Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 05:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC According to the latest SREF run, it looks like New Jersey, Long Island, and New York City could see the greatest threat for tornadoes. Timing is around sunset. Good thing is that it doesn't look like they would be large tornadoes. More like EF1 to 3 if they occur. Stay safe all. Will post updates. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 08:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Pretty much cloud free over Ohio this morning. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] Solar heating will strongly destabilize the air with a heavy surge of moisture coming up from the Gulf. Looks like a potentially rough ride for folks mid OH and east. Keeping an eye on Pittsburgh. |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/26/2012 08:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC TWC Met - Eric Fisher Highest instability may end up being Northeast PA though. If I were a storm, that's where I'd plan to be this afternoon [link to twitter.com] For weather geeks, here's the White Plains NAM sounding for this afternoon. Note the 2.17" PW value! [link to twitter.com] |
Mamma Mia User ID: 4701453 United States 07/26/2012 08:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/26/2012 08:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JanJan User ID: 8542752 United States 07/26/2012 08:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Yeah, I posted this a couple of hours ago... . The: Alert - Possible Derecho for NYC and Southern New England. You have more 'cred', so this may get pinned to warn people... Glad you are on it too DB |
JanJan User ID: 8542752 United States 07/26/2012 08:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 08:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
JanJan User ID: 8542752 United States 07/26/2012 08:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 09:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 09:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Southern Lighthouse User ID: 16728843 United States 07/26/2012 09:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Pretty much cloud free over Ohio this morning. Quoting: DoorBert [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] Solar heating will strongly destabilize the air with a heavy surge of moisture coming up from the Gulf. Looks like a potentially rough ride for folks mid OH and east. Keeping an eye on Pittsburgh. Cloud-free in Louisville, KY so far this morning, but I was just outside and the wind is kicking up... there's an eerie feeling in the air. Thanks for the heads up, DoorBert! Much love to ya! Love is the highest form of spiritual warfare. |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 09:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Pretty much cloud free over Ohio this morning. Quoting: DoorBert [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] Solar heating will strongly destabilize the air with a heavy surge of moisture coming up from the Gulf. Looks like a potentially rough ride for folks mid OH and east. Keeping an eye on Pittsburgh. Cloud-free in Louisville, KY so far this morning, but I was just outside and the wind is kicking up... there's an eerie feeling in the air. Thanks for the heads up, DoorBert! Much love to ya! Morning SL - much thanks |
Sleeping Giant User ID: 15750537 United States 07/26/2012 11:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Center 7 Chief Meteorologist Jamie Simpson said not only are storms definite, but severe storms are likely from mid-afternoon through mid-evening. He said the conditions will be similar to those on June 29, when a “super” derecho (pronounced: deh-REYcho), or land hurricane, swept in from Fort Wayne, Ind., and left a 700-mile-wide path of damage on a 12-hour march to Washington, D.C. “The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded us to a moderate risk which means they expect more reports of damage than they would in a slight risk,” Simpson said. He said widespread damage is a good possibility and a line of damaging winds with gusts to 80 mph is very possible. “It could end up being a setup similar to the one we had the day of Tattoo,” he said, referring to the derecho storm that forced the cancellation of the annual Freedom’s Call Tattoo celebration at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base on June 29. Ohio Edison parent company First Energy Corp. announced Wednesday that they are mobilizing crews in case the storms impact electric service. “All FirstEnergy utilities are on high alert and continue preparations to mobilize employees and resources, as needed, from throughout FirstEnergy’s 10 utilities to assist in storm restoration activities in the hardest-hit areas,” the company said in a release. [link to www.whiotv.com] Wake up, oh sleeper, and rise from the dead, and Christ will shine on you |
Sleeping Giant User ID: 15750537 United States 07/26/2012 11:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Storm path prediction [link to www.whiotv.com] Wake up, oh sleeper, and rise from the dead, and Christ will shine on you |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/26/2012 02:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 525 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 210 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA SOUTHERN VERMONT EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ELMIRA NEW YORK TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF PITTSFIELD MASSACHUSETTS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 524... DISCUSSION...INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ONE CLUSTER OF ONGOING STORMS OVER WESTERN NY/PA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. OTHER MORE DISCRETE STORMS MAY FORM ON/NORTH OF RETREATING WARM FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL POTENTIALLY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...HART [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 02:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Derecho formation well underway from extreme southwest NY across northwest PA into eastern OH. Be safe ahead of this [link to twitter.com] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Tornado warning for Clarion, Forest, Jefferson, Venango Counties, PA. Psbl tornado SE of Franklin, PA [link to twitter.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 20579097 Portugal 07/26/2012 02:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC Tornado Warning for Clarion, Forest, Jefferson and Venango County in PA until 3:15pm EDT. #pawx 7 minSevere Studios‏@severestudios TORNADO Watch until 9pm EDT for parts of CT MA NY PA VT [link to 1.usa.gov] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 20579097 Portugal 07/26/2012 02:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC 1 minJohnny Kelly‏@stormchaser4850 Live coverage from WPXI-TV in Pennsylvania as significant severe weather event unfolds [link to www.wpxi.com] |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 870568 United States 07/26/2012 03:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 20579097 Portugal 07/26/2012 03:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC 7 minJohnny Kelly‏@stormchaser4850 Radar loop as storms develop and move across the Northeast this afternoon and evening [link to media.lintvnews.com] |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 857877 United States 07/26/2012 03:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Severe Weather Underway - Midwest to East Coast. Tornado Slams Elmira, NY! Derecho could hit Philly to NYC [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1606 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0208 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS VA...ERN WV...DC...MD...DE. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 261908Z - 262115Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...TSTM POTENTIAL IS INCREASING OVER THIS AREA...AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE SE OF WW 524. BEING NEAR SRN PERIPHERY OF FAVORABLE MIDLEVEL WINDS AND DEEP SHEAR...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SUFFICIENT TSTM ORGANIZATION TO WARRANT WW...AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED ACCORDINGLY. DAMAGING GUSTS ARE PRIMARY CONCERN...AND MRGL SVR HAIL IS POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...18Z SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED QUASISTATIONARY LEE TROUGH WITH WEAK CONFLUENCE NEAR FDK-LYH-MTV LINE. FARTHER E...BETTER-DEFINED CONFLUENCE BAND WAS EVIDENT BETWEEN RDU-RIC-DCA THEN NEWD OVER HARFORD COUNTY MD. AIR MASS BETWEEN THESE BOUNDARIES HAS HEATED QUITE STRONGLY...WITH SFC TEMPS MID-UPPER 90S AND DEW POINTS UPPER 60S TO 70S F CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE 3000-4500 J/KG. THIS IS DERIVED FROM MODIFIED 12Z AND 18Z RAOBS AND FCST SOUNDINGS...DISCOUNTING SITES WITH ANOMALOUSLY HIGH/80S F SFC DEW POINTS. 18Z IAD RAOB INDICATED WEAK CINH STILL REMAINING...AS WELL AS STABLE LAYER BETWEEN 500-650 MB...EACH OF WHICH MAY BE MITIGATING DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SO FAR. HOWEVER...CONTINUED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION SHOULD SUPPORT TSTM INITIATION/GROWTH DURING NEXT FEW HOURS INVOF EITHER BOUNDARY. VIS IMAGERY ACCORDINGLY DEPICTS PATCHES OF DEEPENING CU/TCU BETWEEN I-95 CORRIDOR AND BLUE RIDGE...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIC. VWP AND OBSERVED/FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST 25-35 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES IN SUPPORT OF ORGANIZED MULTICELLULAR POTENTIAL. ..EDWARDS/HART.. 07/26/2012 [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |