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Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro

 
TBar1984
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03/07/2012 12:51 AM
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Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
I used both programs to plot the upcoming Close Passage. It looks a lot like 2011 MD to me.

Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit

High Def version: www.youtube.com/watch?v=fE_HqZX99Dg
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:54 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
which country will the asteroid fly over?

hiding
TBar1984  (OP)

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03/07/2012 01:36 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
which country will the asteroid fly over?

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4472362


Look at the video where you are viewing from the Asteroid. It looks like closest approach is over the Indian Ocean, then it passes over the Middle East...mostly.

Last Edited by TBar1984 on 03/07/2012 01:41 AM
TBar1984  (OP)

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03/07/2012 03:18 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Just a little side note. About the time this asteroid makes it's closest approach, Comet PANSTARRS C/2011 L4 will be around magnitude 4.6 and visible in the Southern Hemisphere. Nice.

Last Edited by TBar1984 on 03/07/2012 03:25 AM
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03/07/2012 03:20 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Why are these ugly fat asses everywhere I look? GROSS? Can we say BLUBBERY??? NASTY!!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 03:24 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Why are these ugly fat asses everywhere I look? GROSS? Can we say BLUBBERY??? NASTY!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11397323


cruise
TBar1984  (OP)

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03/07/2012 03:27 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Why are these ugly fat asses everywhere I look? GROSS? Can we say BLUBBERY??? NASTY!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11397323


You keep looking in the mirror. Stop looking in the Mirror...

ohyeah
TBar1984  (OP)

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03/07/2012 08:57 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Here's what Asteroid 2011 MD looked like last Summer;

Asteroid 2011 MD Passes Earth At 18,651 Kilometers

Hi Def version: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3vKrk9mztI
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03/07/2012 11:08 AM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
stop adding more doom need a year off from the doom lolololololol
TBar1984  (OP)

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03/07/2012 01:22 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
But, I really liked that March 6th 2012 call I made back in December...

banana
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03/07/2012 01:44 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Have you taken into account what might happen if its orbit is perturbed by a meatball??

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DANG
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03/07/2012 02:12 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11467195


I would last 3 seconds with her. lol

tard
TBar1984  (OP)

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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Have you taken into account what might happen if its orbit is perturbed by a meatball??

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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9919641


I suppose it's always possible this smallish asteroid may encounter a space meatball. However, most of the larger space meatballs have been plotted, so, it would probably be a smallish space meatball if one were encountered. In fact, if you look around timemark 5:57 you will see that the larger meatball perturbers, Ceres, Pallas, and Vesta have already been factored into the orbit. February 15, 2013 is a long way off, lots of time for many, many more observations.
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03/07/2012 03:05 PM

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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
I set my computer to calculate what the region of uncertainty will look like during next year's close approach given the current astrometric data. I ran a series of Monte Carlo solutions from the data to generate the region of uncertainty and then loaded it into ORSA to see what it will look like during the February 2013 approach. It misses earth of course, but exactly how close it gets will really depend on how precise the current orbital data really is. The center of the region, the most likely location for the asteroid during the apporach, is at about the closest possible point of approach. The "tails" of the region of uncertainty are farther from earth. It's hard to describe, but I'll make a video of it later.

Last Edited by Astromut on 03/07/2012 03:06 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11467195


Forced oscillator achieving resonance! Damn, I am really gooood at physics!
TBar1984  (OP)

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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
I set my computer to calculate what the region of uncertainty will look like during next year's close approach given the current astrometric data. I ran a series of Monte Carlo solutions from the data to generate the region of uncertainty and then loaded it into ORSA to see what it will look like during the February 2013 approach. It misses earth of course, but exactly how close it gets will really depend on how precise the current orbital data really is. The center of the region, the most likely location for the asteroid during the apporach, is at about the closest possible point of approach. The "tails" of the region of uncertainty are farther from earth. It's hard to describe, but I'll make a video of it later.
 Quoting: Astromut


Hello Astro, got that video yet? Been a long time since I've seen one of your videos.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
I set my computer to calculate what the region of uncertainty will look like during next year's close approach given the current astrometric data. I ran a series of Monte Carlo solutions from the data to generate the region of uncertainty and then loaded it into ORSA to see what it will look like during the February 2013 approach. It misses earth of course, but exactly how close it gets will really depend on how precise the current orbital data really is. The center of the region, the most likely location for the asteroid during the apporach, is at about the closest possible point of approach. The "tails" of the region of uncertainty are farther from earth. It's hard to describe, but I'll make a video of it later.
 Quoting: Astromut


Hello Astro, got that video yet? Been a long time since I've seen one of your videos.
 Quoting: TBar1984


It's uploading now. Hopefully youtube knows what to do with an .ogv file.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Note to self, youtube is clueless about .ogv files, had to convert to AVI.

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TBar1984  (OP)

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03/08/2012 12:33 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Note to self, youtube is clueless about .ogv files, had to convert to AVI.

 Quoting: Astromut


That was interesting. Now I'm going to have to research what it means...

coffee4
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Note to self, youtube is clueless about .ogv files, had to convert to AVI.

 Quoting: Astromut


That was interesting. Now I'm going to have to research what it means...

coffee4
 Quoting: TBar1984


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help explain anything.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Note to self, youtube is clueless about .ogv files, had to convert to AVI.

 Quoting: Astromut


That was interesting. Now I'm going to have to research what it means...

coffee4
 Quoting: TBar1984


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help explain anything.
 Quoting: Astromut


The green lines appear to be the same as the blue points and sometimes appear to be 'attached' to the white path lines. Why do the green lines sometimes appear to be to the side and detached from the white lines as around time 4:57?

Oh! The 'green lines' are actually Print. OK.
I can't seem to get anything higher than 480p to work.

Last Edited by TBar1984 on 03/08/2012 08:52 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
Note to self, youtube is clueless about .ogv files, had to convert to AVI.

 Quoting: Astromut


That was interesting. Now I'm going to have to research what it means...

coffee4
 Quoting: TBar1984


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help explain anything.
 Quoting: Astromut


The green lines appear to be the same as the blue points and sometimes appear to be 'attached' to the white path lines. Why do the green lines sometimes appear to be to the side and detached from the white lines as around time 4:57?

Oh! The 'green lines' are actually Print. OK.
I can't seem to get anything higher than 480p to work.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Yeah, the green lines are just a mess of labels for the potential positions of the asteroid. The way it renders them always face-on to the camera makes it look odd at times but also sometimes make it easier to see the 3d arrangement of the uncertainty region.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11467195


I would last 3 seconds with her. lol

tard
 Quoting: DANG 2780903


me ? all night long till i die of massive erection priapism !

bananasex
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03/08/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
...


That was interesting. Now I'm going to have to research what it means...

coffee4
 Quoting: TBar1984


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help explain anything.
 Quoting: Astromut


The green lines appear to be the same as the blue points and sometimes appear to be 'attached' to the white path lines. Why do the green lines sometimes appear to be to the side and detached from the white lines as around time 4:57?

Oh! The 'green lines' are actually Print. OK.
I can't seem to get anything higher than 480p to work.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Yeah, the green lines are just a mess of labels for the potential positions of the asteroid. The way it renders them always face-on to the camera makes it look odd at times but also sometimes make it easier to see the 3d arrangement of the uncertainty region.
 Quoting: Astromut

Francis has been sending out GRAS images of where the 'droid should be, I haven't had a chance to study them much. Have you looked at his images?
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Orbit Video Using ORSA & Starry Night Pro
...


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help explain anything.
 Quoting: Astromut


The green lines appear to be the same as the blue points and sometimes appear to be 'attached' to the white path lines. Why do the green lines sometimes appear to be to the side and detached from the white lines as around time 4:57?

Oh! The 'green lines' are actually Print. OK.
I can't seem to get anything higher than 480p to work.
 Quoting: TBar1984


Yeah, the green lines are just a mess of labels for the potential positions of the asteroid. The way it renders them always face-on to the camera makes it look odd at times but also sometimes make it easier to see the 3d arrangement of the uncertainty region.
 Quoting: Astromut

Francis has been sending out GRAS images of where the 'droid should be, I haven't had a chance to study them much. Have you looked at his images?
 Quoting: TBar1984

I'll take a look later if I get the chance, hopefully I can get a hold of the raw fits files. I imagine it's a difficult target given the current moon phase.
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