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EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012

 
TheTruthWorker
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07/02/2012 08:28 AM
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EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
I'm watching for a quake during this July 4-5-6 window measuring 6.3+ due to an above average number of asteroids making close approaches.

Historically, earthquakes occur more often when the number of near earth objects (NEOs) is high. Not sure of location but my best guess right now is:

1) Peru/Argentina
2) Southern China/India
3) Alaska/Northern West Coast

Locations loosely based on [link to www.antipodemap.com]


Quakes over 6.0 last 30 days plus all my forecasts:

June 29 -- 6.3 China Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
June 24 -- 6.1 KAMCHATKA Thread: 7.1 EARTHQUAKE due to asteroids near Earth on June 25
June 23 -- 6.1 Indonesia
June 17 -- 6.3 Japan Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH: Magnitude 6.5+ within a day of June 15, 2012
June 07 -- 6.1 Peru Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH: Magnitude 6.6+ within a day of June 7, 2012
June 05 -- 6.1 Japan
June 04 -- 6.3 Panama

There were only 3 quakes of 6.3+ and no quakes over 6.3 within last 30 days per USGS.
So 3 of 4 forecasts have failed due to magnitude and 1 due to date.


NEO Count Chart targeting July 5:

07-05-12

Some have said you can hit predictions if you make them everyday but you'll find ALL my confirmed and failed predictions right listed above and below.


Quakes over 6.5 since my first forecast posted March 14 on GLP:

May 28 -- 6.7 ARGENTINA Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for May 27-28-29 due to asteroid
May 19 -- MISS -- Thread: 8.0+ earthquake on May 19, 2012 due to renegade asteroids (Page 7)
April 28 -- 6.7 Tonga
April 24 -- MISS-- Thread: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 24
April 21 -- 6.6 Indonesia Thread: 6.8 earthquake on April 22 due asteroids approaching Earth
April 17 -- 6.8 Papua New Guinea Thread: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 18
April 14 -- 6.5 VANUATU
April 12 -- 6.9 GULF OF CALIFORNIA Thread: EARTHQUAKE!!! due to asteroids near Earth on April 12th
April 11 -- 8.6 SUMATRA Thread: HIT! April 11 earthquake in Sumatra was predicted on March 25
April 03 -- MISS -- Thread: 7+ Mag EARTHQUAKE due to asteroid near Earth on April 3rd
March 25 -- 7.1 MAULE, CHILE
March 21 -- 6.6 PAPUA NEW GUINEA Thread: NASA covers up mission with rocket launch today to destroy hazardous asteroid approaching Earth on March 20, 2012? *** HIT! ***
March 20 -- 7.4 MEXICO Thread: HIT! March 20 earthquake in Mexico was predicted on March 14

All this is just for fun and to test my theories publicly. Hopefully this can all turn into a useful tool others can add to there quake indicators.

Now I will don my flame retarded wardrobe...

popcorn
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
I do not know why I am obsessed with looking into the earthquake-asteroid connections. But based on other things I've read I intuitively feel earthquakes, asteroids and tidal waves will important issues this year.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 08:38 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Other related forecasts:

Thread: Volcano / Earthquake Watch this Week: Earth-Directed X-Class Solar Flare Imminent.

[link to www.youtube.com]


TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 08:53 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Other forecasts:

Posted July 1:

We will have planetary alignment of Jupiter-Earth-Venus on 3 July, also full moon and some other interesting events ..

Think we will have in next 4 days stronger activity and M 7.0 +, dangerous location for stronger activity location C America-West Coast, Hawaii-Japan, Philippines-Taiwan, Iran to Italy ..

Long time we did not have a EQ of M 7.0 + ..
 Quoting: Rain-Man


If Rain-Man gets a hit my bet it will be July 4-5.
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:55 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
nice thread (OP) thanks for the links
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 09:00 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Other forecasts:

I refrain from posting too far in advance as thread gets lost but here are some current watch dates based on above average NEO counts, quake within a day of:

07/05/12
08/08/12
09/14/12
10/17/12
10/28/12
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


around 7/5 I'd agree may be a good bet
8/8 & 9/14 not as likely Imo
10/17 to 10/21 a good window
and I'd say earlier than 10/28... more like 10/25 to the 26th would be better.
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


MatrixLNIN11 makes forecasts based on 188 day cycle and ley lines. Thread: The Ley-Line Quake Matrix of 188 gets put to the TEST for Skeptics
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 09:30 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
nice thread (OP) thanks for the links
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18910515


Useful links:

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to geofon.gfz-potsdam.de]
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]

[link to www.iris.edu]
[link to geoquake.info]
[link to earthquake-report.com]
[link to www.oe-files.de]
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to www.hivegroup.com]
[link to anf.ucsd.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:32 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
I agree; let's not forget this solar flare coming our way tonight too...
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 09:33 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
I agree; let's not forget this solar flare coming our way tonight too...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4701453


BREAKING...

[link to www.solarham.net]

M5.6 Solar Flare & EARTH DIRECTED CME - July 2, 2012

[link to www.youtube.com]


RayGun

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07/02/2012 10:37 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012


Looks like a bad week all the way around. burnit
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 11:09 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Thread: Hundreds Of Earthquakes In North America Already Today!!! Is this normal
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 04:25 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Full moon too.

:144:
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Full moon too.

:144:
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


Tass, how have you use this thing to target quake locations?
[link to www.antipodemap.com]
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 04:32 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Average 6-6.9 eq's happen a year = 134

Gives you on average an eq of that size approx every 2.75 days.

Giving a prediction on a 6.3 with a three day window will give you a great chance of being right, but it is no prediction and not down to NEO's.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 04:36 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Full moon too.

:144:
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


Tass, how have you use this thing to target quake locations?
[link to www.antipodemap.com]
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Just found this:


Antipodes help determine where earthquakes may accur. If a large quake happens on the other side you may get a quake, depending on where it is. For instance the few quakes we get at the bottom of africa are directly related to the quakes in the beering strait, near greenland.

hf
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie

Anonymous Coward
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Full moon too.

:144:
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


Tass, how have you use this thing to target quake locations?
[link to www.antipodemap.com]
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Just found this:


Antipodes help determine where earthquakes may accur. If a large quake happens on the other side you may get a quake, depending on where it is. For instance the few quakes we get at the bottom of africa are directly related to the quakes in the beering strait, near greenland.

hf
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie

 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Yep, and also use 3d earthquake thing. Shows what they call a shell. Many free downloads on the net. I think sometimes we get antipodal quakes instead of sftershocks.

hf
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 04:45 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
lol an earthquake a day now huh?
I guess your bound to hit one?

sad.
Chas

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07/02/2012 04:48 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Interesting..
Chas
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 04:49 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Average 6-6.9 eq's happen a year = 134

Gives you on average an eq of that size approx every 2.75 days.

Giving a prediction on a 6.3 with a three day window will give you a great chance of being right, but it is no prediction and not down to NEO's.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18836070


I have discussed these issues here:

Thread: Big EARTHQUAKE to hit today? What are the odds?

Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

I would not normally forecast a quake less than 6.5 but that is all that July 5th window is pointing to.

Recently NEO counts are way down. And so are quake magnitudes. May be no connection.

2012-03-14neo


2012-02neo


2011-11-07neo


2011-oct-neo
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 04:51 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
lol an earthquake a day now huh?
I guess your bound to hit one?

sad.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1159544


More like once a week or so. You can see my all hits and misses in OP.

Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 07/02/2012 09:58 PM
Hasnamuss

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07/02/2012 05:01 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
bump
Anonymous Coward
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Greece...
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 06:09 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Average 6-6.9 eq's happen a year = 134

Gives you on average an eq of that size approx every 2.75 days.

Giving a prediction on a 6.3 with a three day window will give you a great chance of being right, but it is no prediction and not down to NEO's.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18836070


I have discussed these issues here:

Thread: Big EARTHQUAKE to hit today? What are the odds?

Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

I would not normally forecast a quake less than 6.5 but that is all that July 5th window is pointing to.

Recently NEO counts are way down. And so are quake magnitudes. May be no connection.

 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


This chart shows the magnitude above 6.0 for all 6.1+ quakes,
averaged over 5 consecutive quakes above 6.
You can see the drop off in quake magnitude
recently and we are at a low area.

eq-mag6

This chart shows the falling daily NEO count
averaged over 3 days, and we are a very low level...
then goes out to Oct 2012.

eq-neo-ct
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 06:25 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
A list of the last several eq's with a mag of 6+'s taken from EMSC.

Jun 29th
Jun 24th
Jun 23rd
Jun 19th
Jun 17th
Jun 7th
Jun 5th
Jun 4th
Jun 2nd
May 28th


It has been 3 days since the last one, add that with your 3 day window and like I said you are sure to get one.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 07:05 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
A list of the last several eq's with a mag of 6+'s taken from EMSC.

Jun 29th
Jun 24th
Jun 23rd
Jun 19th
Jun 17th
Jun 7th
Jun 5th
Jun 4th
Jun 2nd
May 28th


It has been 3 days since the last one, add that with your 3 day window and like I said you are sure to get one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19003811


Reminder, I stated in the OP that I'm calling for a 6.3+ and "There were only 3 quakes of 6.3+ and no quakes over 6.3 within last 30 days per USGS."

I agree, predicting a 6.0 over 3 days would be pointless.
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:15 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
A list of the last several eq's with a mag of 6+'s taken from EMSC.

Jun 29th
Jun 24th
Jun 23rd
Jun 19th
Jun 17th
Jun 7th
Jun 5th
Jun 4th
Jun 2nd
May 28th


It has been 3 days since the last one, add that with your 3 day window and like I said you are sure to get one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19003811


Reminder, I stated in the OP that I'm calling for a 6.3+ and "There were only 3 quakes of 6.3+ and no quakes over 6.3 within last 30 days per USGS."

I agree, predicting a 6.0 over 3 days would be pointless.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


We know you. You know you. Ignore the needling. You are great.

hf
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/02/2012 07:20 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
A list of the last several eq's with a mag of 6+'s taken from EMSC.

Jun 29th
Jun 24th
Jun 23rd
Jun 19th
Jun 17th
Jun 7th
Jun 5th
Jun 4th
Jun 2nd
May 28th


It has been 3 days since the last one, add that with your 3 day window and like I said you are sure to get one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19003811


Reminder, I stated in the OP that I'm calling for a 6.3+ and "There were only 3 quakes of 6.3+ and no quakes over 6.3 within last 30 days per USGS."

I agree, predicting a 6.0 over 3 days would be pointless.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


We know you. You know you. Ignore the needling. You are great.

hf
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


I have no problem pointing out flawed comments, or admitting the truth even if it hurts.

hf
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:22 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Great work OP

I like your threads ....
5*
Hasnamuss

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07/02/2012 07:38 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
keep going op interesting what you propone.

Goofy Thum
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Great work OP

I like your threads ....
5*
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17362578


Same here!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Peru just had 5.7

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