BREAKING Significant Severe-Weather Outbreak Today for DC/Baltimore at Rush-Hour. Strong Tornadoes Possible!!

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1002
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...SRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011525Z - 011700Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY AS THEY SPREAD/DEVELOP ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL MAY
OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

SPC UPGRADES RISK TO MODERATE

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN VA...A LARGE PART OF MD...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...A SMALL PART OF THE ERN PANHANDLE OF WV...S-CNTRL PA

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 011629Z - 011730Z

SUMMARY...A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK WILL BE INCLUDED
WITH THE 1630 UTC DAY ONE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK ACROSS NERN VA...A
LARGE PART OF MD...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...A SMALL PART OF THE
ERN PANHANDLE OF WV...AND S-CNTRL PA.

DISCUSSION...LATEST OBSERVATIONAL AND MODEL OUTPUT WARRANT AN
UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK FOR THE UPCOMING 1630 UTC OUTLOOK. PLEASE
SEE FORTHCOMING DAY ONE OUTLOOK FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN PA...FAR ERN
WV...MD AND NRN VA...

...MID-ATLANTIC/UPPER OH VALLEY/CAROLINAS...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING
SWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. THIS FEATURE WILL BECOME
NEGATIVELY TILTED TODAY MOVING EWD INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS.
A BAND OF WELL-FOCUSED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS LOCATED TO THE EAST OF
THE TROUGH WHICH IS PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING SWD FROM ERN OH INTO FAR ERN KY. THIS LINE WILL MOVE EWD
INTO A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS BUT WILL ALSO GAIN ACCESS TO
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER INSTABILITY THIS
AFTERNOON. FOR THIS REASON...THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RAMP UP
IN INTENSITY WITH A WIND DAMAGE THREAT GRADUALLY DEVELOPING.

A COUPLING OF THE LOW AND MID-LEVEL
JETS IS ALSO FORECAST TO OCCUR ACROSS NRN VA...MD AND PA WHICH MAY
ALSO HELP TO ENHANCE THE QLCS TORNADO THREAT. HAVE ADDED A MODERATE
RISK IN THE WASHINGTON DC METRO...BALTIMORE AREAS WHERE THE TORNADO
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE GREATEST AND WHERE AN ISOLATED STRONG
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. ANY ROTATING STORMS SHOULD ALSO BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. AS THE STRONGER LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
MOVES ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC EARLY THIS EVENING...A WELL-ORGANIZED
LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT CONVECTIVE FEATURE
WITH AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT PRESENT ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Storm Prediction Center now with moderate risk of severe weather for D.C. area, tornado probability upgraded

[link to twitter.com]

URGENT- SPC has issued a "Moderate" risk of severe weather for the Baltimore/D.C region. A rare event!

[link to twitter.com]

Let me know when a F5 ploughs through the White House.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SRN PA...ERN
WV PANHANDLE...NRN VA...PORTIONS OF MD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
INCLUDING THE D.C...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SRN PA...ERN WV
PANHANDLE...NRN VA...AND PORTIONS OF MD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
INCLUDING THE D.C.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WASHINGTON DC
MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND
EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
EXTREME EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Nice map here: RT @JustinWeather: Tornado Risk increased to 15%. Moderate Risk of Severe Storms up as well. [link to pic.twitter.com]

35 min Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Now a MODERATE risk for tornadoes across a portion of West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, and Pennsylvania! [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1004
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NC...VA...WV...MD...DC...PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 011703Z - 011830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN A
VERY MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM NC NWD ACROSS
VA...SRN PA...WV PNHDL...AND MD/DC AREA. RECENT TRENDS SUGGEST THAT
ISOLATED STORMS WILL FIRST POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER
IN THE FORM OF HAIL/WIND OVER PARTS OF NERN NC AND SERN VA WHERE
INSTABILITY IS GREATEST BUT SHEAR AND FORCING WILL REMAIN LIMITED
FOR A TIME. ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY AS A FORCED SQUALL
LINE DEVELOPS EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP
SHEAR AND TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AND ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

AN ENHANCED BUT FOCUSED TORNADO THREAT MAY EVOLVE NEAR THE FRONTAL WAVE AND WARM FRONT.

ONE TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM SRN PA ACROSS WRN VA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Not expecting a tornado outbreak, but conditions conducive for wind damage in highly populated areas, especially 2pm-9pm

The set up is beginning to look dangerous.

Got a strong CAPE ridge building in eastern VA with a developing Significant Tornado Potential (STP).

The MCS to the west will rotate into this and literally explode in about 3 to 5 hours.

This is a classic setup for a bad tornado outbreak

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Helicity building up ahead of the MCS in eastern MD

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Thread: New Little Ice Age by 2030.

You tell that to the ones that loose everything including there lives.

All it takes is just one in the correct area like Joplin, Andrew or Camille.

The conditions could very likely be prime later today.

When you deal with weather modification you never can really tell.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 332
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MARYLAND
NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTH-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA
EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

AN ENHANCED BUT FOCUSED TORNADO THREAT MAY EVOLVE NEAR THE
FRONTAL WAVE AND WARM FRONT.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

BINGO

Last Edited by DoorBert on 06/01/2012 01:33 PM

Issued at: 1:30 PM EDT 6/1/12, expires at: 9:00 PM EDT 6/1/12

The NWS Has Issued Tornado Watch 332 In, Effect Until 9 Pm Edt This Evening For The Following Areas
In Pennsylvania This Watch Includes 12 Counties
In Central Pennsylvania
Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin, Perry, Somerset
This Includes The Cities Of, Altoona, Bedford, Carlisle,, Chambersburg, Gettysburg, Huntingdon, Johnstown, Lewistown,, Mcconnellsburg, Mifflintown, Mount Union, Newport,, Somerset And Waynesboro.

HAARP STATUS JOINT NETWORK MAGNITUDE MAP

[link to www.haarpstatus.com]

I'm ready with my emergency preparedness. And, I love a good thunderstorm. Just don't want any deaths or severe property damage.

I have a son in the area so thanks for the updates!

Ionospheric Heating Underway

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I hope this doesn't destroy my garden...I'm right in the middle of this thing since I'm south-central PA. Ick.

Praying he stays safe!

13 min Severe Studios‏@severestudios

And the TORNADO watch is now out until 9pm for MD NC PA VA WV [link to 1.usa.gov]

17 min Severe Studios‏@severestudios

First Tornado watch of the day coming soon. Tornado threat across NC... VA... WV... MD... DC... PA [link to 1.usa.gov]

STP developing fast - now up to 2.

Ahead of the MCS.

Looks deadly.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Everyone keep your fingers crossed for my garden, cause I CAN'T bring the tomato plants in!

What is STP? Going to be closely following this thread...

I got the Weather Channel on (kids are mad but too bad) and it doesn't look good, they just said they see cloud rotation too.