WHAT IS HAPPENING AT WHITE ISLAND VOLCANO??? New Zealand/Kermadec & South Pacific QUAKE/VOLCANO WATCH

Stunning solar eclipse visible over NZ 14/11/12

[link to www.scoop.co.nz]

Tuesday, 6 November 2012, 5:49 pm
Press Release: Stardome Observatory

MEDIA RELEASE

2 November 2012

Stunning solar eclipse soon visible over New Zealand

On the morning of the 14th November 2012 all of New Zealand will be treated to a fine partial eclipse of the Sun. An eclipse of the Sun occurs when the Moon passes directly between Earth and the Sun casting a shadow on the Earth.

For this eclipse, the further north you are in New Zealand, the more the Sun will appear to be covered by the Moon. From Auckland, maximum obscuration (coverage) will reach 87% and the Sun will appear as a brilliant bright crescent. In the far south of the country the obscuration will still reach a respectable 57% while the greatest coverage of the Sun will be seen from Northland's east coast where it will reach nearly 91%. The next eclipse with this amount of obscuration seen from New Zealand will not occur until 2028 and Auckland will not see a better solar eclipse until 2035.

The shadow of the Moon creates a 180km wide path of totality that travels from west to east across the Pacific, starting in northern Australia and passing about midway between New Zealand and New Caledonia. It continues eastward finishing just before reaching the coast of Chile. Norfolk Island is located right on the edge of totality with 98% obscuration. The northern parts of Australia are the only land areas that experience the total eclipse. Thousands of keen eclipse enthusiasts will be congregating in Queensland while others will be viewing the eclipse from cruise liners and aircraft positioned along the path of totality across the Pacific.

Stardome’s honorary astronomer, Dr Grant Christie, said ,"Solar eclipses don't happen every New Moon because the Moon's orbit about Earth is tilted by about 5 degrees relative to the Earth's orbit around the Sun. In most months the New Moon passes above or below the Sun so no eclipse occurs. But an eclipse will occur when the Moon happens to cross the plane of Earth's orbit close to times of New Moon."

From Auckland, the partial eclipse will start at 9.18am reaching maximum coverage at 10:28am and ending at 11.44am. These times will vary at a bit at other centres.

The Stardome at One Tree Hill will be open to the public on the morning of 14 November providing safe viewing of the eclipse through the special telescopes. For a gold coin donation visitors will be able to watch a short movie about solar eclipses in the impressive 360 degree planetarium theatre at Stardome.

Viewing the Sun directly without a safe solar viewer is very dangerous and can cause permanent blindness. Stardome is selling certified safe solar viewers via its shop and online shop and will have them for sale on the day. There won't be another chance to see an eclipse like this for another 16 years so, have your safe solar viewers at the ready and, if you get the chance, head to Stardome - Auckland’s home for observing the skies.

Find out more at the Stardome website www.stardome.org.nz

Dark morning in November

[link to www.predictweather.co.nz]

During a solar eclipse, the moon's apparent diameter is larger than the sun, blocking all direct sunlight for viewers on earth and turning day into darkness as the moon passes between earth and sun. Totality occurs in a narrow path across the surface of the earth.

This event will occur on 14 November around 10:30 AM and this time the maximum eclipse will be almost over New Zealand, passing 1100 miles to our east. The best place on the globe to see it from will be Cairns, followed by Norfolk Island and Auckland 4 hours after Cairns. Whilst Cairns gets 100% of the visual effect, Auckland will see 80% of the sun obscured, and Christchurch, 60%. See path below.

(courtesy [link to www.timeanddate.com] )

The cycle of solar and lunar eclipses around the earth repeats every 223 lunar months, which means 223 full Moons must be counted before earth, moon and sun are again in the same positions in the sky. It means these total solar eclipses occur every roughly 18 years. The last was in 1994 and the next will be in 2030.

This eclipse will be 12 hours before lunar perigee, and perigee eclipses should be respected. The 14 November is the day of new moon, the day the moon is third closest to earth for the whole year (perigee), and also in direct line ("node") with the sun. Consequently the moon will exert extra gravitational pull on earth not diminished by parallax. These factors allow increased turbulence to land sea and air. The 14th is also the first day of a kingtide that will last until the 16th.

Eclipses were feared in ancient times but much of the reason why has become lost in antiquity. Today it is an unrecognised science and if extreme weather arrives around an eclipse it is more likely to be called a fluke. However it will be found that eclipses are always in some way related to the area of a disaster, especially if the eclipse is visible in the predicted area of a disaster.

A magnitude 6 earthquake struck Japan as a total solar eclipse occurred on March 29, 2006 and within 24 hours the satellite responsible for NZ's SKY Network Television failed. On the 31st a 6.1-mag earthquake struck western Iran. Following the August 1999 solar eclipse, destructive floods came to France and Italy, major earthquakes occurred in Turkey and Greece, and a huge cyclone hit India. Martinique’s Mt. Pelee eruption in 1902 was preceded by a total lunar eclipse.

Sometimes extreme events may occur a month or more either side of eclipse. For example the solar eclipse of 10 May 1994 may one month later have triggered the 1994 Arthurs Pass earthquake of 6.7mag (18 June) which was the largest on land in NZ for 65 years and which spawned over 12,000 seismic events over the next two years in Canterbury.

The Tangshan, China earthquake of 1976 may also be a good example, with an eclipse over Tangshan three months earlier. The same may hold true for the 1900 Galveston, TX hurricane that claimed over 6,000 lives, preceded by a solar eclipse just four months earlier. And yet again they all may be amazing coincidences.

Right now we are about three months out from 14 November. But there has already been activity beneath Mt Tongariro and White Island and a noticeable increase in earthquakes to the northeast of the North island close to the eclipse path. Stress and unsettlement may be brewing way down under the plates which may culminate in something larger between now and the eclipse.

(Update: the above paragraph mentioning Tongariro was written, along with the rest of this article, on 5 August. On 7 Aug, Mt Tongariro erupted, [link to www.nzherald.co.nz] )

Total eclipses can also bring sudden temperature drops. During the 7 March 1970 eclipse the temperature in Norfolk, Virginia fell by 11degC. In the eclipse of 11 July 1991 the temperature in Baja California dropped 7degC. During total eclipse if there is a lot of moisture aloft, the dew point may be reached very quickly as temperature drops and extensive sheets of heavy cloud may form.

So the situation is worth a warning, but probably not a panic warning. However, as always, exact magnitude and location is unpredictable and the most we can say is that the time is a risk-filled one. Vigilance should be observed in areas showing the greatest seismic murmurings and Civil Defence should be alerted. Whenever there is a significant shake there are also smaller shakes in other prone zones.

Due to significant moon positions alone we can say that over the kingtide+close perigee+new moon+southern declination interval of 13-16 November, heavy rain and flooding are likely from Central Plateau southwards, expected to cover much of the South Island. The widespread heavy rain may be associated with significant electrical activity, with squalls and thunderstorms also affecting central New Zealand.

Consequently the Tararua and Ruahine Ranges could receive torrential rain, flooding may affect parts of Wellington and rivers may burst banks in Wanganui, southern Wairarapa, Buller and Fiordland. Also, by the 17 November, westerlies may reach gale force in central and eastern regions. The November eclipse will probably add weight to these possibilities and there is plenty of time now to prepare.

Update on 23 October: many earthquakes have been occurring in the Gisborne/BoP/central North island zone. The shakes are happening not only in Gisborne but all along the East Cape and BoP because that is the closest to the eclipse path on 14 November. To some extent too, the rest of the east of the country is also seeing action. This flurry is likely to cease after the eclipse event. But between now and then we will see many more in the east and especially the North Island's east. One signal was the 5.5mag shake in Taupo on 14 October, close to the October perigee, and exactly one month (moon minicycle) from the 14 November eclipse. It was the type of dress-rehearsal seen often with eclipses. Christchurch should be safe, with smaller shakes and magnitudes unlikely to go beyond high 4's, but the NE and SW of NZ may get the larger events.

Quake to leave Wellington cut off for months.
13 Nov 2012


A big quake could leave Wellington reliant on barges and helicopters for survival, new disaster predictions show.

Massive landslides would cut off Porirua, the Hutt Valley and Wellington from the rest of New Zealand and from one another, with inbound roads taking up to four months to clear.

All three areas would rely on barges and helicopters to ferry in food, clean water and vital medical supplies.

The would be no power, water or gas for at least three weeks, and for more than two months in some Wellington suburbs.

Wellington city would be cut off for the longest, with no power for at least two months and no gas for three.

It would take at least 55 days to open State Highway 2 between the Hutt Valley and Wellington, and three weeks to connect the capital and Porirua.

The grim predictions are contained in a report by the Wellington Lifelines Group, which includes 20 of the region's major infrastructure companies and civil defence authorities......(more)

[link to www.stuff.co.nz]

Actually, it will likely totally disconnect from the island altogether.

T. You are as always, doing a stellar job! Kudos hon.

M.

yes, let me find it for you. I was the one who uploaded it to youtube

imo a very, very brave man speaking out like that. His vision is correct.

yes, very little daily release, despite the fairly high numbers of quakes
[link to seabreeze.wordpress.com]

hiya

we are getting a bit of release here:

3.3 06:07:07 Tue 13 Nov 2012 Depth: 114.0 km

3.9 04:02:21 Tue 13 Nov 2012 Depth: 376.2 km

3.4 03:53:23 Tue 13 Nov 2012 Depth: 2.0 km

3.8 03:50:56 Tue 13 Nov 2012 Depth: 293.0 km

3.3 01:41:46 Tue 13 Nov 2012 Depth: 221.2 km

3.2 23:34:57 Mon 12 Nov 2012 Depth: 254.3 km

4.1 23:05:22 Mon 12 Nov 2012 Depth: 71.7 km

4.1 17:14:13 Mon 12 Nov 2012 Depth: 88.6 km

3.2 03:01:38 Mon 12 Nov 2012 Depth: 179.8 km

3.8 18:39:30 Sun 11 Nov 2012 Depth: 5.0 km

3.2 15:06:27 Sun 11 Nov 2012 Depth: 38.8 km

3.1 21:26:52 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 30.8 km

3.6 20:36:57 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 238.0 km

3.0 15:16:33 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 22.0 km

3.4 14:20:14 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 57.0 km

4.1 06:27:12 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 3.8 km

3.1 05:40:05 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 20.9 km

3.7 00:53:16 Sat 10 Nov 2012 Depth: 7.9 km

this is not good, they do not look like the kind of people who would want to worry their family's unnecessarily....

Police concerned for missing couple

[link to tvnz.co.nz]

Police are appealing for public help to locate a couple who have not been seen since visiting relatives in the Bay of Plenty over a week ago.

Te Arawa Karaitiana, 20, and his female partner, 27-year-old Carli Pugh, were last seen when they left Pugh's grandfather's Whakatane home on Sunday November 4.

Detective Sergeant Mata John of the Ngaruawahia CIB said the couple left in a mauve coloured Toyota RAV4 vehicle, registration number ANG948.

"We believe they were headed back to their New Windsor, Auckland home but they never arrived," she said.

"Neither Te Arawa or Carli have been seen by either of their families since then and both they and police hold concerns for the couple's safety."

Pugh is described as a female Maori about 162cm tall and of solid build. Karaitiana is described as a male Maori 182cm tall of medium to thin build.

John has asked anyone who is aware of the couple's whereabouts or has seen their vehicle to contact Ngaruawahia police 07 8248199.

Alternatively information can be left with Crimestoppers on 0800 555111.

If the couple see or hear media coverage of their disappearance they should make contact with police or family, John said.

hmmm...

lots of missing data on the omahuta (northland) volcano graphs..
[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

lots of messt looking signals on both the northland drums
[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]
especially here on the waipu caves drum, where it looks like swarms

in the past, this has been an indicator of an impending large pacific quake..

imo a very, very brave man speaking out like that. His vision is correct.

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

Peace

imo a very, very brave man speaking out like that. His vision is correct.

Thats not good at all...I hope they are found safe and well somewhere...
:(

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

[link to www.geonet.org.nz]

Peace

+1

Indeed his vision is from the Almighty God. I believe his trembling voice is influenced by the Holy Spirit.

I believe there is going to be a big pacific quake soon...its way overdue.