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EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24

 
TheTruthWorker
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04/22/2012 01:41 PM

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EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I expect to see an earthquake magnitude 6.8 or more on April 24, 2012 plus or minus one day.

These 3 asteroids were recently discovered and do not yet show a history of past close approach dates to Earth on NASA tables. So I ran the JPL orbital program backward to find those dates. After looking at many with no patterns, these 3 have a pattern of significant earthquakes on the close approach dates. And their next approach dates are April 23 & 24...

(2012 HQ) [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] NEXT April 24, 2012 - 0.025 AU

May 28, 2009 - 0.265 AU
May 28, 2009 - Magnitude 7.3 HONDURAS, at 7 people killed, 40 injured and over 130 buildings damaged or destroyed.

July 7, 2006 - 0.358 AU
July 8, 2006 - Magnitude 6.6 ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA.

Aug 11, 2003 - 0.335 AU
Aug 11, 2003 - Magnitude 6.0 HALMAHERA, INDONESIA

Sept 23, 2000 - 0.156 AU
Sept 22, 2000 - Magnitude 6.2 SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Sept 23, 2000 - Magnitude 4.2 BRITAIN'S biggest earthquake in 9 years [link to www.telegraph.co.uk]

Oct 15, 1997 - 0.111 AU
Oct 15, 1997 - Magnitude 7.1 CHILE [link to en.wikipedia.org]
Oct 14, 1997 - Magnitude 7.8 FIJI ISLANDS [link to en.wikipedia.org]

Oct 27, 1994 - 0.381 AU
Oct 27, 1994 - Magnitude 6.7 South Pacific
Oct 27, 1994 - Magnitude 6.3 off Coast of Oregon

(2012 HE2) [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] NEXT 2012-Apr-24 - 0.022 AU

April 7, 1987 - 0.259 AU
April 7, 1987 - Magnitude 6.6 HONSHU, JAPAN

May 12, 1971 - 0.137 AU
May 12, 1971 - Magnitude 6.3 Turkey, destroys most of the city of Burdur foll0wed by 6.9 on May 22 [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

(2012 GC2) [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] NEXT April 23, 2012 - 0.046 AU

April 11, 2005 - 0.215 AU
April 10, 2005 - 6.7 INDONESIA
April 11, 2005 - 6.5 INDONESIA
April 11, 2005 - 6.6 NEW GUINEA
April 11, 2005 - 6.7 LOYALTY ISLANDS

Sept 21, 1989 - 0.368
Sept 22, 1989 - 6.1 CHINA 54 people injured, 4,270 houses destroyed, 300 animals killed.

Dates on which an earthquakes 6.8 or more occur is 1 day out of 14, averaged over the past 12 months, so the probability of a 6.8+ quake on April 23, 24 or 25 is 21% by pure chance.

roids
Anonymous Coward
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04/22/2012 01:43 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/23/2012 01:06 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I just analysed how many asteroids approached Earth from Feb 25 to April 22. These dates below had the highest 3 day average with related quake result:

2012-Apr-20 Magnitude 6.6 NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA April 21
2012-Mar-15 Magnitude 6.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN March 14
2012-Mar-11
2012-Mar-05 Magnitude 4.0 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIFORNIA March 05
2012-Feb-26 Magnitude 6.7 SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA February 26

There were 13 quake dates out of 56 days so there is a 22% chance of any date hitting.

The 5 dates +- a day cover 15 days out of 56 so there is a 26% pure chance of a date getting a significant quake per USGS.

But 4 out of the 5 hit.

The next date with the most number of asteroids is April 24:
[link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

This might help solidify my forecast.
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2012 01:10 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
just, no..
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/23/2012 09:21 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
popcorn1quake
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04/23/2012 09:47 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I would say quite possible.
This is haarp pic from yesterday. Lots of reasons for things to shake up.
:hrp4:
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/23/2012 09:52 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I would say quite possible.
This is haarp pic from yesterday. Lots of reasons for things to shake up.
:hrp4:
 Quoting: Taralily


NIP told me that is a fake site? Don't know. The post:
Thread: EARTHQUAKE interactive maps - latest from USGS plus other useful links
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2012 10:04 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I don't know either. I just looked at the other haarp sight and its looking spikey.
There were enough things going on without throwing in the asteroids.
I'm not liking the thought of those and the effects hf
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/23/2012 11:19 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
My gut says there might be some increased solar activity April 24 because of the 9 asteroids. Perhaps the sun will release some plasma, belching in the direction of these rocks, which of course would be Earth directed. Just a hunch. sun

solar
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/24/2012 09:04 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
My gut says there might be some increased solar activity April 24 because of the 9 asteroids. Perhaps the sun will release some plasma, belching in the direction of these rocks, which of course would be Earth directed. Just a hunch. sun

 Quoting: TheTruthWorker

C class flare and geomagnetic storm:
[link to www.solarham.com]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/24/2012 09:56 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
4/24/2012 -- Mount Etna - Italy - Erupts violently
[link to www.youtube.com]


Anonymous Coward
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04/25/2012 08:05 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
FAIL FAIL FAIL.
Anonymous Coward
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04/25/2012 08:08 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Don't be so quick to say fail yet. OP clearly always states that this is not an exact science and says plus/minus a day.

We'll see by tomorrow afternoon.
Anonymous Coward
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04/25/2012 08:10 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Don't be so quick to say fail yet. OP clearly always states that this is not an exact science and says plus/minus a day.

We'll see by tomorrow afternoon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1130234

Hmmmmmmmm I see.

Sorry, I am from New Zealand and it is April 26 here now.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/25/2012 09:36 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Don't be so quick to say fail yet. OP clearly always states that this is not an exact science and says plus/minus a day.

We'll see by tomorrow afternoon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1130234

Hmmmmmmmm I see.

Sorry, I am from New Zealand and it is April 26 here now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12252813


No problem. Time zones can be a challenge for me sometimes when researching past dates and then pinpointing future dates or windows.
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04/25/2012 10:01 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
5.2 Southern Mid Atlantic Ridge. [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Might be a precursor to a bigger quake today.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/25/2012 10:16 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
5.2 Southern Mid Atlantic Ridge. [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Might be a precursor to a bigger quake today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12252813


Lots or shaking in India past 24 hours:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
RayGun

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04/25/2012 07:11 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I think time is running out on this one. burnit
mikebo2

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04/25/2012 07:13 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I think time is running out on this one. burnit
 Quoting: RayGun


I agree.

It's easy to say earthquakes are going to occur on any day and be correct. They happen every day.
Anonymous Coward
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04/25/2012 07:20 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Even though your prediction has failed, seeing that it will be the 26th of April in 40 mins, I still believe that a big one will occur 2day or tommorow...


We have only had one 6.0+ EQ in the last 7 days (6.6 in Indonesia on the 21st) but a whole heap of 4's and 5's...
Anonymous Coward
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04/25/2012 07:22 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
bsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflagbsflag
mikebo2

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04/25/2012 07:27 PM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Even though your prediction has failed, seeing that it will be the 26th of April in 40 mins, I still believe that a big one will occur 2day or tommorow...


We have only had one 6.0+ EQ in the last 7 days (6.6 in Indonesia on the 21st) but a whole heap of 4's and 5's...
 Quoting: Phoenix SunGate


This... at least is looking at statistics and yes, we are due to have a 6.0 or larger fairly soon. I wouldn't call it predicting though. It's just the law of averages based on previous time periods between 6.0 quakes.

peace
Hydra

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04/26/2012 05:49 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I expect to see an earthquake magnitude 6.8 or more on April 24, 2012 plus or minus one day.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Fail.

.
If the Moon is off, if Earth wobbles or if there is a pole shift
how can things like this, predicted decades ago, happen?

aseindia
Annular Solar Eclipse - January 15, 2010 - Rameshwaram, India
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/26/2012 09:22 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
Even though your prediction has failed, seeing that it will be the 26th of April in 40 mins, I still believe that a big one will occur 2day or tommorow...


We have only had one 6.0+ EQ in the last 7 days (6.6 in Indonesia on the 21st) but a whole heap of 4's and 5's...
 Quoting: Phoenix SunGate


This... at least is looking at statistics and yes, we are due to have a 6.0 or larger fairly soon. I wouldn't call it predicting though. It's just the law of averages based on previous time periods between 6.0 quakes.

peace
 Quoting: mikebo2


This forecast missed. There was a 21% chance to hit a 6.8 or higher during this window by pure luck. I got 3 hits, one semi-hit, and 2 misses out of 6 using this model. You will never see me forecast anything less than 6.8 because the probabilities can get too high. There is a 50% chance of getting a 6.3 or higher on a predicted date during a 3 day period.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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04/26/2012 09:24 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
I think time is running out on this one. burnit
 Quoting: RayGun


I agree.

It's easy to say earthquakes are going to occur on any day and be correct. They happen every day.
 Quoting: mikebo2


A 6.8 or higher hits will hit on any given DATE on average of once every 2 weeks, or 7% chance. Over 3 day window, 21%.

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