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Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!

 
DoorBert

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06/25/2012 05:42 AM

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Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Tornado Outbreak in Florida from Tropical Storm Debby--June 24, 2012

Two tornadoes spawned by Tropical Storm Debby, the first named storm of 2012 to enter the Gulf of Mexico hit Florida on Sunday, killing a woman, injuring a child and wrecking homes in the central portion of the state, an official said.



Last Edited by DoorBert on 06/26/2012 10:15 AM
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 05:43 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
400 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2012

DEBBY HAS A HIGHLY UNIMPRESSIVE APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
ALTHOUGH RADAR DATA CONTINUE TO DEPICT SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER
THE CIRCULATION...THESE SHOWERS ARE BEING PRODUCED BY SHALLOW
CONVECTION AS THE ENHANCED IR IMAGES DO NOT SHOW ANY SIGNIFICANT
AREAS OF COLD CLOUD TOPS. AIRCRAFT DATA FROM SEVERAL HOURS AGO
ALONG WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SURFACE
WINDS HAVE DECREASED...AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KT.
DEBBY IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE AREA OF MAXIMUM OCEANIC HEAT
CONTENT...BUT AS LONG AS THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER WATER AND IS ABLE
TO REGENERATE SOME DEEP CONVECTION THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR AT
LEAST SLIGHT RE-INTENSIFICATION. THE CURRENT NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST IS A LITTLE LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONES...BUT A LITTLE
HIGHER THAN MOST OF THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.

BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS QUASI-STATIONARY. DEBBY REMAINS IN
A COL REGION OF THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC STEERING FLOW BETWEEN TWO
ANTICYCLONES...AND IS LIKELY TO REMAIN SO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THEREFORE LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING AT LEAST THE
FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE LONGER-TERM...THE TRACK
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE...WITH SOME MODELS
TAKING DEBBY WEST AND NORTH OF ITS CURRENT POSITION AND OTHERS
MOVING EAST OR NORTHEAST AND ULTIMATELY INTO THE ATLANTIC. THE
LATTER SCENARIO ASSUMES THAT DEBBY WILL EVENTUALLY BE INFLUENCED BY
A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
THIS SCENARIO SEEMS MORE LIKELY SINCE IT IS SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE
GFS AND THE ECMWF MODELS. REGARDLESS OF WHICH SCENARIO PLAYS
OUT...THE CYCLONE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE GOING ANYWHERE ANYTIME SOON.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 28.6N 85.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 28.8N 85.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 28.9N 85.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 29.0N 85.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 29.2N 85.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 28/0600Z 29.4N 85.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 29/0600Z 29.7N 85.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
120H 30/0600Z 30.2N 85.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 05:49 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 05:50 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
CNNweather: Some rainfall totals from Debby have topped 10" across portions of northern Florida

[link to yfrog.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 05:54 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Here's the latest forecast track for Debby. We'll be dealing with the effects of the storm for quite some time!

[link to sphotos.xx.fbcdn.net]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 05:58 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Debby spawns tornadoes in Florida - VIDEO

[link to www.cnn.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 06:23 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Tampa's had more than 16 inches of rain this month, with a record setting 7 inches Sunday. And there's more to come. Debby's not moving.
Six Six Six

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06/25/2012 06:33 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
bump
Biko
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 06:43 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Incredible tornadic waterspout yesterday evening off Juno Pier, FL!

[link to www.facebook.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 06:45 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
NHC Update: Debby forecast to sit in the NE Gulf all week and make landfall sometime on Friday


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 06:53 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Incredible tornado video shot yesterday in Highlands County, FL

DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 06:56 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Tornado damage in Pass-A-Grille

[link to twitter.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 07:08 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL
503 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012


...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT TAMPA...

A RECORD RAINFALL OF 7.11 INCH(ES) WAS SET AT TAMPA YESTERDAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 5.29 SET IN 1995.

[link to mesonet.agron.iastate.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 07:12 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Definately something strange is going on...
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 07:17 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Definately something strange is going on...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2282476


Yeah, it's called Hurricane Season. What's the big fucking deal here?
Six Six Six

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06/25/2012 07:24 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Definately something strange is going on...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2282476


Yeah, it's called Hurricane Season. What's the big fucking deal here?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17884534


This being the 4th tropical storm/hurricane formed BEFORE July... is historic and record breaking... hasn't been recorded as happening since they started keeping records over 160 years ago.

AND... this storm is pretty much forming very close to land and staying in place, which is VERY STRANGE.

hidb

Last Edited by Six Six Six on 06/25/2012 07:46 AM
Biko
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06/25/2012 07:36 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
DEBBY (imagery, position, intensity)
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]


SEE the world in a whole new way: NOAA GOES-East satellite video loops & real-time images available:
[link to www.nnvl.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 07:46 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
700 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY STILL STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 85.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO ENGLEWOOD FLORIDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST. DEBBY HAS
REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LITTLE
MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT THIS
FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN DUE TO WEAK STEERING CURRENTS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TODAY.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

APALACHEE BAY TO WACCASASSA BAY...4 TO 6 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF WACCASASSA BAY...2 TO 4 FT
ALABAMA-FLORDA BORDER EASTWARD TO APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
10 TO 15 INCHES OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
SURROUNDING THIS AREA...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
INTO COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND WET SOIL
CONDITIONS...THESE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN
ALABAMA.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 06/25/2012 07:48 AM
cRoSS FiRe

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06/25/2012 08:03 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Tornado Watch In Effect For Central Florida Until 2 P.M.

[link to news.brevardtimes.com]

No doubt, this will be replaced later.
"Nothing is as far away as one minute ago." --Jim Bishop

:gameizovar:

It's DO:OM o'clock. WAKE UP!
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 08:11 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 08:28 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Strong line of storm with wind and tornado potential heading into Ft. Myers and Naples

[link to radar.weather.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 08:30 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Strong line of storm with wind and tornado potential heading into Ft. Myers and Naples

[link to radar.weather.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


Overshooting tops with this line.

Just like last nite.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 08:33 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Deadly Debbie, the almost Cat 1?

Sensationalize much?
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 08:34 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Deadly Debbie, the almost Cat 1?

Sensationalize much?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18318118


It is forecast to be near Cat 1 at landfall per NHC. already has killed one.

Last Edited by DoorBert on 06/25/2012 08:34 AM
cRoSS FiRe

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06/25/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Strong line of storm with wind and tornado potential heading into Ft. Myers and Naples

[link to radar.weather.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


Overshooting tops with this line.

Just like last nite.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


And so it begins.... again. This time it looks like I'll be out of the line of fire. The line looks to be moving a tad east, even though the individual storms are moving north.
"Nothing is as far away as one minute ago." --Jim Bishop

:gameizovar:

It's DO:OM o'clock. WAKE UP!
cRoSS FiRe

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06/25/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Deadly Debbie, the almost Cat 1?

Sensationalize much?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18318118


Is there something wrong with sharing news stories, or do you prefer threads with no source links?
"Nothing is as far away as one minute ago." --Jim Bishop

:gameizovar:

It's DO:OM o'clock. WAKE UP!
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 08:43 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Thread: whats going on with tropical storm debby completely falling apart now
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 08:52 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
Definately something strange is going on...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2282476


Yeah, it's called Hurricane Season. What's the big fucking deal here?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17884534



lolsign
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 08:55 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
DB its Kevin ... Debby, according to my calculations ... will make landfall TONIGHT in NW FL in Horseshoe Beach, FL ... I'll have something on TheWeatherSpace.com soon
DoorBert (OP)

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06/25/2012 08:56 AM

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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
DB its Kevin ... Debby, according to my calculations ... will make landfall TONIGHT in NW FL in Horseshoe Beach, FL ... I'll have something on TheWeatherSpace.com soon
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16063692


Wow - thanks Kevin.

Let us know when you post it.
Anonymous Coward
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06/25/2012 09:06 AM
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Re: Deadly TS Debby in GOM. Flooding of Biblical Proportions Underway in Florida!!
bump

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