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IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion

 
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IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iranian lawmakers have drafted a bill that would close the Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers heading to countries supporting current economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic.

­"There is a bill prepared in the National Security and Foreign Policy committee of Parliament that stresses the blocking of oil tanker traffic carrying oil to countries that have sanctioned Iran," Iranian MP Ibrahim Agha-Mohammadi told reporters.

"This bill has been developed as an answer to the European Union's oil sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran."

more:
[link to www.rt.com]


Hormuz Closure May Send Brent Oil to $200 a Barrel, SocGen Says Dec 2011
[link to www.businessweek.com]


Thread: Iran Closing Hormuz, Simulating Attack on US Bases & Israel, & Prepping to Down US Passenger Planes!


I need your opinions guys.

Calling al Middle East Expertards, Oiltards and Hormuztards.


This is your HOST, Strongman Shelford

And this, is GODLIKEPRODUCTIONS.COM

clappa


let the discussion begin

PS: if you enjoy Strongman´s economic pinned threads, don´t forget to send your positive karma, donations or good thought at the least charlie

lmao

I am serious mandamned
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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07/02/2012 08:50 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
newcomers:


the strait at its narrowest is 21 nautical miles (39 km) wide.[1] It is the only sea passage to the open ocean for large areas of the petroleum-exporting Persian Gulf and is one of the world's most strategically important choke points. Approximately 20% of the world's oil, which is about 35% of seaborne traded oil, passes through the strait.[1]

source:

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:52 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Not till October
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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07/02/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion


Iran's oil minister, Rostam Qasemi, told Al Jazeera in November that if pushed, Iran would be willing to use oil as a political tool, although oil and security experts at the time said that this was an unlikely move as Iran relies on the strait more than any other country in the region.


"Iran has no other outlet for its oil, so it would be cutting off its nose to spite its own face," one expert told Al Jazeera.

A European Union ban on imports of Iranian oil started on Sunday.

damned

[link to www.aljazeera.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Not till October
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14756837


source and explain. election october surprise? no linky stinky
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:55 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
cough, the only ones that want the hormuz straits shut are the big oil companys. Then they'll make huge money.
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iranian lawmakers have drafted a bill that would close the Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers heading to countries supporting current economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic.

­"There is a bill prepared in the National Security and Foreign Policy committee of Parliament that stresses the blocking of oil tanker traffic carrying oil to countries that have sanctioned Iran," Iranian MP Ibrahim Agha-Mohammadi told reporters.

"This bill has been developed as an answer to the European Union's oil sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran."

more:
[link to www.rt.com]


Hormuz Closure May Send Brent Oil to $200 a Barrel, SocGen Says Dec 2011
[link to www.businessweek.com]


Thread: Iran Closing Hormuz, Simulating Attack on US Bases & Israel, & Prepping to Down US Passenger Planes!


I need your opinions guys.

Calling al Middle East Expertards, Oiltards and Hormuztards.


This is your HOST, Strongman Shelford

And this, is GODLIKEPRODUCTIONS.COM

clappa


let the discussion begin
 Quoting: Strongman Shelford


just more of the same:

Oil and Gold to continue tanking!
Strongman Shelford to continue wussing out on his bets!
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
As soon as Iran attempts to close the strait the U.S. is going to send them back to the stone age. More propaganda from Iran ,they are not going to do anything!
lolatu
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 08:59 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
world keeps turning swear in 5 years will see the same posts on here. Nothing to you op I just am sick of hearing irans fear monger bull shit they have cried wolf so many times everyone looks at them like a fucking joke why there getting picked on. pigchef
BLKOUTDRV
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07/02/2012 09:04 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
The assumption would be the closing of their 12 nautical mile portion of territorial waters, not Oman's. If that is the
case, then fine let them do it. Oman is not closing theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:12 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iran should have cut off ALL the European countries at the beginning of winter and brought them to their fucking knees and froze them to death.......ESPECIALLY "Not So Great" Britain!!!!!!!!!!!11
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:14 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iran should have cut off ALL the European countries at the beginning of winter and brought them to their fucking knees and froze them to death.......ESPECIALLY "Not So Great" Britain!!!!!!!!!!!11
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18773451


I remember back in the day you could shoot someone for treason without trial just needed a couple witness's. so many little troll fucks say the dumbest shit when they would urinate on themselves with any form of real conflict. I love trolling but at least I don't say shit that can land homeland security knocking on my door ... Fucking retard
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:16 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
The Iranians will announce a pending limited closure of the strait in line with the opportunity for the Europeans and Americans to reverse their sanctions on the Islamic republic. This will be sometime in mid-September.

The Iranian President will deliver a speech at the UN chronologically outlining the events that led to the current crisis. This will fall on deaf ears in Washington and most of Europe (and Israel).

The Russians and Chinese will mediate but not budge. They, in concert with Iran, will blame the West for the escalation of tensions.

Between October 19-23 the strait will be closed following a diplomatic deadlock. Western warships will give a 24 hour ultimatum to the Iranians to re-open the strait. Russia will up the ante by sending warships into the Persian Gulf outside regular drills for the first time.

Vladimir Putin will warn that the only way out of the confrontation is for the West to drop the sanctions (which will bring Iran to re-open the strait). Reluctantly, the West will do this.

The same retreat in hostilities, however, will not be followed by Israel. They will see this as a PR triumph for Iran and may take unilateral action against Iran shortly afterwards (unless Russia decides to send the sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles it had previously denied to Iran).

It's a tricky situation with so many variables. There isn't enough room on this entire site to list them all.
422

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07/02/2012 09:19 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Personally, I think it's nothing but a show to keep our eyes off the back door.
“You have rights antecedent to all earthly governments; rights that cannot be repealed or restrained by human laws; rights derived from the Great Legislator of the Universe.” John Adams, Second President of the United States
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:30 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Personally, I think it's nothing but a show to keep our eyes off the back door.
 Quoting: 422


possible, however when news leaks of the Iranian oil tanker sails across Al Qatif ( Persian Gulf ) headed for Basora Fretum ( Strait of Hormuz ) that its petroleum contents just happen to be under a contract with North Korea, I'm sure Il's successor will threaten to turn southern California into a black glass parking lot.

We've got some incoming breaking news Houston so, stay tuned, people!

- RE
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:37 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Personally, I think it's nothing but a show to keep our eyes off the back door.
 Quoting: 422


possible, however when news leaks of the Iranian oil tanker sails across Al Qatif ( Persian Gulf ) headed for Basora Fretum ( Strait of Hormuz ) that its petroleum contents just happen to be under a contract with North Korea, I'm sure Il's successor will threaten to turn southern California into a black glass parking lot.

We've got some incoming breaking news Houston so, stay tuned, people!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


news?
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:37 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
would love to be able to show folks the FAX sent from the Russian broker who handled this monkey-wrench for Iran that puts North Korea into the picture as well.

Now the U.S. faces two ( 2 ) arch nemesis'. Whoops goes that peace daisy!

- RE
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:38 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iran isn't going to do shit except pop off a few of their fireworks. The US has called their bluff. They do not want to give the West a reason to invade their country.

No. Iran will wage a terrorist campaign against us now. And I expect different targets will be clandestinely hit. It won't amount to much.

They are biding their time as to get any nuclear progress they have made deep underground. And If I were them, I would do it quick because Israel may still attack them. If that happens, to save face with their population, the Iranian government would have no choice but to go to war with Israel or otherwise look weak and foolish. This will draw the West into the conflict.

Yes. Eventually Iran will be on the offense, but that may not be for a few more months yet. But rest assured that this will break out into a full fledged war before the end of this year. So you have a 6 month window.
CASCABEL

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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Iran should have cut off ALL the European countries at the beginning of winter and brought them to their fucking knees and froze them to death.......ESPECIALLY "Not So Great" Britain!!!!!!!!!!!11
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18773451


They will just get it from some where else ding a ling...
" Sonny Liston is nothing. The man can't talk. The man can't fight. The man needs to take talking lessons. The man needs to take fighting lessons. And since he's fighting me, he needs falling lessons."

Muhammad Ali...
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:41 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Personally, I think it's nothing but a show to keep our eyes off the back door.
 Quoting: 422


possible, however when news leaks of the Iranian oil tanker sails across Al Qatif ( Persian Gulf ) headed for Basora Fretum ( Strait of Hormuz ) that its petroleum contents just happen to be under a contract with North Korea, I'm sure Il's successor will threaten to turn southern California into a black glass parking lot.

We've got some incoming breaking news Houston so, stay tuned, people!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


news?
 Quoting: SpiderJones


confirmed the North Korea oil contract with Iran before i posted. you betcha it's gonna be superpower news. oops! i forgot ... the U.S. hasn't had its Fouth of July - 'yet'!

- RE
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 09:43 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
After hearing 4000000000000 times that Iran will close the straits, I highly doubt it will ever happen.

They really dont have the cajones to do it.
luke777

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07/02/2012 09:44 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Personally, I think it's nothing but a show to keep our eyes off the back door.
 Quoting: 422


possible, however when news leaks of the Iranian oil tanker sails across Al Qatif ( Persian Gulf ) headed for Basora Fretum ( Strait of Hormuz ) that its petroleum contents just happen to be under a contract with North Korea, I'm sure Il's successor will threaten to turn southern California into a black glass parking lot.

We've got some incoming breaking news Houston so, stay tuned, people!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


news?
 Quoting: SpiderJones


confirmed the North Korea oil contract with Iran before i posted. you betcha it's gonna be superpower news. oops! i forgot ... the U.S. hasn't had its Fouth of July - 'yet'!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


but what exactly does this mean?
luke777
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
IMO the US wants them to close it. When the cost of food and gas sky rockets and the US people start feeling the pinch they will fully support the war as the MSM will blame Iran for the insane prices due to them closing the strait.
marlborolightsplease

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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
Not till October
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14756837


source and explain. election october surprise? no linky stinky
 Quoting: Strongman Shelford


is it because no linky forgets to wipe and therfore is called no linky stinky?
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
It will be the equivalent of a 9/11 just financially. Cause a crazy panic amongst the people, create a Boogey man and convince everyone we need to go to war.
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
...


possible, however when news leaks of the Iranian oil tanker sails across Al Qatif ( Persian Gulf ) headed for Basora Fretum ( Strait of Hormuz ) that its petroleum contents just happen to be under a contract with North Korea, I'm sure Il's successor will threaten to turn southern California into a black glass parking lot.

We've got some incoming breaking news Houston so, stay tuned, people!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


news?
 Quoting: SpiderJones


confirmed the North Korea oil contract with Iran before i posted. you betcha it's gonna be superpower news. oops! i forgot ... the U.S. hasn't had its Fouth of July - 'yet'!

- RE
 Quoting: RE


but what exactly does this mean?
 Quoting: luke777


it means that the only way Iran could sail such vessels would be if they somehow got Russia to underwright a "reinsurance" on certain ships, but even then it would be a matter for an international court to decide, but I do 'not' see how that is possible in-lieu of the following, which clearly prevents Iran from sailing anything out ( see below ):

[link to www.marketwatch.com]

- RE
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
“What we can look forward to in the coming weeks and months is that the Iranians will make a series of moves, beginning with this bill in the Majlis, threating to pass the bill; if that doesn’t have an effect, certainly going ahead with the passage,” Porter told RT. “Then first in a series of limited moves towards threatening to actually put mines in the strait to prevent the shipping of oil from going through. And then, I think, Iranians have the option of a very limited use of mines, with very few mines being dropped in this strait to try to get the price of oil to shoot up, for one thing, and to get the United States to react.”

[link to www.rt.com]

damned
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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07/02/2012 10:00 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
The Iranians will announce a pending limited closure of the strait in line with the opportunity for the Europeans and Americans to reverse their sanctions on the Islamic republic. This will be sometime in mid-September.

The Iranian President will deliver a speech at the UN chronologically outlining the events that led to the current crisis. This will fall on deaf ears in Washington and most of Europe (and Israel).

The Russians and Chinese will mediate but not budge. They, in concert with Iran, will blame the West for the escalation of tensions.

Between October 19-23 the strait will be closed following a diplomatic deadlock. Western warships will give a 24 hour ultimatum to the Iranians to re-open the strait. Russia will up the ante by sending warships into the Persian Gulf outside regular drills for the first time.

Vladimir Putin will warn that the only way out of the confrontation is for the West to drop the sanctions (which will bring Iran to re-open the strait). Reluctantly, the West will do this.

The same retreat in hostilities, however, will not be followed by Israel. They will see this as a PR triumph for Iran and may take unilateral action against Iran shortly afterwards (unless Russia decides to send the sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles it had previously denied to Iran).

It's a tricky situation with so many variables. There isn't enough room on this entire site to list them all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16303335


very good post
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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07/02/2012 10:01 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
After hearing 4000000000000 times that Iran will close the straits, I highly doubt it will ever happen.

They really dont have the cajones to do it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17457635


i like this post too : GLP EFFECT is all around us
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 10:02 PM
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
yeah, do it now. slam the price of gas up to 300/barrel. the US is out of ammo having used their reserves to lower it to current price, and iwth presidential elections coming up in a few months, bam, the US will suck dick to make things right!
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Re: IRAN CLOSING HORMUZ STRAit soon? WW3, OIL to the roof or GLP EFFECT? I WANT YOUr opinion
It will be the equivalent of a 9/11 just financially. Cause a crazy panic amongst the people, create a Boogey man and convince everyone we need to go to war.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16190749


hiding

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