Risk for Strong Tornadoes across Kansas and Missouri Today

Thread: Kansas City, East Kansas, West Missouri... Tornado threat MAY BE DEVELOPING for tomorrow

I posted this thread yesterday...
Not a single reply... not one!

oh well, my family will be safe!

5* and pin request...

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI TODAY...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL
OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI
TODAY.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI


[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Thanks for input, sorry I missed it.

Surface low currently at 996mb with good low-level moisture transport from the GOM.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Moderate CAPE - currently capped.

Need to watch cloud cover. If they break up late morning / early afternoon, then surface heating could really do well in popping the cap and could then see explosive cell development.

Pretty good shear directional change from 850 to 500mb.

This is real doom, and you tards are obsessed with a race war that may or may not happen.

Reed Timmer: Meteorologist and Extreme Storm Chaser

Moderate risk issued by the Storm Prediction Center today with a risk of strong tornadoes from Wichita north to Salina and to the east. Stay tuned to watches and warnings. Strong, damaging tornadoes are likely today in this area.

[link to www.facebook.com]

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 271515Z - 271715Z

SUPERCELLS SHOULD FORM ALONG EWD SURGING DRYLINE IN CNTRL KS TO
PERHAPS N-CNTRL OK BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMIDST MODERATELY LARGE
BUOYANCY WILL LIKELY YIELD PRIMARY INITIAL THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES. THE PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE IS 95
PERCENT.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Georgia and South Carolina.. in store for an upgrade to 'Slight Risk' of severe for afternoon storms.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Thread: Significant risk of severe storms including strong tornadoes across parts of KS, far west MO!!!

Select Kansas cities under significant risk for tornadoes, large hail this afternoon: Wichita...Emporia...Salina...Topeka [link to twitter.com]

Dominator 2 Streaming Live

[link to live.tvnweather.com]

Storms already exploding along the dryline from Great Bend southwest

[link to twitter.com]

RUC analysis already shows 200+ 0-1 km effective helicity values just ahead of the dry line

[link to www.facebook.com]

Latest SPC update extends Moderate Risk a little further into western MO. New map shortly!

[link to twitter.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]

Storms intensifying rapidly west and southwest of Great Bend, KS. We're streaming these storms live at... [link to fb.me]

This system looks like a hurricane on satellite! Instability building rapidly ahead of the dry line. Once the... [link to fb.me]

PIN THIS THREAT!!!

Clouds are clearing out and CAPE is surging.

This could explode in a few hours.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Already a Strong Significant Tornado Parameter in northern OK but capped.

Once the cap breaks and a squall line forms along the dryline, it could get very nasty as it moves into the STP ridge.

Stay tuned; might see a PDS later on if helicity picks up some.

This is the one year anniversary of the tornadoes that killed over 250 in Alabama just last year.

Very sad day and just about everybody knows somebody who died that day.

Remembering 4/27/2011: One year later: 360-degree views of the damage in Tuscaloosa, AL [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]

@johngroner they could later on this afternoon as the dry line punches east. Stay tuned to watches and warnings

At least 5 homes destroyed after tornadoes tore across southeastern Colorado early this morning [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]

At least 5 homes destroyed after tornadoes tore across southeastern Colorado early this morning

[link to www.krdo.com]

I am sitting just South of KC.
Looking like a VERY NARROW window for the possibility of severe weather here. Warm front currently in middle Kansas with cold front right behind it. Between 7-9pm the warm front looks to clear KC with the cold front shutting the door on severe weather at 10pm to midnight.

I think the SPC is underestimating the wind threat and overplaying the tornado threat a wee bit. A Derecho could easily form with these conditions.

John Moore correct again!!!!

Tornado damage from northeast of Chivington, Kiowa County

[link to twitpic.com]