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Stanford scientists measure health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, less than 200 deaths worldwide to be expected.

 
bobat
User ID: 20013193
Japan
07/18/2012 09:23 AM
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Stanford scientists measure health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, less than 200 deaths worldwide to be expected.
Stanford University researchers John Ten Hoeve and Mark Jacobson (both Civil/Environmental engineers) have released a study that estimates the global health impact of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Disaster, estimating that the number of deaths will probably be less than 200:

[link to scopeblog.stanford.edu]

Evaluating the claim, Ten Hoeve and Jacobson used a 3-D global atmospheric model, developed over 20 years of research, to predict the transport of radioactive material. A standard health-effects model was used to estimate human exposure to radioactivity.

Because of inherent uncertainties in the emissions and the health-effects model, the researchers found a range of possible death tolls, from 15 to 1,300, with a best estimate of 130. A wide span of cancer morbidities was also predicted, anywhere from 24 to 2,500, with a best estimate of 180.


Death toll to be 10 x less than the earth quake and Tsunami.

More people died from the evacuation of the area than from the nuclear disaster.

[link to news.yahoo.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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07/18/2012 09:35 AM
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Re: Stanford scientists measure health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, less than 200 deaths worldwide to be expected.
The UN/WHO and others have made statements that make it sound like deaths will be so low that it will be almost impossible to measure any if they do indeed take place. So yes, these figures are probably on the high side.

You can take Jacobson's estimates somewhat seriously, or treat them as an exaggeration. Either way, the estimated death toll is remarkably low. Lower than Chernobyl; lower than other industrial accidents; lower than the amount of people killed by fossil fuel pollution.

Meanwhile, other anti-nuclear campaigners are regularly screeching on about Fukushima death tolls that will be in the hundreds of thousands or millions.
Anonymous Coward
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07/18/2012 06:31 PM
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Re: Stanford scientists measure health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, less than 200 deaths worldwide to be expected.
so it could cause 1300 deaths by cancer. that is more than zero
Anonymous Coward
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07/18/2012 06:35 PM
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Re: Stanford scientists measure health effects of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, less than 200 deaths worldwide to be expected.
THE ONLY PEOPLE WHO ATTEND STANFORD? ARE THOSE THAT PREFER TO SUCK FAR LEFT LIBERAL COCKS LIKE BARNEY FRANK, PELOSI, OBAMA MARXISTS, ETC.. ETC.. THAT IS THE QUALITY OF A RESEARCH STUDY YOU WILL GET COMING FROM STANFORD. PERIOD.!