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Welcome to the beginning of the end
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15223118 Quoting: Baldrick Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15223118
IF Iran successfully can claim they had no direct involvement, (actually the regime really does not) and that the attacks were from unaffiliated terrorist groups and rogue Islamic extremists then nuking Iran would be more difficult... Then again, perhaps Iran's more radical leadership places their fate in a higher power and can accept martyrdom if it can bring about the defeat of the "great Satan"?
Iran's independent groups are not even based in Iran, and can be more easily tied to Syria, Yemen and even Al Qaeda in Pakistan.... Among other places.
Regardless, they have cells in the USA, literally there are thousands of them...
Someone asked me so I will answer here...
I was asked if I am crazy, or if this is for real...
I am, crazy, ... Crazy is the only cover and protection I have from who I really am... No, more specifically from who I was
. It is who I was that made it all possible. And yes this is very real, I would not be posting about any of it here if there was any real hope at stopping it now.
The questions you should be asking are:
What if he is right?
What if it can't be stopped?
What have I got to lose?
If it gets to that point, countries with troops in the ME will have to implement plans to secure strategic reserves at home from a paniced populace.
No food, no water, no electricity as refineries are disabled in a multi tiered strategic attack to completely destroy any capability to advance into Iran for any extended period.
Most countries have only a few months strategic reserves to support COG whilst Iran has gone on record stating it has enough for 3 years to ensure COG.
Then at least you understand that Iran has no intentions of fighting anything even close to a conventional war.
Their retaliatory strike forces are all independent, the war will be everywhere, literally.
They do have plausible deniability... Muslims of the world are not all Iranian, or Shiite. The secretive Iranian organization has been covertly working their plans for decades now among most of the known and unknown "terrorists", and have had help from major enemies of the west.
Plausible deniability is perhaps their most dangerous weapon of all.
Correct. Irans retaliatory capabilities can be conducted should the head be cut off, and those operations can be implemented using local resources.
It is a strategy that the western military intelligence are aware of, and a strategy they are unable to effectively counter, although by god they are trying.
Western reports to the western civilisations will have no choice but to propogate Irans plausible deniability to some extent so as not to further panic the populace initially, but events will become self evident.
IMO it will most likely commence with Syria, with AL and US combined forces conducting their 'humunatirian mission' with the backing of UN.
Russia interests in Syria will then have no choice but to engage, drawing Iran into the conflict through either direct action by Iran, or most likely the perceived direct action of Iran through some orchestrated incidents or incidents in support of russian assets currently in Syria.
Unilateral military action on Iran will then become inevitable, leading to the scenario as outlined in this thread.
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