Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/12/2012 04:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 Most recent quakes have been occurring along the geomagnetic equator. [link to www.earthquakesummary.info] This may be the highest risk zone for a large upcoming quake. [link to www.earthquakesummary.info] |
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Redpaw360 User ID: 11235712 United States 07/12/2012 04:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 Keep on it doorbert, I like your threads as they usually hit the mark. Thread: INDIO - EARTHQUAKE SWARMS -MAY TRIGGER SAN ANDREAS FAULT Check above link, last page Last Edited by Redpaw360 on 07/12/2012 04:52 PM Oregon Constitution Article I, Section 27 The people shall have the right to bear arms for the defence of themselves, and the State, but the Military shall be kept in strict subordination to the civil power. |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/12/2012 04:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Redpaw360 User ID: 11235712 United States 07/12/2012 04:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 You third link was just over California, which had a 3.9 yucca valley. D region is a precursor perhaps.... Anyone know how long the estimate is for this event? Oregon Constitution Article I, Section 27 The people shall have the right to bear arms for the defence of themselves, and the State, but the Military shall be kept in strict subordination to the civil power. |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/12/2012 04:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/12/2012 05:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 You third link was just over California, which had a 3.9 yucca valley. D region is a precursor perhaps.... Quoting: Redpaw360 Anyone know how long the estimate is for this event? Also, looks like there was a ALF anomaly over Puerto Rico. This could set off a mega-thrust on that fault and possible mega-tsunami. Lots of instability there and fault is way over due. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 19634747 Portugal 07/12/2012 05:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 ## NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Space Weather Center ( SWC ) ## Message Type: Space Weather Alert ## ## Message Issue Date: 2012-07-12T19:37:00Z ## Message ID: 20120712-AL-005 ## Alert Summary: Type O CME detected by STEREO-B COR2. Start time of the event: 2012-07-12T16:54Z (STEREO-B-COR2). Based on rough estimates (only STEREO-B-COR2 images are available currently) the CME parameters are: Estimated speed: ~1400 km/s. Estimated opening half-angle: ~ 70 deg. Direction (lon./lat.): -6/-17 in Heliocentric Earth Ecliptic coordinates. The CME is associated with the X1.4 flare peaked at 2012-07-12T16:52Z (see alert 20120712-AL-001). All spacecraft between the source region (AR 1520 - S15W01) and Earth (including MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO) can be impacted. Updates on this event will be provided when available. swc.gsfc.nasa.gov/ |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 19634747 Portugal 07/12/2012 05:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1734 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2012 Jul 12 1733 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jul 13 0400 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. -------------------------------------- Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1709 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Jul 12 1625 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1268 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. -------------------- Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1632 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Jul 12 1615 UTC Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. ------------------------------ Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1627 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 12 1626 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
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Redpaw360 User ID: 11235712 United States 07/12/2012 05:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 Thanks luisport, great info. Oregon Constitution Article I, Section 27 The people shall have the right to bear arms for the defence of themselves, and the State, but the Military shall be kept in strict subordination to the civil power. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 15822494 United States 07/12/2012 05:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/13/2012 04:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 Magnetic field is concentrating in the South Pacific Islands. [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu] 20S 190W Also, solar wind speed at critical 350 km/sec Fiji may be at risk for a large quake. |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/13/2012 04:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 EARTHQUAKE SUMMARY FOR JULY 12, 2012 A strong X1.4 flare occurred today. This is the strongest solar flare since an X5.4 on March 7, 2012. The initial phases of this flare began about 1340 to 1400 UT when long wavelength X-ray flux began to increase substantially according to data at: A secondary increase to X-ray flare levels began about 1440 UT. The initial phases of this solar flare were immediately followed at 1400 UT by a strong M 5.8-6.1 earthquake at an intermediate focus under the Hindu Kush region of Afghanistan. As this was a gradual increase in solar x-ray flux beginning shortly before the Afghanistan earthquake, a direct tie is difficult but some Solar Flare Effects (SFE) are likely given the timing of these two events. An earthquake more directly associated with this flare occurred in the Seram Sea at 1540 UT with M 5.5. The flare reached X-ray status at 1537 UT. The Seram Sea was at exactly local midnight at this time, a maximum time for SFE. The area which was at local noon (sub-solar) at the time of the flare was the mid-Atlantic. Near the maximum of the flare an earthquake of M 4.5 occurred in the Reykjanes Ridge in the northern mid-Atlantic region. At the other end of the Atlantic an M 4.8 followed in the South Sandwich Islands in the Southern Atlantic. These two events were likely promoted by effects from the flare. Radio flux from this flare continued through about 2010 UT when Southern California was at sub-solar locations. A moderate earthquake of M 3.9 occurred during the flare in the Yucca Valley of California. A seismic watch is in effect especially for the period July 16-19 due to this flare but a strong event is possible during the next five days as well. [link to www.earthquakesummary.info] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/13/2012 04:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 A global seismic watch is currently in effect through July 18 with maximum magnitude expected at about 20% above previous estimates especially towards the end of this period. A strong global earthquake of M>6.8 is possible during this period due to effects from solar flare activity. Solar activity is also expected to be moderate with a chance of an X-class solar flare in the next three days. [link to www.earthquakesummary.info] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 19667810 Portugal 07/13/2012 05:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Huge Jump in Proton and Electron Flux - Ionosphere is Burning. Major Quake Possible thru July 18 **Log Entry #159- Thur July 12 (9:41 AM UTC) Thursday, 12 July 2012 09:41 Targeting the rapid formation of a large unnumbered coronal hole in the northern hemisphere of the solar corona. Further analysis indicates an area situated at (23-26°N Latitude) may produce an impulsive earthquake felt here on Earth. Possible locations for this event are: Gulf Of California, Mexico Myanmar, China Volcano Islands, Japan Region Gujarat, India Forecast - (5.5-5.8 Magnitude) Time Frame suggests June 13-15 [link to solarwatcher.net] |
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