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Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth

 
Rain-Man
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Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
March 7 00:24, UTC ..

Max 07/0024 X5.4 Int 5.6e-01 J m-2

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

CME Earth directed, good thing main stream will pass above and left Earth side but we will have very strong geomagnetic storm in this case also ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]

Thread: The Sun is More Active Now than Over the Last 8000 Years

I expect in next 12 days earthquake around M 7.0, to time this sunspot complex leave our view

We have lunar perigee and full moon, closest approach Moon to Earth and alignment of Sun-Earth-Moon ..

Lunar perigee, Mar 10 10:03 362399 km F+2d 0h

Full moon, 2012 Mar 8 9:42

[link to www.fourmilab.ch]

Also planetary alignments in next 12 day ..


Here you can see development of this huge sunspot complex ..

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





February 2012 Sunspot Rotation





Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/30/2012 07:27 AM
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Its game over as far as we are concerned!
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Very similar situation from March 7-11, 2011 ..

Here you can see solar flares and sunspots what we have in that days ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Sunspot Region 1429
Chance for Solar Flares at This Time - 00:15 UTC, 7 March ..

63% chance of producing a M Flare

66% chance of producing a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 07:55 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
bump
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
How many days until it takes out the worlds power grids and satelites?
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
We will see about that one, xD ..

I'm more concerned for stronger earthquake ..

Think CME will be here in 36 to 50 hours ..


Have you can see what we have for now from this big sunspot complex 1429, and we all expect more to come ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 09:09 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
wasnt there an X flare, last year, right around this same time, right before the march 11 great eastern earthquake....???
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Entergy says most homes back with power after outage

wwltv.com

Posted on March 6, 2012 at 5:16 PM

Updated today at 6:32 PM

WWLTV.com
Email: webteam@wwltv.com | Twitter: @WWLTV

NEW ORLEANS -- Entergy is reporting that as many as 35,000 people were without power in the northern Orleans Parish area Tuesday afternoon.

.....

Entergy hasn't identified what caused the outages.
Hugh M Eye

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
GONG Network H-alpha pic of X5.4 flare-

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Movie loop from Learmonth Observatory, Australia:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


siren2 explosionahhhabombsiren2
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
wasnt there an X flare, last year, right around this same time, right before the march 11 great eastern earthquake....???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4726942


I post already that info and you can see how is similar ..

Thread: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth

But most important is angle of CME and how much we get of direct hit ..

From March 2011 was very Earth directed, now complex is little above and little left from direct hit also from March 2011 situation ..

Here you can see how was impact on magnetosphere on 9,10,11, March 2011 ..

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Extreme was in time of earthquake and I'm positive this extreme geomagnetic storm can make movement and pressure on tectonic plates pressure mostly at ocean ..

But have many other influences so they all need to be understood, only like that will be possible to understand and combine them for EQ forecast ..

That catastrophic Japanese EQ was perfect storm, everything pointed to it and all come together unfortunately ..

If we have in or around May this year strong CME Earth directed, I will say only one thing similar scenario from March 2011 is very possible ..

You can read more info here, also some influences for strong earthquake I wrote in this thread ..

Thread: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
We will see very soon about direction and angle ..

Here you will see a first picture of CME, at links there are latest caught ..

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 08:21 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Grrr more tornadoes....
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]




Looks like is in our direction .. :(

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 09:38 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
WOW!
SDO close-up movie of X5.4 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Big CME launched our way also:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


hidingtomatohiding
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
We will see very soon about direction and angle ..

Here you will see a first picture of CME, at links there are latest caught ..

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Rain-Man

Tnx Hugh ..

Here you can see available images ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/07/2012 09:01 AM
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Here is some video and you can see also this 6 images from S Behind like movie ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]




[link to www.n3kl.org]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 10:28 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Pray for mankinds survival! We are gonna need it!!!
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
We have medium geomagnetic storm or CME arriving from 4-5 March eruption, start before 30 min ..

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

CME from tonight eruption expected to arrive in late hours of 8th or first hours of March 9, UTC ..

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Proton flux rising ..

[link to www.n3kl.org]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/07/2012 07:47 AM
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Sun Fires Off 2 Huge Solar Flares in One-Two Punch

The first big solar storm was also the most powerful one, ranking as an X5.4-class flare after erupting at 7:02 p.m. EST (0002 March 7 GMT), according to an alert from the Space Weather Prediction Center operated by the National Weather Service. It is the strongest solar flare yet for 2012.

The second event occurred just over an hour later, reaching a maximum strength of X1.3.

[link to www.space.com]

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]









Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/07/2012 07:37 PM
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to thewatchers.adorraeli.com]

AP before 30 min ..

An impressive solar flare is heading toward Earth and could disrupt power grids, GPS and airplane flights.

They say it is the biggest in five years and growing.

[link to abcnews.go.com]


Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 344
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 1159 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 343
Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0030 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Mar 08 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

This warning UPGRADED from S1(Minor) to S2(Moderate) due to increasing flux levels.
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 185
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 0751 UTC


WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0751 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Mar 07 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washinton state.

[link to www.nws.noaa.gov]

[link to www.n3kl.org]

[link to www.n3kl.org]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/08/2012 02:30 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
+1 for all the info op....thank you! hf
Love & Light...
Shustah

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Rain-man thank you for your input, and I have to tell you that your avatar is so damn cute...just love it. Did you know that giraffe's have a horn where their 3rd eye is. (they are closet unicorns)
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
bump
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
bump

bumpbump
sfan
bumpbump

bump
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Thread: X Class Flare Now!

that's one of the threads from just before the Jap EQ last year
Rain-Man (OP)

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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
Geomagnetic storm start around 12:00 UTC, CME arrival ..

Wind was over 800km/s ..

Like I say main stream was not in our direction, but we have strong storm anyway ..

[link to umtof.umd.edu]


Post this to have recorded ..

Carrington sunspot ..

carrington1429

9393486

carrington9393a

[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/28/2012 05:42 PM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
We have new solar flare of M 6.3 class from same sunspot complex 1429 ..

Straight Earth direction, little above ..

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Second CME arrive around 04:00 March 09 ..

[link to www.irf.se]


Also new sunspot coming in our view, when come probably will be Earth latitude ..

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/09/2012 01:26 AM
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Re: Huge Sunspot Complex 1429, NOAA Biggest in Five Years and Growing, NASA Warns as Active Region 1429 Returns to Face Earth
I expect in next 12 days earthquake around M 7.0, to time this sunspot complex leave our view
 Quoting: Rain-Man



Friday March 9 2012, 07:09:55 UTC 8 hours ago Vanuatu Islands. 7.0 30.0 GeoScience Australia Detail
Friday March 9 2012, 07:09:54 UTC 8 hours ago Vanuatu 7.1 36.8 USGS Feed Detail

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]

[link to www.ga.gov.au]

I expect in next 10 days one more earthquake of M 7.0 +..

We had geomagnetic K-index of 7, now K-index is a 6 ..

Sunspot is quiet for now hope it stay like that ..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last M 6.3 CME will arrive on March 11 around 08:00, UTC ..

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/10/2012 07:07 AM