reverse this action, there is simply no justification for not being totally transparent with their role and function for the worlds population.

Anything else must be judged as criminal in intent and action.

arkay.

Its a rare day when an article in the MSM deserves much praise, but this one does.

Regulars here will know of my deep admiration for the scintific researchers that work to keep us healthy anf free from pandemice.

This article, to the genuine credit of its author, has been extensively researched and is an excellent read, giving insight into the little known life of those researchers and their workplaces.

I encourage all to take the time to read this article, the insights that it contains are very worthwhile.

On a side note.

While reading this article take the time to reflect on how our friends at Baxter Pharmacuticals managed to "accidentally" produce and distribute 72 kilograms of live H5N1 avian influenza contaminated vaccinations.

Clearly a very concerted attempt to start a world wide avian influenza pandemic.

Criminals.


Winnipeg’s National Microbiology Laboratory prepares for next big outbreak
Under tight security, a team of scientists at the Winnipeg lab are quietly working to keep deadly pathogens from gaining the upper hand.

By: Jennifer Yang Global health reporter, Published on Fri Mar 22 2013

WINNIPEG—In late November, a strange envelope turned up at the Canadian embassy in Lebanon. Its suspicious contents — wood shavings, according to local reports — sparked alarm: did it contain dangerous pathogens? Could this be a bioterrorist attack? The building was closed until the package could be investigated.

Link here...

[link to www.thestar.com]

It is extremely rare to hear of an outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza in Europe.

This official, formal report tells of an outbreak in Lippstadt Germany and was detected in unspecified domestic birds there.

All other potential affected birds have been destroyed.

GENERAL INFO
Disease Event ID Reporting date Observation date
175182 22/03/2013 05/03/2013

LOCATION
Region Admin 1 (Country) Locality Lat/Long Quality of Coordinates
Europe Nordrhein-Westfalen (Germany) Lippstadt 51.688054/8.443133 Unknown

DISEASE
Status DISEASE Serotype Source
Confirmed Highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 OIE
OverlaysDisease Event
Admin 1 Level (GAUL)
Global Poultry Density
Production Systems
World Rivers
Base LayerCountries/Territories (GAUL)



SPECIES AFFECTED
An.Type An.Class Species At Risk Cases Deaths Destroyed Slaughtered
Domestic Birds unspecified bird 22 1 1 21 0

Link here...

[link to empres-i.fao.org]

Well this next post has horrifying implications for us all.

Where these people get their information from is beyond comprehension.

Its no wonder that Indonesia has such an appauling report card when it comes to the way it manages such a deadly threat as H5N1 avian influenza is known throughout the world to be.

I really cant describle the total disbelief at what this article asserts.

Id compare this news article to listening to a radio and hearing that the city next to you had just been nuked, but if you change the station and dont hear any news then that same city is quite ok.

Unbelievable.

Clearly the Indonesians desperately need some very serious education programs in relation to everyhing to do with these viruses.

Otherwise we really can look forward to the stupidity of the Indonesians as being responsible for killing off half the worlds population at some point in the future.

There is absolutely no excuse for such a poor comprehension to this subject at this time.

Since commencing this thread from time to time we bump into some pretty strange things, but this one has to take the cake.

On a scale of 1 to 10 for outright reckless and momentous uneducated stupidity this would earn a genuine 15 point score.

Analysis: Poultry industry safe despite AI outbreak
Aditya Eka, Thu, March 21 2013, 11:52 AM
Page: 18

The emergence of a new type of avian influenza (AI) in Central Java at the end of 2012 has spread throughout Java recently. Until today, more than 300,000 dead-duck cases have been reported by farms all over Java. However, the AI does not affect chickens since it is a different AI strain from the one infecting chickens.

Additionally, with tight bio-security and vaccined chickens, we believe AI, known informally as avian flu or bird flu, is a managed risk within the poultry sector, particularly for the larger and more technologically advanced companies. Nevertheless, it is possible that consumption may come down during an outbreak given public fear of contagion effect from AI

Since commencing this thread from time to time we bump into some pretty strange things, but this one has to take the cake.

On a scale of 1 to 10 for outright reckless and momentous uneducated stupidity this would earn a genuine 15 point score.

Well spoken, another reason to try not to alienate countries, it is vital to keep the lines of communication open, and yes education ,education and education is the key .
This should be ringing alarm bells in the scientific community ,and emergency measures should be put in place, but i stress this needs to be done in a way that is not taken as condescending or or pointing the finger of blame,

If we only had a crystal ball, and Im certain that those that make the decisions on what to include do it feeling a very heavy burdon of responsibility, one I hasten to add that I wouldnt enjoy having.



Like yourself I would probably enjoy the challenge in the scientific community but i don't think i would cope well emotionally if i was responsible for life death decisions on the ground.