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Message Subject Welcome to the beginning of the end
Poster Handle Baldrick
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If it gets to that point, countries with troops in the ME will have to implement plans to secure strategic reserves at home from a paniced populace.

No food, no water, no electricity as refineries are disabled in a multi tiered strategic attack to completely destroy any capability to advance into Iran for any extended period.

Most countries have only a few months strategic reserves to support COG whilst Iran has gone on record stating it has enough for 3 years to ensure COG.
 Quoting: Baldrick


Then at least you understand that Iran has no intentions of fighting anything even close to a conventional war.

Their retaliatory strike forces are all independent, the war will be everywhere, literally.

They do have plausible deniability... Muslims of the world are not all Iranian, or Shiite. The secretive Iranian organization has been covertly working their plans for decades now among most of the known and unknown "terrorists", and have had help from major enemies of the west.

Plausible deniability is perhaps their most dangerous weapon of all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15223118


Correct. Irans retaliatory capabilities can be conducted should the head be cut off, and those operations can be implemented using local resources.

It is a strategy that the western military intelligence are aware of, and a strategy they are unable to effectively counter, although by god they are trying.

Western reports to the western civilisations will have no choice but to propogate Irans plausible deniability to some extent so as not to further panic the populace initially, but events will become self evident.

IMO it will most likely commence with Syria, with AL and US combined forces conducting their 'humunatirian mission' with the backing of UN.

Russia interests in Syria will then have no choice but to engage, drawing Iran into the conflict through either direct action by Iran, or most likely the perceived direct action of Iran through some orchestrated incidents or incidents in support of russian assets currently in Syria.

Unilateral military action on Iran will then become inevitable, leading to the scenario as outlined in this thread.
 Quoting: Baldrick


Lets make it simple... This can all be avoided by simply NOT attacking Iran, restraining Israel from attacking Iran, and continuing the containment and isolation of Iran through international unity and pressure.

Buy more time to hunt down and destroy their capabilities to retaliate....

Everyone lives longer, and perhaps the worst possible outcome can be avoided, or at least mitigated.

But you and I know, that isn't going to happen here, is it?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15223118


Nope. The sanctions have been overwhelmingly ineffective...
 
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