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Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today

 
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
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04/27/2012 07:39 AM

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Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

THERE WILL BE A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE FROM A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK
OVER CNTRL-ERN KS AND FAR WRN MO FOR THE UPCOMING 1300Z DAY 1
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED REGARDING A GREATER
THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES
AND LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 04/27/2012 08:16 AM
Anonymous Coward
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04/27/2012 08:12 AM
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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Thread: Kansas City, East Kansas, West Missouri... Tornado threat MAY BE DEVELOPING for tomorrow

I posted this thread yesterday...
Not a single reply... not one!

oh well, my family will be safe!
Anonymous Coward
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04/27/2012 08:14 AM
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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
5* and pin request...
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 08:15 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI TODAY...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL
OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI
TODAY.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI


[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 08:16 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Thread: Kansas City, East Kansas, West Missouri... Tornado threat MAY BE DEVELOPING for tomorrow

I posted this thread yesterday...
Not a single reply... not one!

oh well, my family will be safe!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1275523


Thanks for input, sorry I missed it.

hfhf
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 09:48 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Surface low currently at 996mb with good low-level moisture transport from the GOM.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Moderate CAPE - currently capped.

Need to watch cloud cover. If they break up late morning / early afternoon, then surface heating could really do well in popping the cap and could then see explosive cell development.

Pretty good shear directional change from 850 to 500mb.
Anonymous Coward
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04/27/2012 11:15 AM
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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
bump

This is real doom, and you tards are obsessed with a race war that may or may not happen.
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Reed Timmer: Meteorologist and Extreme Storm Chaser

Moderate risk issued by the Storm Prediction Center today with a risk of strong tornadoes from Wichita north to Salina and to the east. Stay tuned to watches and warnings. Strong, damaging tornadoes are likely today in this area.

[link to www.facebook.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 11:42 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 271515Z - 271715Z

SUPERCELLS SHOULD FORM ALONG EWD SURGING DRYLINE IN CNTRL KS TO
PERHAPS N-CNTRL OK BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMIDST MODERATELY LARGE
BUOYANCY WILL LIKELY YIELD PRIMARY INITIAL THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES. THE PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE IS 95
PERCENT.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 11:44 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Georgia and South Carolina.. in store for an upgrade to 'Slight Risk' of severe for afternoon storms.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 11:56 AM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Thread: Significant risk of severe storms including strong tornadoes across parts of KS, far west MO!!!
Luisport

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04/27/2012 12:13 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Select Kansas cities under significant risk for tornadoes, large hail this afternoon: Wichita...Emporia...Salina...Topeka [link to twitter.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 12:16 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Dominator 2 Streaming Live

[link to live.tvnweather.com]

Storms already exploding along the dryline from Great Bend southwest

[link to twitter.com]

RUC analysis already shows 200+ 0-1 km effective helicity values just ahead of the dry line

[link to www.facebook.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 12:17 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Latest SPC update extends Moderate Risk a little further into western MO. New map shortly!

[link to twitter.com]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 12:20 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
[link to www.youtube.com]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 12:24 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
bump
Luisport

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04/27/2012 12:24 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
bump
Luisport

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04/27/2012 12:40 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Storms intensifying rapidly west and southwest of Great Bend, KS. We're streaming these storms live at... [link to fb.me]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:00 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
This system looks like a hurricane on satellite! Instability building rapidly ahead of the dry line. Once the... [link to fb.me]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:06 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
PIN THIS THREAT!!!bump
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 01:06 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Clouds are clearing out and CAPE is surging.

This could explode in a few hours.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 01:09 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Already a Strong Significant Tornado Parameter in northern OK but capped.

Once the cap breaks and a squall line forms along the dryline, it could get very nasty as it moves into the STP ridge.

Stay tuned; might see a PDS later on if helicity picks up some.
Bluebird

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04/27/2012 01:11 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
This is the one year anniversary of the tornadoes that killed over 250 in Alabama just last year.

Very sad day and just about everybody knows somebody who died that day.
One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one.

Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway.

Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:14 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
This is the one year anniversary of the tornadoes that killed over 250 in Alabama just last year.

Very sad day and just about everybody knows somebody who died that day.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Remembering 4/27/2011: One year later: 360-degree views of the damage in Tuscaloosa, AL [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:15 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Already a Strong Significant Tornado Parameter in northern OK but capped.

Once the cap breaks and a squall line forms along the dryline, it could get very nasty as it moves into the STP ridge.

Stay tuned; might see a PDS later on if helicity picks up some.
 Quoting: DoorBert


@johngroner they could later on this afternoon as the dry line punches east. Stay tuned to watches and warnings
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:27 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
At least 5 homes destroyed after tornadoes tore across southeastern Colorado early this morning [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 01:27 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
At least 5 homes destroyed after tornadoes tore across southeastern Colorado early this morning

[link to www.krdo.com]
Anonymous Coward
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04/27/2012 01:41 PM
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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
I am sitting just South of KC.
Looking like a VERY NARROW window for the possibility of severe weather here. Warm front currently in middle Kansas with cold front right behind it. Between 7-9pm the warm front looks to clear KC with the cold front shutting the door on severe weather at 10pm to midnight.

I think the SPC is underestimating the wind threat and overplaying the tornado threat a wee bit. A Derecho could easily form with these conditions.
Luisport

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04/27/2012 01:44 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
I am sitting just South of KC.
Looking like a VERY NARROW window for the possibility of severe weather here. Warm front currently in middle Kansas with cold front right behind it. Between 7-9pm the warm front looks to clear KC with the cold front shutting the door on severe weather at 10pm to midnight.

I think the SPC is underestimating the wind threat and overplaying the tornado threat a wee bit. A Derecho could easily form with these conditions.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1275523


bump
Anonymous Coward
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04/27/2012 01:54 PM
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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today




John Moore correct again!!!!
DoorBert (OP)

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04/27/2012 01:55 PM

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Re: Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today
Tornado damage from northeast of Chivington, Kiowa County

[link to twitpic.com]

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