EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within 48 hours through July 13!

...Thanks for the info OP!

Thread: Big Drop On TimeWave Zero Tomorrow July 12th

Thread: Magnitude 9.6 Earthquake by July 13 2012

Thread: <<RED ALERT>> Approaching July 11th, 2012, the SET Conjuction Doom Day!!!

Useful links:

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to geofon.gfz-potsdam.de]
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]

[link to www.iris.edu]
[link to geoquake.info]
[link to earthquake-report.com]
[link to www.oe-files.de]
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to www.hivegroup.com]
[link to anf.ucsd.edu]

:144:

Great to see you Tas. Green scent...

Significant Earthquakes Past 30 Days [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

M 6.3, 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
Friday, July 06, 2012 02:28:22 UTC

M 6.3, 57km SSW of Opunake, New Zealand
Tuesday, July 03, 2012 10:36:16 UTC

M 6.3, 101km S of Dushanzi, China
Friday, June 29, 2012 21:07:33 UTC

M 6.1, 63km W of Kabanjahe, Indonesia
Saturday, June 23, 2012 04:34:53 UTC

M 4.2, 7km N of Incline Village, Nevada
Saturday, June 23, 2012 03:51:57 UTC

M 5.2, 10km SW of Moe, Australia
Tuesday, June 19, 2012 10:53:29 UTC

M 6.3, 28km SE of Ofunato, Japan
Sunday, June 17, 2012 20:32:20 UTC

M 4.0, 3km NE of Yorba Linda, California
Thursday, June 14, 2012 03:17:15 UTC

Most recent forecasts:

Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH for within a day of July 5, 2012
Result
M 6.3, Vanuatu
July 06, 2012

Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Result:
M 6.3, Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage
June 29, 2012 [link to earthquake-report.com]

Thread: 7.1 EARTHQUAKE due to asteroids near Earth on June 25
Result:
China earthquake kills four, leaves 100 injured
June 25, 2012 [link to www.nation.com.pk]

Thread: EARTHQUAKE WATCH: Magnitude 6.5+ within a day of June 15, 2012
Result
M 4.0, Yorba Linda, California
June 14, 2012

What about this one?


Region: GUATEMALA

Magnitude: 5.3

Date-Time: Thursday, July 12, 2012 at 01:43:03 UTC

Location: 14.884°N, 90.885°W

Depth: 215.2 km (133.7 miles)


[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Not quite. Looking for a 6.5+ or something that makes a lot of news due to it's significance.

Keep up the good work op!!!!

Very Interesting. Thanks. Good Work.

Shin This Pit!!!

All three converging on the same day???

This should be interesting.....

To be honest and no offence if you can tell me otherwise op but I call complete and utter BS. Lets take your first meteor asteroid or whatever .... You do not show the size but I'm assuming like most they are only X amount of meters long.

0.4633au = 43,066,425.507002 Miles Away

I mean come on 43 MILLION MILES AWAY. There are planets a lot freaking closer than that with their own gravitational pull..

So I do not see how your theory is even plausible there is no way that a small ass rock is going to have any kind of gravitational pull on our planet or our tectonic plates.

I can give you some facts though

5 - 5.9eq 1319 Annually Averages out to 3.6eqs a DAY
6 - 6.9eq 134 Annually

So even at the 6-6.9 range you have over a 1\3 of being right.
And you don't need to be a math wizard to figure out 1,319 a year for the 5-5.9 scale.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Now if anyone else does there research and knows the average on 6-6.9 range eqs you can see the last one we had was ...

M6.3 - 53km NE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu
2012-07-06 02:28:22 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

So it has been 6 days since our last large earthquake which is already pushing past our average now so YES we will have a larger earthquake very soon.You are also giving yourself a 48 hour window making the statistical chance even higher.

You can go to spaceweather.com and see there
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Their is Literally some kind of incoming object every day with our current technology being able to see things LD away. go check it out or better yet here is current ..

Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2003 KU2
Jul 15
40.2 LD
--
1.3 km
2004 EW9
Jul 16
46.8 LD
--
2.1 km
2002 AM31
Jul 22
13.7 LD
--
1.0 km
37655 Illapa
Aug 12
37 LD
--
1.2 km
2000 ET70
Aug 21
58.5 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 TU3
Aug 25
49.2 LD
--
4.9 km
2009 AV
Aug 26
62.8 LD
--
1.1 km
1998 UO1
Oct 4
60.1 LD
--
2.1 km





I'm calling fear-monger for attention. Some of you bumping this thread I have read your threads or seen you post in ELQ's and I would think you would know better than this.

Last Edited by conform on 07/12/2012 04:09 AM

Bumping for people to learn something real not a poorly thought out theory

easy to predict after barcaroller has done it already.

qq ya but the 3 the op talked about where gonna be so much closer and all within 2 AU of us on the same day! blahblahblah

OP would be curious what you base this idea off of other than a hunch, although hunches have worked sometimes... not saying i do or don't believe, i choose the third option...

NEEDS MORE INFO!!!

humanity isn't dualistic with bi-polar tendencies, some ppl forget that between good and bad there's the option of requesting more data. then decision making gets even better!
Would be impressed if the SET prediction came true, though.
ar1520, asteroids, eq's, tsunami...

doom... soon? these threads don't seem purposeful until you can give us a location, imo. doom is relative to what area would be affected...

I have not yet seen a correlation between size and likelihood of an asteroid/earthquake event



I have never said this is due to gravitational forces. I think the link is related to "electric universe" theories where an object builds a charge, discharges it when it approaches another body (Earth), and then causes perturbations with the Sun which might be the cause. Otherwise, cause still undetermined.



I agree gravitational pull is not relevant.



I do not forecast quakes less than 6.3+ as pure chance odds are too great.



Within past 12 months:

6.0+ = 147 quakes
6.3+ = 66 quakes
6.5+ = 44 quakes
6.7+ = 33 quakes
7.0+ = 15 quakes
7.4+ = 4 quakes

However, you must account for odds for a certain DATE. For example the 4 quakes 7.4+ occurred on 3 DATES. Chance of hitting a date forecast over a year is 1 in 3, not 1 in 4. We could have 60 quakes over 7.4 in a 30 day period but the chance of hitting on a certain date is still 1 in 30.

I am calling for a 6.5+ quake within 2 day window. We have not had one of this size since May 28. Yes, we may be "due" but that is not the reason behind the forecast.



6.5+ = 44 quakes past 12 months on 38 DATES = 10% chance
Over 2 days = 20% pure chance



I do monitor spaceweather.com but I check all the ones on NASA's NEO Earth Close-Approaches list under .5 AU [link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

For July 12 there are 4 objects and 3 of them have consistent quake histories. Usually I have to look at dozens just to find one. In this case found 3 on the same day, and therefore the forecast.



If you review all of my earthquake predictions you see no fear mongering. I am not calling for doom. Sorry doom lovers. Just continuing to test my theories and up my hit percentages, carefully taking into account odds of chance so it is more meaningful. Would love to pick locations but not there yet.

Some ask me why I do not call for a 8.0+ quake. Because, based on the 3 different methods I use, only one date would be targeted... October 28, 2012 due to above average number of NEOs. As new NEOs are discovered, that may change.

I was unaware of it but looked it up. If I was using that then I guess I would have used his dates and magnitudes instead...

Planetary Alignment / Earthquake Watch July 14-15, 2012

[link to www.youtube.com]

I currently am using 3 methods for verifying earthquake/asteroid connections:

1) Consistent history of quakes for an object

This is basis for this forecast. I look up most recent close approach dates per NASA and cross reference with USGS database.

2) Above average count of NEO close approaches for specific dates

I have built and maintain a database for past and future NEO counts. I have statistically demonstrated that when NEO counts are higher, quake occur more often Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

3) NEOs approaching at .0085 AU or less

First and only forecast using this method was made for June 29 Thread: Earthquake prediction - To hit within 36 hours of June 29
Results was on June 29 a 6.3 quake ... "Xinjiang, China earthquake – 52 injured, 3000+ houses (7500 rooms) destroyed, 155000 people affected, $200 million US damage" [link to earthquake-report.com]
No other NEOs meet this criteria right now until Feb 2013

I think if anything.. it will be the Kuril Islands region, seems like there is a swarm going on there and looks like the quakes are just get higher in magnitude.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Last Edited by Tiamat2012 on 07/12/2012 09:49 AM

Neo's will always become higher, they are discovered everyday, with thousands upon thousands more to discover. They have been there all along so how can you even put that into you equation?

Actually we have 4 same day. This is not unusual but above average. In fact there are 4 objects each day July 10, 11 and 12.



What is unusual is that 3 of the 4 have quake histories.

I believe he is stating that the frequency of NEO's has ramped up in recent years... not the total number found.

Thanks

Yes, not total number. Just using dates where the total number for a day is above average. In fact, this chart (out to October 2012 using 2 day averages) shows number of known NEOs per day and daily counts are actually at a low point compared to the past



No new NEO discoveries have been posted for 18 days since June 24 but I expect a "batch" to be uploaded soon including ones that have already passed [link to www.minorplanetcenter.org]

If any one of the new ones that come out show it will or has already made a close approach to Earth less than .0085 AU I'd expect to also see a significant quake within a day of that approach date.