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EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!

 
TheTruthWorker
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07/11/2012 08:16 PM
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EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
I research the history of potentially hazardous asteroids (PHA) before they make upcoming close approaches to Earth.

Most of the ones I've found that have a consistent history of significant earthquakes around their past approaches have another significant quake within a day of there next approach.

When looking at dozens of PHAs I might may find one with a history. But today I checked on the 4 that are approaching on July 12th and 3 out of 4 have consistent quake histories. This is rare!

So... within the next 48 hours I'd expect to see a very significant earthquake magnitude 6.5+

Below is the object name, most recent close approach dates, Earth distance and then any sizable earthquakes that occurred close to that date. I did not skip any close approach dates...

1) 2006 BV39 [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

11/07/96 - 0.4633 AU
11/05/96 - Mag 6.5 - 2 days

07/07/97 - 0.1737 AU
07/06/97 - Mag 6.8 - 1 day

01/03/01 - 0.4660 AU
01/02/01 - Mag 6.4 - 1 day
01/01/01 - Mag 7.5 - 2 days

10/06/01 - 0.4981 AU
10/08/01 - Mag 6.5 - 2 days

01/28/06 - 0.0022 AU
01/27/06 - Mag 7.6 - 1 day

09/16/06 - 0.4132 AU
09/16/06 - Mag 6.3 - same day

11/07/11 - 0.4363 AU
11/08/11 - Mag 6.9 - 1 day

NEXT 07/12/12 - 0.1132 AU


2) 2012 MQ3 [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

07/20/37 - 0.2477 AU
07/22/37 - Mag 7.3 Alaska - 2 days

06/16/88 - 0.2172 AU
06/18/88 - Mag 7.0 - 2 days

02/12/91 - 0.6160 AU
02/10/91 - Mag 6.2 - 1 day
02/09/91 - Mag 6.9 - 3 days

12/08/93 - 0.5537 AU
12/09/93 - Mag 6.9 - 1 day

06/30/96 - 0.1407 AU
06/30/96 - Mag 6.2 Mexico - Same day [link to www.bbc.co.uk]

02/18/99 - 0.6054 AU
02/22/99 - Mag 6.4 - 3 days

12/14/01 - 0.5725 AU
12/12/01 - Mag 7.1 - 2 days

07/07/04 - 0.1179 AU
07/08/04 - Mag 6.4 - day

02/24/07 - 0.5927 AU
02/24/07 - Mag 6.3 - same day

12/20/09 - 0.5875 AU
12/19/09 - Mag 6.4 - 1 day

NEXT 07/12/12 - 0.16260 AU


3) 2008 NP3 [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

07/14/06 - 0.1070 AU
07/17/06 - Mag 7.7 INDONESIA - 3 days

07/16/07 - 0.0549 AU
07/16/07 - Mag 6.8 JAPAN - same day

07/17/08 - 0.0176 AU
07/19/08 - Mag 7.0 JAPAN - 2 days
07/19/08 - Mag 6.6 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

07/18/09 - 0.0297 AU
07/15/09 - Mag 7.8 New Zealand - 3 days

07/19/10 - 0.0687 AU
07/18/10 - Mag 7.3 PAPUA NEW GUINEA - 1 day
07/18/10 - Mag 6.6 ALASKA

07/18/11 - 0.1127 AU
07/19/11 - Mag 6.1 KYRGYZSTAN - day [link to www.irinnews.org]

NEXT 07/12/12 - 0.15724 AU


Quake history per [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
NASA database [link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

roids
dettro99

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07/11/2012 08:28 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
bump...Thanks for the info OP!
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 09:50 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Thread: Big Drop On TimeWave Zero Tomorrow July 12th
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 09:55 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Thread: Magnitude 9.6 Earthquake by July 13 2012
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 09:57 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Thread: <<RED ALERT>> Approaching July 11th, 2012, the SET Conjuction Doom Day!!!
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 10:16 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Useful links:

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to geofon.gfz-potsdam.de]
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]

[link to www.iris.edu]
[link to geoquake.info]
[link to earthquake-report.com]
[link to www.oe-files.de]
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to www.hivegroup.com]
[link to anf.ucsd.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 10:21 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
:144:
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 10:27 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
:144:
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


Great to see you Tas. Green scent...gscent
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
bump...Thanks for the info OP!
 Quoting: dettro99


bdancespeedbananbdancespeedbanan
quake
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 10:48 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Significant Earthquakes Past 30 Days [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

M 6.3, 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
Friday, July 06, 2012 02:28:22 UTC

M 6.3, 57km SSW of Opunake, New Zealand
Tuesday, July 03, 2012 10:36:16 UTC

M 6.3, 101km S of Dushanzi, China
Friday, June 29, 2012 21:07:33 UTC

M 6.1, 63km W of Kabanjahe, Indonesia
Saturday, June 23, 2012 04:34:53 UTC

M 4.2, 7km N of Incline Village, Nevada
Saturday, June 23, 2012 03:51:57 UTC

M 5.2, 10km SW of Moe, Australia
Tuesday, June 19, 2012 10:53:29 UTC

M 6.3, 28km SE of Ofunato, Japan
Sunday, June 17, 2012 20:32:20 UTC

M 4.0, 3km NE of Yorba Linda, California
Thursday, June 14, 2012 03:17:15 UTC
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Most recent forecasts:

Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Result
M 6.3, Vanuatu
July 06, 2012

Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Result:
M 6.3, Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage
June 29, 2012 [link to earthquake-report.com]

Thread: 7.1 EARTHQUAKE due to asteroids near Earth on June 25
Result:
China earthquake kills four, leaves 100 injured
June 25, 2012 [link to www.nation.com.pk]

Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH: Magnitude 6.5+ within a day of June 15, 2012
Result
M 4.0, Yorba Linda, California
June 14, 2012
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 11:29 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
What about this one?


Region: GUATEMALA

Magnitude: 5.3

Date-Time: Thursday, July 12, 2012 at 01:43:03 UTC

Location: 14.884°N, 90.885°W

Depth: 215.2 km (133.7 miles)


[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/11/2012 11:46 PM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
What about this one?


Region: GUATEMALA

Magnitude: 5.3

Date-Time: Thursday, July 12, 2012 at 01:43:03 UTC

Location: 14.884°N, 90.885°W

Depth: 215.2 km (133.7 miles)


[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10762973


Not quite. Looking for a 6.5+ or something that makes a lot of news due to it's significance.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 12:06 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Keep up the good work op!!!!
finley

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07/12/2012 02:02 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Very Interesting. Thanks.hf Good Work.
Solar Guardian

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07/12/2012 02:14 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Shin This Pit!!!

bump
Travis Bickle
Vigilantes need love too....

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07/12/2012 02:19 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
All three converging on the same day???

This should be interesting.....
hiding
One of these days... A *REAL* rain is gonna come and wash all this scum off the streets.
Vesper33
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07/12/2012 03:13 AM

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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
bump
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
conform

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07/12/2012 03:35 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
To be honest and no offence if you can tell me otherwise op but I call complete and utter BS. Lets take your first meteor asteroid or whatever .... You do not show the size but I'm assuming like most they are only X amount of meters long.

0.4633au = 43,066,425.507002 Miles Away

I mean come on 43 MILLION MILES AWAY. There are planets a lot freaking closer than that with their own gravitational pull..

So I do not see how your theory is even plausible there is no way that a small ass rock is going to have any kind of gravitational pull on our planet or our tectonic plates.

I can give you some facts though

5 - 5.9eq 1319 Annually Averages out to 3.6eqs a DAY
6 - 6.9eq 134 Annually

So even at the 6-6.9 range you have over a 1\3 of being right.
And you don't need to be a math wizard to figure out 1,319 a year for the 5-5.9 scale.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Now if anyone else does there research and knows the average on 6-6.9 range eqs you can see the last one we had was ...

M6.3 - 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
2012-07-06 02:28:22 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

So it has been 6 days since our last large earthquake which is already pushing past our average now so YES we will have a larger earthquake very soon.You are also giving yourself a 48 hour window making the statistical chance even higher.

You can go to spaceweather.com and see there
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Their is Literally some kind of incoming object every day with our current technology being able to see things LD away. go check it out or better yet here is current ..

Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2003 KU2
Jul 15
40.2 LD
--
1.3 km
2004 EW9
Jul 16
46.8 LD
--
2.1 km
2002 AM31
Jul 22
13.7 LD
--
1.0 km
37655 Illapa
Aug 12
37 LD
--
1.2 km
2000 ET70
Aug 21
58.5 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 TU3
Aug 25
49.2 LD
--
4.9 km
2009 AV
Aug 26
62.8 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 UO1
Oct 4
60.1 LD
--
2.1 km



bsflag

I'm calling fear-monger for attention. Some of you bumping this thread I have read your threads or seen you post in ELQ's and I would think you would know better than this.

Last Edited by conform on 07/12/2012 04:09 AM
conform

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07/12/2012 04:11 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
To be honest and no offence if you can tell me otherwise op but I call complete and utter BS. Lets take your first meteor asteroid or whatever .... You do not show the size but I'm assuming like most they are only X amount of meters long.

0.4633au = 43,066,425.507002 Miles Away

I mean come on 43 MILLION MILES AWAY. There are planets a lot freaking closer than that with their own gravitational pull..

So I do not see how your theory is even plausible there is no way that a small ass rock is going to have any kind of gravitational pull on our planet or our tectonic plates.

I can give you some facts though

5 - 5.9eq 1319 Annually Averages out to 3.6eqs a DAY
6 - 6.9eq 134 Annually

So even at the 6-6.9 range you have over a 1\3 of being right.
And you don't need to be a math wizard to figure out 1,319 a year for the 5-5.9 scale.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Now if anyone else does there research and knows the average on 6-6.9 range eqs you can see the last one we had was ...

M6.3 - 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
2012-07-06 02:28:22 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

So it has been 6 days since our last large earthquake which is already pushing past our average now so YES we will have a larger earthquake very soon.You are also giving yourself a 48 hour window making the statistical chance even higher.

You can go to spaceweather.com and see there
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Their is Literally some kind of incoming object every day with our current technology being able to see things LD away. go check it out or better yet here is current ..

Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2003 KU2
Jul 15
40.2 LD
--
1.3 km
2004 EW9
Jul 16
46.8 LD
--
2.1 km
2002 AM31
Jul 22
13.7 LD
--
1.0 km
37655 Illapa
Aug 12
37 LD
--
1.2 km
2000 ET70
Aug 21
58.5 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 TU3
Aug 25
49.2 LD
--
4.9 km
2009 AV
Aug 26
62.8 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 UO1
Oct 4
60.1 LD
--
2.1 km



bsflag

I'm calling fear-monger for attention. Some of you bumping this thread I have read your threads or seen you post in ELQ's and I would think you would know better than this.
 Quoting: conform


Bumping for people to learn something real not a poorly thought out theory

bump
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 07:05 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
easy to predict after barcaroller has done it already.
somebody
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07/12/2012 07:25 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/12/2012 09:25 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
...You do not show the size but I'm assuming like most they are only X amount of meters long.

 Quoting: conform


I have not yet seen a correlation between size and likelihood of an asteroid/earthquake event

... I mean come on 43 MILLION MILES AWAY. There are planets a lot freaking closer than that with their own gravitational pull..

 Quoting: conform


I have never said this is due to gravitational forces. I think the link is related to "electric universe" theories where an object builds a charge, discharges it when it approaches another body (Earth), and then causes perturbations with the Sun which might be the cause. Otherwise, cause still undetermined.

... no way that a small ass rock is going to have any kind of gravitational pull on our planet or our tectonic plates.

 Quoting: conform


I agree gravitational pull is not relevant.

... And you don't need to be a math wizard to figure out 1,319 a year for the 5-5.9 scale.

 Quoting: conform


I do not forecast quakes less than 6.3+ as pure chance odds are too great.

...the average on 6-6.9 range eqs you can see the last one we had was ... M6.3 - 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
2012-07-06 02:28:22 UTC... So it has been 6 days since our last large earthquake which is already pushing past our average now so YES we will have a larger earthquake very soon.
 Quoting: conform


Within past 12 months:

6.0+ = 147 quakes
6.3+ = 66 quakes
6.5+ = 44 quakes
6.7+ = 33 quakes
7.0+ = 15 quakes
7.4+ = 4 quakes

However, you must account for odds for a certain DATE. For example the 4 quakes 7.4+ occurred on 3 DATES. Chance of hitting a date forecast over a year is 1 in 3, not 1 in 4. We could have 60 quakes over 7.4 in a 30 day period but the chance of hitting on a certain date is still 1 in 30.

I am calling for a 6.5+ quake within 2 day window. We have not had one of this size since May 28. Yes, we may be "due" but that is not the reason behind the forecast.

... You are also giving yourself a 48 hour window making the statistical chance even higher.

 Quoting: conform


6.5+ = 44 quakes past 12 months on 38 DATES = 10% chance
Over 2 days = 20% pure chance

... You can go to spaceweather.com... Their is Literally some kind of incoming object every day...

 Quoting: conform


I do monitor spaceweather.com but I check all the ones on NASA's NEO Earth Close-Approaches list under .5 AU [link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

For July 12 there are 4 objects and 3 of them have consistent quake histories. Usually I have to look at dozens just to find one. In this case found 3 on the same day, and therefore the forecast.

... I'm calling fear-monger for attention ...

 Quoting: conform


If you review all of my earthquake predictions you see no fear mongering. I am not calling for doom. Sorry doom lovers. Just continuing to test my theories and up my hit percentages, carefully taking into account odds of chance so it is more meaningful. Would love to pick locations but not there yet.

Some ask me why I do not call for a 8.0+ quake. Because, based on the 3 different methods I use, only one date would be targeted... October 28, 2012 due to above average number of NEOs. As new NEOs are discovered, that may change.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/12/2012 09:29 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
easy to predict after barcaroller has done it already.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16257329


I was unaware of it but looked it up. If I was using that then I guess I would have used his dates and magnitudes instead...

Planetary Alignment / Earthquake Watch July 14-15, 2012

[link to www.youtube.com]


TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/12/2012 09:43 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...
 Quoting: somebody 17526338


I currently am using 3 methods for verifying earthquake/asteroid connections:

1) Consistent history of quakes for an object

This is basis for this forecast. I look up most recent close approach dates per NASA and cross reference with USGS database.

2) Above average count of NEO close approaches for specific dates

I have built and maintain a database for past and future NEO counts. I have statistically demonstrated that when NEO counts are higher, quake occur more often Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

3) NEOs approaching at .0085 AU or less

First and only forecast using this method was made for June 29 Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Results was on June 29 a 6.3 quake ... "Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage" [link to earthquake-report.com]
No other NEOs meet this criteria right now until Feb 2013
Tiamat2012

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07/12/2012 09:49 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
I think if anything.. it will be the Kuril Islands region, seems like there is a swarm going on there and looks like the quakes are just get higher in magnitude.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Last Edited by Tiamat2012 on 07/12/2012 09:49 AM
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 09:52 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...
 Quoting: somebody 17526338


I currently am using 3 methods for verifying earthquake/asteroid connections:

1) Consistent history of quakes for an object

This is basis for this forecast. I look up most recent close approach dates per NASA and cross reference with USGS database.

2) Above average count of NEO close approaches for specific dates

I have built and maintain a database for past and future NEO counts. I have statistically demonstrated that when NEO counts are higher, quake occur more often Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

3) NEOs approaching at .0085 AU or less

First and only forecast using this method was made for June 29 Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Results was on June 29 a 6.3 quake ... "Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage" [link to earthquake-report.com]
No other NEOs meet this criteria right now until Feb 2013
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Neo's will always become higher, they are discovered everyday, with thousands upon thousands more to discover. They have been there all along so how can you even put that into you equation?
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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07/12/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
All three converging on the same day???

This should be interesting.....
hiding
 Quoting: Travis Bickle


Actually we have 4 same day. This is not unusual but above average. In fact there are 4 objects each day July 10, 11 and 12.

7-6-12

What is unusual is that 3 of the 4 have quake histories.

popcorn
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...
 Quoting: somebody 17526338


I currently am using 3 methods for verifying earthquake/asteroid connections:

1) Consistent history of quakes for an object

This is basis for this forecast. I look up most recent close approach dates per NASA and cross reference with USGS database.

2) Above average count of NEO close approaches for specific dates

I have built and maintain a database for past and future NEO counts. I have statistically demonstrated that when NEO counts are higher, quake occur more often Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

3) NEOs approaching at .0085 AU or less

First and only forecast using this method was made for June 29 Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Results was on June 29 a 6.3 quake ... "Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage" [link to earthquake-report.com]
No other NEOs meet this criteria right now until Feb 2013
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Neo's will always become higher, they are discovered everyday, with thousands upon thousands more to discover. They have been there all along so how can you even put that into you equation?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19589960


I believe he is stating that the frequency of NEO's has ramped up in recent years... not the total number found.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

User ID: 1307920
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07/12/2012 09:54 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
Keep up the good work op!!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18435996


Very Interesting. Thanks.hf Good Work.
 Quoting: finley


Thanks

hf
TheTruthWorker (OP)

User ID: 1307920
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07/12/2012 10:05 AM
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Re: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!
qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...
 Quoting: somebody 17526338


I currently am using 3 methods for verifying earthquake/asteroid connections:

1) Consistent history of quakes for an object

This is basis for this forecast. I look up most recent close approach dates per NASA and cross reference with USGS database.

2) Above average count of NEO close approaches for specific dates

I have built and maintain a database for past and future NEO counts. I have statistically demonstrated that when NEO counts are higher, quake occur more often Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

3) NEOs approaching at .0085 AU or less

First and only forecast using this method was made for June 29 Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Results was on June 29 a 6.3 quake ... "Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage" [link to earthquake-report.com]
No other NEOs meet this criteria right now until Feb 2013
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Neo's will always become higher, they are discovered everyday, with thousands upon thousands more to discover. They have been there all along so how can you even put that into you equation?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19589960


I believe he is stating that the frequency of NEO's has ramped up in recent years... not the total number found.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19199673


Yes, not total number. Just using dates where the total number for a day is above average. In fact, this chart (out to October 2012 using 2 day averages) shows number of known NEOs per day and daily counts are actually at a low point compared to the past

eq-neo-ct

No new NEO discoveries have been posted for 18 days since June 24 but I expect a "batch" to be uploaded soon including ones that have already passed [link to www.minorplanetcenter.org]

If any one of the new ones that come out show it will or has already made a close approach to Earth less than .0085 AU I'd expect to also see a significant quake within a day of that approach date.

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