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We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history

 
Cosa Nostra
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05/12/2012 03:49 PM
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We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Starting on Monday, a series of domino effects will begin to set the stage for the biggest ever "Black Swan event"

The arena in which it will take place will be the financial markets.

This video does not directly relate to my title, however it does explain this event in the clearest of possible terms.

[link to fora.tv]

Last Edited by Cosa Nostra on 05/12/2012 03:51 PM
Cosa Nostra, loose association of criminal groups that share a common organizational structure and code of conduct.
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 03:50 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
5a
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 03:55 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Thanks OP, nice link.

I think more of flocks of black swans.
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 03:58 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
bump
lancerr
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05/12/2012 03:58 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
gonzo2
Cosa Nostra (OP)

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05/12/2012 04:01 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Black swan events are typically random and unexpected. For example, the previously successful hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) was driven into the ground as a result of the ripple effect caused by the Russian government's debt default. The Russian government's default represents a black swan event because none of LTCM's computer models could have predicted this event and its subsequent effects.

Read more: [link to www.investopedia.com]
Cosa Nostra, loose association of criminal groups that share a common organizational structure and code of conduct.
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Does this have something to do with the JP Morgan loss?
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 04:53 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
bump
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 06:01 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
OP, ok, I agree with you
and was actually counting
on this trigger event to
happen soonish (100% certainty
before the end of fall 2012).

...so

1) OP, what would you do right now with, lets say,
€5.000 euros, buy metals, Swiss francs, tomatoes?

2) on what specifics do you base your claim?

hiding
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05/12/2012 06:10 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
In my town people have been stealing swan eggs. I guess they're valuable on the Black Market, haha! Seriously.
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 06:13 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
I just think they taste better than government cheese

5a
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 07:13 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
One can often see the "tinder" accumulating in the forest, see the tinder dry conditions that exist at that moment, and know the forest is PRIMED for a major forest fire ... but still now know either WHEN that fire will break out, OR HOW it will be caused.

A "forest" and "forest fire" analogy are in fact I think the easiest way to understand the process. Forest fires occure regularly, in fact MUST OCCURE in order to clear out the deadwood and tinder that naturally occures. The longer a fire is kept from consuming the deadwood and tinder the LARGER AND FIERCER the forest fire will be when it eventually occures, which it WILL.

The current financial system is filled with deadwood and tinder ... and is primed for a major fire. The Fires that would consume that deadwood and timber in smaller more frequent fires have been kept at bay for so long that when the next one hits it can quickly grow to gigantic size. All it needs is an outside "spark" to set it off, a spark that could be a small unattended campfire, a lighting strike, or basically anything that upsets the applecart of regularity in the system. (for this financial Black Swan think of it potentially being a default, war, natural disaster ... anything in fact that interrupts the regular flow of money that is passed through the "system" on a daily basis - since the entire system is premised at a foundation level upon the money flows from one party to another party continuing uniterrupted on a daily basis)
G3
G3

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05/12/2012 07:32 PM

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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Starting on Monday, a series of domino effects will begin to set the stage for the biggest ever "Black Swan event"

The arena in which it will take place will be the financial markets.

This video does not directly relate to my title, however it does explain this event in the clearest of possible terms.

[link to fora.tv]
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


Rollercoaster
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05/12/2012 09:09 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
African American Swan
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 09:11 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Starting on Monday, a series of domino effects will begin to set the stage for the biggest ever "Black Swan event"

The arena in which it will take place will be the financial markets.

This video does not directly relate to my title, however it does explain this event in the clearest of possible terms.

[link to fora.tv]
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


I usually don't watch the longer videos that people post links to, but that was excellent. Thank you.
G3
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05/12/2012 09:23 PM

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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
pcorn
aBiNoRmAl

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05/12/2012 09:25 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
In my town people have been stealing swan eggs. I guess they're valuable on the Black Market, haha! Seriously.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1183343


No wonder...^^ black swans sell for $1300 a piece...so you spend $2600 for a pair....ouch..but that are cool looking...I know this has nothing to do with this thread, but does have relevance to that comment..:)
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 09:29 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
like that movie?
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2012 09:34 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Nothing isn't what it used to be.

lancerr
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05/13/2012 01:15 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
great song!
Cosa Nostra (OP)

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Switzerland
05/13/2012 01:18 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
The black swan event might just begin tonight, at the opening of the Asian markets-an uncontrolled, irrational panic, quickly spreading to Europe as the stock markets open in the morning, followed by the US, later in the afternoon.
Cosa Nostra, loose association of criminal groups that share a common organizational structure and code of conduct.
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2012 01:43 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Black swan events are typically random and unexpected. For example, the previously successful hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) was driven into the ground as a result of the ripple effect caused by the Russian government's debt default. The Russian government's default represents a black swan event because none of LTCM's computer models could have predicted this event and its subsequent effects.

Read more: [link to www.investopedia.com]
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


Not a Black Swan, sorry. This is a Brown Swan event, when a white swan flies straight up the ass of the economists and analysts who have their heads buried in the sand. People who still have some common sense left knew it was inevitable:
[link to ponziworld.blogspot.ca]
rocky/endtime truths

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05/13/2012 01:56 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
The black swan event might just begin tonight, at the opening of the Asian markets-an uncontrolled, irrational panic, quickly spreading to Europe as the stock markets open in the morning, followed by the US, later in the afternoon.
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


get your money out as soon as possible, once the atms run out, then your bank, what!, oh thats right you have that worthless piece of paper that says, IOU!
Anonymous Coward
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05/13/2012 01:57 PM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Starting on Monday, a series of domino effects will begin to set the stage for the biggest ever "Black Swan event"

The arena in which it will take place will be the financial markets.

This video does not directly relate to my title, however it does explain this event in the clearest of possible terms.

[link to fora.tv]
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


your right about monday being a special day.. its them 555s.. when they are in your face it means its about time..
Cosa Nostra (OP)

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05/14/2012 05:07 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
[link to www.sgxniftydowfutureslive.com]

The Black Swan event has begun-we are now entering panic land
Cosa Nostra, loose association of criminal groups that share a common organizational structure and code of conduct.
Anonymous Coward
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05/14/2012 05:13 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
The 'black swan event' for me was watching Natalie Portman get jiggy with her pussy....mmmm lol. Sorry, just some humour to lighten up the imminent doom. :-)
Anonymous Coward
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05/15/2012 02:53 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
is this it OP???


.------------------

26 Italian banks downgraded!
Rating Firm Cites Italy's Double-Dip Recession; Similar Moves Expected to Hit More Than 100 European Lenders by June

Moody's Investors Service kicked off its long-awaited downgrades of European and global banks by docking the credit ratings of 26 Italian lenders, a move that could ratchet up the continent's banking woes at a critical time for the currency union.
Anonymous Coward
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05/15/2012 03:11 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
That is good info. But, had anyone stopped the dominoes falling for now, so that a new stone had to be pushed?

It is already falling!...
Anonymous Coward
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05/15/2012 03:25 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
Somebody needs to kick start the domino chain!
Cosa Nostra (OP)

User ID: 7485754
Switzerland
05/15/2012 03:31 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
is this it OP???


.------------------

26 Italian banks downgraded!
Rating Firm Cites Italy's Double-Dip Recession; Similar Moves Expected to Hit More Than 100 European Lenders by June

Moody's Investors Service kicked off its long-awaited downgrades of European and global banks by docking the credit ratings of 26 Italian lenders, a move that could ratchet up the continent's banking woes at a critical time for the currency union.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16083962


No, my friend, the Black Swan event will be an irrational element, something which none us of could have predicted, that's the Black Swan, and it will trigger panic which will create fear, irrational fear.
Cosa Nostra, loose association of criminal groups that share a common organizational structure and code of conduct.
Anonymous Coward
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05/15/2012 03:36 AM
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Re: We are on the verge of the biggest "Black Swan Event" in our history
is this it OP???


.------------------

26 Italian banks downgraded!
Rating Firm Cites Italy's Double-Dip Recession; Similar Moves Expected to Hit More Than 100 European Lenders by June

Moody's Investors Service kicked off its long-awaited downgrades of European and global banks by docking the credit ratings of 26 Italian lenders, a move that could ratchet up the continent's banking woes at a critical time for the currency union.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16083962


No, my friend, the Black Swan event will be an irrational element, something which none us of could have predicted, that's the Black Swan, and it will trigger panic which will create fear, irrational fear.
 Quoting: Cosa Nostra


or the opposite: rational liberation.

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